Those spikes in the South and Midwest occurred BEFORE schools opened up. If we are doing shitty interpretations of data, I'd like to declare the bringing kids back to school actually lead to a lowering of the case rate. |
Those spikes in the South and Midwest occurred concurrently with their states opening up and everyone going crazy as their brief lockdown ended. Everything from summer schools to camps to beaches to vacation destinations opened up. People were traveling like crazy and flying like crazy. Meanwhile New York was putting up roadblocks and Connecticut/Rhode Island were trying to fine out-of-staters who crossed into their territory. |
Yes, it is really hard to tell there, since those charts end before school started. |
Yep and 60% of NYC parents still refused to return their kids to school. On top of that to the PP - you need to remember that number one cause of death in the United States in 2020 is Covid-19. |
+1 This is the worst use a visual I've ever seen. It does not support the poster's point AT ALL. All over the south, numbers drastically decreased AFTER schools opened. |
It's actually closer to 75% of parents who opted their children out. NYC saw how serious this was in April and went through hell and back. People don't forget that quickly. |
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To go back to the original post, Germany may be closing schools now, as they can't get the numbers to come down without it. But they've been open for a long time, and when numbers get under control, they will reopen again. This seems like a reasonable approach. In the US, we both had schools opening with abandon (no matter what the numbers) and schools staying closed since Marcy even in places where community spread was low but non-zero. We did not prioritize schools. Bars and restaurants opened before schools in many cities. It's abysmal.
I don't think we should open schools now, and even when/if case numbers improve, we should not open them normally at full capacity. But we should be prioritizing high need kids ASAP, and all kids in general. But, with no federal government financial support for those who are unable to work, it was essential to keep businesses open so people (including kids and their parents) can put food on the table and a roof over their head. |
Link? Because I live in SC right now and our numbers keep increasing as they have brought elementary, then middle school students back in Greenville county. High schools start back face to face in January. It is like watching a train wreck. |
Someone disaggregated the virtual students from the in person students in Greenville county. The impact on the infection rate calculations is striking. https://gcsdvirus.info/img/graph.png https://gcsdvirus.info/?fbclid=IwAR0YuwybZ_ynfKUS5Kc-2jlBqTtubzYhxWY3FtN6A3iS-jqXPUjrz2of3zc |
Jesus. |
Surprise. In-person students have significantly higher incidents of Covid+.
https://gcsdvirus.info/ |
I thought the staff infection rate (red line) was awful. |
Rhode Island? LOL. You might want to take a quick peek at where Rhode Island is on the COVID leaderboard before you start holding them up as a shining example. Hint: They're even now "beating" the Dakotas. |