Catania is on fire

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I don't know - I am reading these posts and really wondering about the bubble effect. All of DCUM talking to each other, convincing ourselves Catania has a chance. I more skeptical, though in a head to head I'd vote him over Bowser.

I work on a volunteer board with a wide variety of people, including some vocal African American women who live in Ward 8. Catania makes them as nervous as Bowser - on the issue of education, Catania has a well known adversarial relationship with Kaya Henderson, who is very well liked in my bubble. After our board meeting last week, these voters talked single issue - education - and came out on the side of Bowser. Purely because of how Catania treats Henderson. And yes, I know Bowser has been mum on the issue of keeping Henderson - It didn't make any sense to me, I'll admit it, but I will just say that the "voice" of DCUM (while offering some diversity) is as much a bubble as any other, and until I see some real polling I'm not convinced Catania has a chance of even hitting 40%.

I posted earlier. I do think you make a good point about our DCUm collective bubble. My neighbors are lackluster about this election. After the primaries, Some have said that they have no idea what they would do on general Election Day. they don't like bowser or Catania many have mentioned more than once that Catania is nasty I how he talks to people. When bowser is mentioned, the response is "what has she done or isn't that fenty's girl"

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I see Bowser yard signs in my 99% white neighborhood in front of multimillion dollar houses. Maybe they are residual from the primaries. I do not know.
Trends and voting patterns go beyond our comprehension.
Let's wait for the polls.

Forest Hills, right?

Those were put there during the primaries but I'm not sure that's relevant. (Would they really switch at this point?)

Bowser garnered some -very- early support from a handful of donor/ households in forest hills. Don't know the whole story there. Of the "multimillion dollar" homes with giant green Bowser signs in FH, I can think of only one that has school-age kids in dcps.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I see Bowser yard signs in my 99% white neighborhood in front of multimillion dollar houses. Maybe they are residual from the primaries. I do not know.
Trends and voting patterns go beyond our comprehension.
Let's wait for the polls.

Forest Hills, right?

Those were put there during the primaries but I'm not sure that's relevant. (Would they really switch at this point?)

Bowser garnered some -very- early support from a handful of donor/ households in forest hills. Don't know the whole story there. Of the "multimillion dollar" homes with giant green Bowser signs in FH, I can think of only one that has school-age kids in dcps.

The ones that I see in my neighborhood are now grown over with grass and greenery. I think Bowser is fizzling out. Every time she says something, people are less impressed.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Oh I think she is wrong. Catania stands a huge chance of winning this election. Unless you are voting on special interests alone, David Catania is the far superior candidate!!

How long have you lived in the District? I absolutely agree with PP--Bowser can easily win this. And I say this as a Catania voter.

People always say this in bold, as if DC was a static entity, frozen in time.

I think when they finally do a poll when Catania has officially filed, you might be surprised. The last poll was done before the democratic primary was even concluded.

The district is changing, you know, if that wasn't already obvious! I am not sure what relevance the DC of the 70s 80s and 90s has to the DC of today. For example, Marion Barry would fail to get 10% of the popular vote these days, but he was mayor in those days.

Anyway good to see that you're voting for Catania.

This Democrat has lived in Washington much longer and is enthusiastically supporting David Catania.

Or let me put it another way (I posted the above), the fact that many of us arrived in DC within the last 5-10 years, and many of us are voting for Catania, I think that's relevant. I bet most people on DCUM arrived in DC post-2000.

[Anonymous]

An application only middle-school for Ward 7...let me take a guess. Turn Kelly-Miller into that project, the principal of the year already resides there, so the leadership is in place. The facility is relatively new and the location is conveniently located not too far from a metro site.

[Anonymous]

This is DC. The democratic primary is the only election that counts, it has been that way for the 30+ years I have lived here, and I don't see that changing. I'll vote for Catania, as Bowser has the likability of a mule, but that doesn't mean Catania has the slightest chance in hell.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This is DC. The democratic primary is the only election that counts, it has been that way for the 30+ years I have lived here, and I don't see that changing. I'll vote for Catania, as Bowser has the likability of a mule, but that doesn't mean Catania has the slightest chance in hell.

+1 but 15 years

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This is DC. The democratic primary is the only election that counts, it has been that way for the 30+ years I have lived here, and I don't see that changing. I'll vote for Catania, as Bowser has the likability of a mule, but that doesn't mean Catania has the slightest chance in hell.

Prior performance is not indicative of future results.

Not so long ago people would have confidently said a black man will never be President in our lifetimes. But things change. If you had posted the above six months ago, I would have agreed 100%. Catania has already changed a lot of minds, and Bowser is doing a lot of his work for him.

[Anonymous]

But Bowser has that thing whereby she refers to herself in the third person going for her.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Talking about bubbles.

Take a walk on 14th and U St NW at 9:00 pm of any week day and look around... Those are not martians , they are DC resident, just landed in the past 1-4 years... If you stroll around on a Friday/Sat. night, you will see thousands of them. Do they look familiar? No, I have not see anything like that during my teen and twenties (we used to live on 13th NW, very black, with blocks of very poor families, dark at night, dangerous after 9 pm) .

Now, Catania knows how to talk to these people. Bowser does not.

You may be right that Catania knows how to talk to "those people." But they either aren't registered to vote in DC or don't show up at the polls.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Talking about bubbles.

Take a walk on 14th and U St NW at 9:00 pm of any week day and look around... Those are not martians , they are DC resident, just landed in the past 1-4 years... If you stroll around on a Friday/Sat. night, you will see thousands of them. Do they look familiar? No, I have not see anything like that during my teen and twenties (we used to live on 13th NW, very black, with blocks of very poor families, dark at night, dangerous after 9 pm) .

Now, Catania knows how to talk to these people. Bowser does not.

You may be right that Catania knows how to talk to "those people." But they either aren't registered to vote in DC or don't show up at the polls.

When I say that Catania knows how to talk to them, I mean that I believe he can hit them and move them to the polls.

[jsteele]

Anonymous wrote:This is DC. The democratic primary is the only election that counts, it has been that way for the 30+ years I have lived here, and I don't see that changing. I'll vote for Catania, as Bowser has the likability of a mule, but that doesn't mean Catania has the slightest chance in hell.

You would think that it would be impossible for David Catania to get more votes than Muriel Bowser, right? Totally impossible. Not imaginable. In the April 1 primary, Bowser received 42,045 votes. In 2010 when Catania ran for re-election for his At-Large seat, he received 57,163. So, look at that, the impossible has already happened. In September of 2010, in the Democratic primary, Phil Mendelson defeated a black Democrat named Michael Brown. That's also impossible because white candidates can't beat black Democrats in Washington, DC.

In fact, the Mendelson/Brown race may be the most interesting in what it says about Catania/Bowser. DC's black voters will absolutely choose a white candidate with a respectable track record over a black candidate of questionable competence.

[Anonymous]

I think he's the best but I doubt DC is ready for a White Gay Mayor.

[Anonymous]

jsteele wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This is DC. The democratic primary is the only election that counts, it has been that way for the 30+ years I have lived here, and I don't see that changing. I'll vote for Catania, as Bowser has the likability of a mule, but that doesn't mean Catania has the slightest chance in hell.

You would think that it would be impossible for David Catania to get more votes than Muriel Bowser, right? Totally impossible. Not imaginable. In the April 1 primary, Bowser received 42,045 votes. In 2010 when Catania ran for re-election for his At-Large seat, he received 57,163. So, look at that, the impossible has already happened. In September of 2010, in the Democratic primary, Phil Mendelson defeated a black Democrat named Michael Brown. That's also impossible because white candidates can't beat black Democrats in Washington, DC.

In fact, the Mendelson/Brown race may be the most interesting in what it says about Catania/Bowser. DC's black voters will absolutely choose a white candidate with a respectable track record over a black candidate of questionable competence.

... And many of those 42,045 were anti-Fenty votes, not pro-Bowser votes!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:But Bowser has that thing whereby she refers to herself in the third person going for her.

That's so she can be her own surrogate.