Bob Casey Jr. (D) likely losing Senate race in PA

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-us-senate.html

R-D is 35K votes.

175K 33rd party votes


Fittingly, "John Thomas" screwed the PA election.


Dave McCormick Rep. 3,373K 48.97%
Bob Casey*. Dem. 3,338K 48.46%
John Thomas. Libertarian 88K 1.29%
Leila Hazou Green. 65K 0.94%
Marty Selker Constitution 23K 0.34%



Not so fast.

If the Pennsylvania Board of Elections awarded the three other runner-up candidates’ votes to Casey, he’d end up winning by almost 3%. So this is definitely NOT over, and Casey absolutely shouldn’t concede. He may still be able to win if his lawyers can argue that those votes should be given to him because he has the best chance at defeating McCormick.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:McCormick’s lead has increased by 39,700.

Casey is an election denier.


McCormick’s lead is actually 40,733 now.

And there are ~100,000 votes left to count.


That’s pretty much a lock that Casey will pull it out at the end. Mail in and provisional ballots always break super heavy for Dems, like 10:1 in favor of Dems. If he’s only down by 41k, with 100k to go, he’s going to get another 90K votes. That’s a lock.


Only 32K provisional ballots in Philadelphia and Allegheny. 70K other provisional, military, and overseas. not regular "main in".

And 10:1 is an exaggeration.



The race is within one one-hundredths of a point of triggering an automatic recount. All the ballots need to be counted.

This is going to an automatic recount folks. Will be interesting to see what happens!
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:McCormick’s lead has increased by 39,700.

Casey is an election denier.


McCormick’s lead is actually 40,733 now.

And there are ~100,000 votes left to count.


That’s pretty much a lock that Casey will pull it out at the end. Mail in and provisional ballots always break super heavy for Dems, like 10:1 in favor of Dems. If he’s only down by 41k, with 100k to go, he’s going to get another 90K votes. That’s a lock.


Only 32K provisional ballots in Philadelphia and Allegheny. 70K other provisional, military, and overseas. not regular "main in".

And 10:1 is an exaggeration.



Why do cities have so many provisional ballots?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:McCormick’s lead has increased by 39,700.

Casey is an election denier.


McCormick’s lead is actually 40,733 now.

And there are ~100,000 votes left to count.


That’s pretty much a lock that Casey will pull it out at the end. Mail in and provisional ballots always break super heavy for Dems, like 10:1 in favor of Dems. If he’s only down by 41k, with 100k to go, he’s going to get another 90K votes. That’s a lock.


Only 32K provisional ballots in Philadelphia and Allegheny. 70K other provisional, military, and overseas. not regular "main in".

And 10:1 is an exaggeration.



Why do cities have so many provisional ballots?


Because that's where most of the population lives? Land doesn't vote. Duh.

Also, can you show incidence of provisional ballots for cities, suburbs, and rural? Thx!
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:McCormick’s lead has increased by 39,700.

Casey is an election denier.


McCormick’s lead is actually 40,733 now.

And there are ~100,000 votes left to count.


That’s pretty much a lock that Casey will pull it out at the end. Mail in and provisional ballots always break super heavy for Dems, like 10:1 in favor of Dems. If he’s only down by 41k, with 100k to go, he’s going to get another 90K votes. That’s a lock.


Only 32K provisional ballots in Philadelphia and Allegheny. 70K other provisional, military, and overseas. not regular "main in".

And 10:1 is an exaggeration.



The race is within one one-hundredths of a point of triggering an automatic recount. All the ballots need to be counted.

This is going to an automatic recount folks. Will be interesting to see what happens!




We already know what will happen. They’ll find an additional 90,000 votes for Casey and he’ll win.


Called this 5 months ago. Duh.
Anonymous
Is Bob Casey....an election denier?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Is Bob Casey....an election denier?

Like Trump?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Is Bob Casey....an election denier?

Well there goes four years of Democratic talking points out the window. Looks like sore losers refusing to concede isn’t a partisan phenomenon.
Anonymous
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:


Good. I'm glad he held out. Defending democracy has never been more important.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-us-senate.html

R-D is 35K votes.

175K 33rd party votes


Fittingly, "John Thomas" screwed the PA election.


Dave McCormick Rep. 3,373K 48.97%
Bob Casey*. Dem. 3,338K 48.46%
John Thomas. Libertarian 88K 1.29%
Leila Hazou Green. 65K 0.94%
Marty Selker Constitution 23K 0.34%



Not so fast.

If the Pennsylvania Board of Elections awarded the three other runner-up candidates’ votes to Casey, he’d end up winning by almost 3%. So this is definitely NOT over, and Casey absolutely shouldn’t concede. He may still be able to win if his lawyers can argue that those votes should be given to him because he has the best chance at defeating McCormick.


You think Libertarian and Constitution Party are Leftists? Think again. The right got by far the most votes in this race.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Is Bob Casey....an election denier?


See if you can figure out the difference between refusing to concede before the votes are counted, and refusing to concede after the votes are counted.

I'll give you a week to mull it over, since I know it's hard for you. Or maybe you need 4 years, like Trump did
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-us-senate.html

R-D is 35K votes.

175K 33rd party votes


Fittingly, "John Thomas" screwed the PA election.


Dave McCormick Rep. 3,373K 48.97%
Bob Casey*. Dem. 3,338K 48.46%
John Thomas. Libertarian 88K 1.29%
Leila Hazou Green. 65K 0.94%
Marty Selker Constitution 23K 0.34%



Not so fast.

If the Pennsylvania Board of Elections awarded the three other runner-up candidates’ votes to Casey, he’d end up winning by almost 3%. So this is definitely NOT over, and Casey absolutely shouldn’t concede. He may still be able to win if his lawyers can argue that those votes should be given to him because he has the best chance at defeating McCormick.


You think Libertarian and Constitution Party are Leftists? Think again. The right got by far the most votes in this race.


Please define "by far".
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