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How much will Biden lose by?
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Anonymous
| There's a reason they call it an October surprise and not an April surprise. Predicting anything this early is silly. |
Anonymous
People on here think most voters' top priority is Gaza. The political predictions here are worse than the 2016 pollsters |
Anonymous
Anonymous
| Biden will win. The Democrat vote collecting machine is too strong. Sorry to say for me but I don’t see the Republicans matching it. And the polls are missing it big time. |
Anonymous
| Biden 320 Trump 218 |
Anonymous
Anonymous
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Biden is significantly behind Turnip in most of the swing states plus Nevada.
Many (most) of you are forgetting the election is won in the electoral college, not the popular vote. Biden will win lopsided landslides in California and New York, two of the largest states, and by a bigger margin than Turnip will win Florida and Texas, and that will give him the popular vote. And that's the false hope the Democrats risk when they see the popular vote polls narrowing or a 1% Biden lead. But remove CA and NY from the equation as they are already firmly in the D column for the electoral college, the picture in the rest of the country is much darker for Dark Brandon. Because Biden is significantly behind Orange Man in most swing states collectively. Biden *only won 2020 by 100k votes in the swing states*. Do not forget this. It is very plausible, indeed, highly plausible, that Turnip can overturn that 100k vote in 2024. And that is what the polls are showing in the swing states. But the good news is that November is still a long way off. But there are also other bad news for Biden. Voters still rank Biden badly in terms of competence, a higher share of voters worry over physical fitness than Trump's ethical failings: https://twitter.com/TomBevanRCP/status/1783455585150579112 a pattern that has barely budged in the last year. People still rank Trump better on the economy than Biden and inflation, contrary to what some posters on here want to believe, is real and is really biting most Americans. Ultimately, Biden's ability to win the swing states is so weak at the moment and his grip on states like PA and Michigan can very easily slip with just the right number of angry progressive youths sitting out + angry Jewish voters switching to Trump. Most won't, but it does not take that many collectively to swing the state the other direction. |
Anonymous
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Biden will win, because he's campaigning against Trump. If Biden was running against someone younger, fitter, and capable of speech other than constant whining... maybe he'd be given a run for his money. |
Anonymous
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This entire thread is a joke. Trump win VA?? Did you not just see Dems flip the House? Trump win PA? The PA primary says otherwise.
I know MAGA thinks if they say Trump Wins enough it will happen. But the rest of us live in the real world where election after election DEMS over perform while Dear Leader is sitting in a cold courtroom falling asleep and farting. And the abortion issue will only get worse. Trump outright said he supports it being up to the states. That means zero exceptions in many states. We’ll see death and gutting of healthcare. I wouldn’t be surprised if Biden carries more states once SCOTUS overturns EMTALA. Be careful what you wish for. |
Anonymous
Republicans haven't done well or over-performed in elections for the past two years. But this fall will be different for some reason (or because you can say whatever you want on a message board...) |
Anonymous
Anonymous