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Anonymous wrote:The programs are fantastic but unfortunately the lottery isn't all that great at identifying kids that really need the enrichment.
Sour grapes.
Btw, almost everyone in the pool was offered Eastern last year.
We were in the pool and still haven’t gotten an offer. Know lots of other people in the same situation. -NP
Strange. I know dozens offered.
NP - I find that hard to believe. “Dozens” offered? How do you even keep track of these things? Moreover, to conclude that “almost everyone” was offered a spot because of your individual experience is what’s strange.
NP. It was quite remarkable actually - it felt much different than other years as people just kept getting offered the Eastern spots. It was referenced on DCUM and I noticed it at our church, scout pack, etc. Definitely unscientific but noticeably different from other years.
Did the seats at Eastern markedly increase from past years? Did the number of qualified students drastically decrease? Coincidences happen; using your personal observation to put others down is lousy. PP is correct - the metrics for entering students into the lottery are overly broad. I suspect the central review process isn’t as random as MCPS implies it is, but they use the cover of the lottery to identify kids they think will most benefit. At least some of them.
I don’t know the exact numbers, but there far, far more qualified students than there are spots in any of the criteria-based magnet programs. To hurl “sour grapes” at someone who acknowledges that truth is unkind and inaccurate.
Yes, an additional 50 seats were created. However, these didn’t go to affluent white and Asian students exclusively so DCUM feels it must be a sign that the program isn’t worth their while.
An increase of 50 isn’t what I would consider significant. The lottery criteria are also not that stringent, i.e., still far more qualified students than can be admitted.
Again: the vast majority of kids MCPS tells us could benefit from the level of enrichment offered at TPMS/EMS don’t have access to them. Calling that reality sour grapes just makes you look like a jerk.
You might not think it’s a big increase. The reality is they had trouble filing the seats this past year. Many people turned it down due to commute, friendships or it not being a good fit for their kids. Under the lottery system the kids that take up the seats are those very much in need of advanced programming, whose needs won’t be met at their local schools and/or who live close and don’t mind leaving their friends behind.
There are 160K students in MCPS, of whom approximately 25% are in middle school. Let’s call it 22%, for the sake of argument, and consider that half of those kids are inbounds for TPMS/EMS. So, 11% of MCPS kids, which is ~17,600. The criteria for being entered into the lottery is (locally-normed) 85th percentile performance on MAP-R (Eastern) or MAP-M (TP), plus As in relevant subjects. Let’s say that combination of requirements results in 10% of kids being eligible.
Ten percent of 17,600 is 1,760. Eastern had 150 seats? That’s less than 10% of eligible kids - and that’s with my consistently assuming a smaller lottery pool at various steps. Even if we’re generous and consider that both magnets combined are available to 20% of eligible kids, that means there is not room for 80% of eligible kids. Eighty percent.
If my math is outrageously wrong, please, FFS, correct me. Because the assertion that “almost everyone” in the pool for Eastern was offered a spot sounds, literally, incredible. Even if some people turned it down. Still: not credible.