No it’s not. |
Well, nothing in your article says that kids with delta are more transmissible than adults with delta. That is still a question, and so far there is no evidence that delta in kids is MORE transmissible than delta in adults. |
LOL, you're so comically bad at brain. Oh, I feel bad for saying this. |
This person is the most literal version of a dunning-krueger graph I have ever seen. |
I'm going to try one more time. What are you hoping to show with the BMJ article? The article says that there is spread in schools. What do you want us to see? |
Remember you don't like ad hominem? |
It's truly painful. I am very glad that this person is not making public health decisions, if only because they can't express themselves well at all. |
so you think Dr Collins meant absolutely none of the prior research on covid is relevant? |
And frankly, delta would have to be over 50% more transmissable by kids relative to adults just to even out the variance in transmission seen in alpha. That would mean that kids are way more susceptible to delta than adults and would be a cataclysmic event. Instead what the data is showiing is that delta is more transmissable across the board but at the same underlying ratio. Thus kids are still not the vectors of transmission, adults are. |
I think it's fair to assume that prior research on indoor transmission is no longer relevant. |
Pretty sure that's what she means by "2020 LOL" |
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We know delta is more transmissible, among adults and kids. But we need to understand if delta is more dangerous to kids than the previous variants. If delta is no more dangerous to kids than the previous variants, then the main reason to shut down classrooms would be to prevent the spread to adult household members or other members of the community. When balancing the costs, I don't think that it makes sense to shut down classrooms to protect unvaccinated adults, who could choose to protect themselves simply by getting a vaccine.
If delta does pose a significant risk to kids' health, then the balance is different. Then, I think that quarantines are more warranted and every parent should have a virtual option so as to avoid the ethical quandary of exposing their child to a dangerous disease. Especially for kids who did not, in fact, have learning loss last year and we are confident will continue to be fine this year. This AAP data will be important to follow. It already shows a pretty scary high current transmission rate among kids, considering that school is not yet in session in most places. https://downloads.aap.org/AAP/PDF/AAP%20and%20CHA%20-%20Children%20and%20COVID-19%20State%20Data%20Report%207.29%20FINAL.pdf. I think it is way to early to draw any conclusions from the hospitalization data. We all know that usually lags case data by at least a few weeks. |
All kids would fall behind much further if schools were trying to be all things to all people and have virtual and in person programs. If your kids are currently not behind after last year its either because they are preschoolers and this conversation is really about you wanting to keep your HRCS seat but not attend school or its because you had resources many/most families lack. |
And thus far there's been no indication that delta is more virulent to kids than prior strains. We can look at countries like the UK that have already had delta to see what the hospitalization rate among kids with delta has been. |
That seems like a giant assumption. |