"It is going to be the worst winter ever" please quote reliable source
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Anonymous
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I heard many people say that. And now I believe it too.
But I don't know why. Can somebody tell me who has done this forecast, what source? Thank you |
Anonymous
| It was a fake. |
Anonymous
| Farmers Almanac? |
Anonymous
| Farmer's Almanac predicted a bad snow season last year and it was. Farmer's Almanac predicts a bad one for this year, too. |
Anonymous
| Bump |
Anonymous
| Rachel Maddow said so , so it must be true!!! |
Anonymous
| Didn't farmers almanac also predict this past summer was going to be extremely hot? |
Anonymous
Do they have a record of reliably-accurate predictions? |
Anonymous
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They claim they are 80-85% accurate.
Can't be worse than these TV meteorologist. |
Anonymous
| There have been several meteorologists who also predicted lower than average temps and well above average snowfall for the mid-atlantic region. I'm taking it seriously and having a whole house generator installed. We lost power during the '09-'10 winter and never again!!! |
Anonymous
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NO ONE KNOWS! The Farmers Alamanac claims to be 80% accurate, according to a PP, but there predictions will be for a storm in the NE over a 5 day period. Guess what, most 5 day periods will have a storm in Jan-Feb.
You need to test the null hypothesis: what historic percentage of the time does the prediction verify (for example, how many Feb 2-5 is there a storm that they could claim success). Then, compare that number to the the current years. I suspect you will see that there predictions vague enough such that they are always true, but not significant. As an example: I predict it will be colder on Jan 15 than July 15. |
Anonymous
No, it actually said we'd have a mild summer. And we did. I remember discussing this prediction with my neighbor last spring and we both said we hoped it would be true. |
Anonymous
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The crossing guard: "All these acorns falling means a hard winter..."
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Anonymous
| DH: the squirrels are really fat this year, it's going to be a bad winter. He has 100% accuracy for the past five years (we lived in a different climate before then). |
Anonymous
| My right knee |