+2 to your general post And no one really thinks some other mythical Democrat would be better. Those people are Republicans pretending to be Democrats on the internet. There is no other Democrat for this race. An actual Democrat started a thread about that a few months ago and no one could actually come up with someone with national name recognition, widespread interest, etc. The fact is that the GOP is allied with enemy states and the GOP is enjoying the apparent instability in the world because they think it helps them. I think a lot of people are rightly concerned about Israel’s butchery and the situation that led to that (Netanyahu aided Hamas’s rise), but most women are going to understand what is on the line here in the US, and, as you say, Trump would be a thousand times worse. And America would cease to exist. |
I'm the one who posted the article about Professor Lichtmans' predictions.
I agree with him that Biden will win. I think we have two very weak candidates and that the vast majority of the country is not voting for either candidate, but voting against the opposing candidate. We have a classic case of the lesser of two evils. But in this case, I think the last two election cycles in 2022 and 2023 have shown that post-RvW, any election that includes references to abortion on the ticket, the pro-abortion side prevails. State amendments in Kansas and Ohio, gubernatorial election in Kentucky and the state legislature elections in Virginia have all shown that even in deep red states, the abortion issues is salient. Post-election polling has shown that a significant number of people who do not traditionally vote, come out to vote and support the abortion issue. So, why Trump is currently leading in the people who are known and committed to voting, he isn't doing much to bring out the voters that normally do not vote. In 2020, he actually brought out a significant number of highly conservative non-voters and he had a record amount of support, but Biden did the same and still won. In this case, Biden is resonating far greater support from non-voters due to the abortion issue and like in 2022 and 2023, it will likely be the tipping point. I personally am leaning towards Biden. Why? There are a number of reasons. Starting from treatment of minorities. Trump has been the biggest setback in race, creed and gender relationships since the start of the civil rights movement. Trump's supporters very much want to return to the world of the 1950's when white males held huge privilege and everyone else did not. Trump's rhetoric and his backhanded signals spurred on the Charlottesville and January 6 riots and have encouraged increased violence by predominantly white males against minorities. From mass shootings, to assaults on Asian Americans, to assaults on Jewish Americans and increased violence against Black Americans, Trump has been inspirational to bigots who see no problem is spouting hatred and using violence to back up their hatred. It's sad that in 2024, that we have more violence against minorities than we had 40+ years ago, and that is in large part because Trump encourages his followers to use violence to "enhance" their hatred and bigotry. Domestically, Trump has also been instrumental in increasing the wealth disparity between the top 1% and the bottom 99%. His signature tax law change provided more and more cuts to corporate taxation while simultaneously providing cuts to public services for the poor and low income. While the middle class stayed stagnant, taxation on the poor and low income increased and taxes for the wealthy and corporations decreased. This has meant that more people have entered the working poor and there is now a bigger gap between C-suite and employee wealth and income. During Trump's administration, there were many more working poor, those people who worked one or two hourly jobs that could not find a way to make ends meet. Under Biden, with the Raise the Wage Act of 2023, lower end workers will have a better chance to be able to be self-sufficient and be able to retain housing and food for their families. Internationally, Trump weakened the US traditional ties to Europe and our NATO allies, plus democratic friends and allies such as Canada and Japan. Instead, he encouraged better relationships with authoritarian regimes such as Russia, North Korea (!), and then botching up the Iran situation. Trump is highly supportive of authoritarian bullies and will encourage such violence as opposed to fighting for peace. He is also widely ridiculed to most of the leaders of the First World as being unpredictable and unreliable. He thinks of world diplomacy as the Wild Wild West and a shoot 'em out situation. Trump also set back US Judicial Progress decades. As we know by now, his judicial appointments have overturned a boatload of "established precedent" that will affect the US for decades. The current judicial structure once again favors men and white Americans at the expense of women and minorities and this is not a good thing. With the potential for up to 3 justices that might retire of pass in the next four years, it is important to me that Trump not be the one to select their successors. Just the tip of the iceburg, but that's a starter for me. |
If two very unpopular 80 year old people are truly the best candidates the RNC and DNC can convince to run on their tickets, they need to close shop after the 2024 election like any other failing private entities would have to do. Oh but they won't. They'll just ask for more money to piss away |
Pick a lane. EITHER Hamas was hiding behind innocent men, women, and children OR you don’t know where they are hiding at all. Your words, not mine. Really? So really you just consume and regurgitate the Israeli propaganda to justify killing innocent civilians. The solution to uncertainty is to indiscriminately bomb and strafe a blockaded land, killing tens of thousands of innocent people in the process? As for the festival attack, it’s obvious that the Hamas attacks were based on convenience. I’m sure they would have preferred to commit those atrocities on more IDF personnel in those moments. Otherwise, it’s silly to suggest that they should have marched right up to an IDF tank and started throwing hands at the steel like idiots. Attacks should involve strategy, right? Who attacks head-on? Just pointing out the obvious. Anyway, you are pretty terrible at debate. I hope you perform your day job to greater effect. I will choose to believe that you do, and that you’re an otherwise lovely person except for your pro-Israel views. |
You're defending the festival attack, but sure, I'm terrible at debate. |
He’s creating an outsize proportion of the problems in the world: he’s no “grownup”. |
Has Professor Lichtman already called 2024? I thought he only released his predictions close to the election date. |
Why oh why didn’t either party put another candidate through? It would have been a slam dunk. |
Biden is done. He is such an amoral person. This Israel stuff has shown he is worst vs Trump. Watching 35,000 Palestinians women and children being killed and all Biden cares about is if the IDF triggers finger is getting tired. |
Your argument is that Hamas should have evaded detection while invading Israel, knocked on the front door of an IDF outpost with their dukes up, and fought "like a real man!" ... and you say this while cowering like a baby girl from behind Uncle Sam's pants leg, you coward. You're not just terrible at debate, you don't know when to take an L and shut your mouth. |
And end insiders’ grifts? Unthinkable! |
They were selected by primary voters. There were other candidates. The voters didn’t like them. |
Dp- please stop. You aren’t good at this. You aren’t persuasive, and you are doubling down on the terrorist attack on the music festival. Just stop. |
What will happen under Trump? How will this situation improve? |
Loooool if the Hamas terrorist attacks on Israel happened under Trump, Trump would have told Bibi to use the nukes himself. Let’s not pretend otherwise. Those two are cut from the same cloth. |