OP, yes, these days will return. But it takes political action to push upzoning in Arlington and surrounding areas. Lobby to allow much more dense urban infill. 2-4 units per lot instead of 1 SFH now. The tide is changing rapidly but it will be another few years before we're fully there. You won't have a 5k sq ft SFH on a 7k sq ft lot but fewer people want that much space these days anyway, with smaller families. |
‘Running out of land’ is a cliche that appears during bubbles. |
Decent and growing chance that in coming months or years we will be living in a police state that concurrently suffers from terrorist violence from neo-confederate insurgents. This will cause a general decline in economic prosperity, depopulation, and thereby make real estate much cheaper. This will be necessary as many of us will be earning substantially less. Most upper income jobs nowadays rely on complex economic relationships that will be easily disrupted by the political chaos and violence we will continue to see. So yes, who knows, it is quite possible that in 10 years a gainfully employed maid will be able to buy some super specialized law firm partner's McManse in Arlington. |
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A 2-3BR in Arlington is still 800k minimum. I promise you there are no maids doing that. And of course you can do that in Warrenton but good luck commuting to the Watergate from Warrenton. And add to that I’m sure arlington was more expensive than Warrenton in the 60s. |
Right place, right race. Look up halls hill. |
My parents moved down from Connecticut in the 60s for my dad's new government job. Many people were coming for govt in the post-Kennedy years. His Office was downtown and then Crystal City. Arlington was not desirable back then---especially the most valuable real estate in Arlington now (Rosslyn/Clarendon was sketchier back then). Rossly had prostitutes. The big thing in that time period was urban flight. After the fires in DC (read the history) the dream was to move to the suburbs. All of the real estate was new in NoVA---Fairfax Co, etc. Our subdivision was brand new in 1974. Very large subdivision, large homes and yards and every home was a family with young kids. It was a great place to grow up. However, my parents' home is worth about $700k today. I live in a home in Clarendon worth $1.7million (not a new build, no massive additions or renovations) which was priced less than my parents new build back in 1974. Suburbs were the thing in the 70s/80s. None of the 'walkable' stuff that many of us highly value now. |
I’m going to guess Arlington still has prostitutes. Now they are just less public in their marketing. |
My landscaper has a multi acre Potomac house. In section of multi million dollar homes.
He is like mid 60s Told me back in 1980s he bought in way way outer Potomac in area at time Cess pools and wells and electric heat a house with a lot of acreage hidden from street. His goal was to move his family and everyone in house and have a place to park all his commercial equipment for free. His wife cried for months and pitch black at night out there 40 years ago. He still lived there has like 15 vehicles and does all the Potomac houses |
Please. You’re delusional. There are plenty of double income professionals who can barely afford a modest 3bedroom house with a bathroom and kitchen that need updating. A maid would be lucky to not be homeless in this area. That’s how far we’ve fallen as a nation. |
Yes and there is also about 30 people each living in one house with a ton of cars on the street. The reason why I left. |
No, I dont think those days wont return where someone making minimum wage can afford a house in a relatively high COL area. Appreciation will continue to rise, but the availability of that kind of house to someone making minimum wage is not possible. Most wages have remained flat even as COL (for healthcare, college, etc) has skyrocketed. Regressive tax policies have not helped. If the minimum wage had increased along with the COL and productivity, it should be closer to 2-25/hr, not 7.25. The path to wealth through home ownership remains valid, but most ppl who can afford homes at a young age that will appreciate have already come from money and are making money. Lots of threads on this. Generational wealth is the largest indicator of future wealth. My parents bought a house in Brentwood (Los Angeles) in 1969 for 55k on one professor's salary and raised us there. The mortgage was so low it allowed my parents to give us all the basics and a lot of the extras and save for both kids for college. Its now worth 3 millon. My spouse and I make far more than my father did when they bought that house (even adjusted for inflation), but the COL and real estate is such that we cannot afford the kind of lifestyle my parents provided on one middle class salary, unless perhaps we moved to a very LCOL area. Here's another interesting piece of information. If my sibling and I inherit the house, we continue to pay the same taxes that my parents pay--something like 3900/year (!! I currently pay 14k/year for a 875k/house where I live). If the house is sold a new owner would pay 27k a year. This is why in california people dont sell houses they give them to their kids and that tax money doesn't pay for schools, etc. |
My friend has a house cleaning business in the Miami area. She earns over 6K per month. She started the business in 2006. It was a bigger operation at one point, but all the hired staff was flaky, so she had to scale down.
Her clientele is rich people for whom she even buys household supplies and food prior to them coming to their properties. So, if you work hard, you can earn a ton of money. She is now 65, not a bad income for part-time work for a 65-year-old, no? |
Note that I referenced 2-4 unit THs and condos and not SFHs which will not be affordable. There is massive demand for small and tiny apts/condos/ADU options. But the inventory is not there yet because of NIMBY zoning restrictions. That is what political pressure will solve for in the next few years. It's already well under way in Arlington.
Prop 13 was severely limited this last election cycle, fortunately. Only kids who inherit and live in the house as their primary home can now continue to claim the same tax basis. It's a much fairer system. |
Let me rephrase that "street walkers". Like used to frequent where the Verizon Center now is. In high school in the 80s, the boys used to drive down there to gawk at them walking their strip. |