Trump wants Ann Selzer punished for her Iowa poll Predicition.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think he is right.

Pollsters should do their best to be non biased. It definitely look like she released intentionally skewed results into order to bolster Harris’s momentum and change the media narrative for democrats to positive

Agree. I was second guessing everything when I heard about Selzer's poll. This is the reason election results are not published until all polls are closed. As it is people could have decided not to vote or vote for Harris because it looked the poll was signaling a come from behind for her.

If the Dems have been yammering about election integrity, they should look into it. Maybe Selzer can join Harris on history's dumbassery island.

No he's not right . We do not punish people for wrong predictions

Did he call for the investigation of those who predicted his win last time and were wrong?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I am a Harris-supporting Dem and I do think Selzer might have put a finger on the scales in that poll, in retrospect. Though not in the way people are alleging. I think it has to do with how she identifies voters as "likely" and that her method discounts Trump voters who may respond to interviewers questions about whether or not they will vote with sarcasm or caustic negativity. Unlike other pollster's, Selzer doesn't weight her likely voter sampling by looking at things like past voting history. She takes them at their word -- if a voter says they are going to vote, they are a likely voter. If they don't say this or sounds as though they are still not sure if they are going to vote, they are not a likely voter.

This has been an effective way of measuring likely voters in Iowa in the past but Trump voters often have a different posture about voting than supporters of other candidates (of both parties) have had in the past. As a result I think Selzer under-sampled Trump supporters by excluding them on the question of whether or not they were likely to vote, and this resulted in a poll result that greatly overestimated support for Harris in the Iowa electorate.

I also think this sampling error became more pronounced for the poll shortly before the election because Selzer's interviews were likely looking for very strong indications of plans to vote in the week before Election Day, whereas when she polled the state in June and in September (both polls showed Trump well ahead) she likely accepted any indication that they planned to vote (even if lukewarm) as qualifying for them to be included as a likely voter.

Pollsters hate Trump even when they like him because it's very hard to gauge actual support for him because of the nature of his support and his ability to turn out unlikely voters. The polls that "accurately" predicted election results did so by baking in prior experiences with Trump voters in order to weight the polls in his favor. For instance many pollsters have changed how they characterize hang-ups in phone polls -- previously a respondent who said "I'm ******* voting for Trump" and then hung up or terminated a text poll would have been left out of poll results as "nonresponsive." Now most pollsters will list that respondent as voting for Trump even though they technically didn't answer any polling questions and didn't provide answers to questions like how likely they are to vote or how they voted in the last election.

It will be interesting to see what happens when Trump is no longer running, to see if polling firms can regain their footing. I will note here that the polls were very accurate at predicting outcomes of Senate and House races as well as ballot initiatives.

Anyway it is a shame this was Selzer's last poll. She was good at her job but she didn't adjust to the Trump electorate and she paid for that error with this black mark on an otherwise stellar record over nearly 40 years. A shame.

Trump can go suck his thumb in the corner about this one. He will lose this.

isn't it amazing what a whiny little b**** he is even after winning an election? i've honestly never met such a whiny little b**** in all my life. amazing anyone thinks he represents masculinity. maybe for an undersocialized four year old.

1. He;s a narcissist.

2. This behavior is great distraction his base doesn't;t know how to do anything else but be angry. They have won the presidency, the house and the senate, but are they happy? No instead they are holding rallies, and fighting with democrats. Hate and anger is all they know. Trump knows he can use this to his advantage while they are all attacking Seltzer for pretend crimes they are distracted from what he and his cronies are doing. Which if you follow the news he was starting to get some pushback even from his supporters can't have them questioning too much.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think he is right.

Pollsters should do their best to be non biased. It definitely look like she released intentionally skewed results into order to bolster Harris’s momentum and change the media narrative for democrats to positive

It's not constitutional.

Trump is declaring a national emergency and using the military in mass deportation. This is pretty damn close to martial law,! Thousands are going to be murdered.

https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/trump-national-emergency-military-deportations-1235169953/

[Anonymous]

There’s clearly nothing wrong with a poll shifting 7 points two days before the election and then being 16 points off.

Move along folks. There’s nothing to see here.

[Anonymous]

Not surprised that he's a sore winner too. Then again, maybe he has something to hide.

[Anonymous]

Voted for Trump, don’t support his call for an investigation despite the fact that I do suspect Selzer, and agree it makes him look like a sore winner.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:There’s clearly nothing wrong with a poll shifting 7 points two days before the election and then being 16 points off.

Move along folks. There’s nothing to see here.

but how does this matter now?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Not surprised that he's a sore winner too. Then again, maybe he has something to hide.

this.

[Anonymous]

He’s such a big baby. Always having a temper tantrum when people don’t conform to his wishes. His followers are just as bad.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think he is right.

Pollsters should do their best to be non biased. It definitely look like she released intentionally skewed results into order to bolster Harris’s momentum and change the media narrative for democrats to positive

So what damages is he entitled to? What law was broken? Was anyone libeled?

We're asking the same question about the New York case. Well?

That is all answered as part of the record and in the court decision. That will answer your question.

[Anonymous]

Doesn't Trump have an economy to fix? Why the hell is he worried about an Iowa pollster who reported on what her findings were?

Oh wait, this is Trump we are talking about. He has no plans for his second term presidency, other than a revenge tour and staying out of jail.

[Anonymous]

He will throw out something new every week for them to be angry about and because that's all he has to mobilize people with . is anger

[Anonymous]

I asked my aunt if she is exhausted from being angry all the time you would think after winning they would actually be happy and could enjoy it. But nope, they get new marching orders every week of what they need to protest or be upset about. Couldn't imagine looking like that.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I think he is right.

Pollsters should do their best to be non biased. It definitely look like she released intentionally skewed results into order to bolster Harris’s momentum and change the media narrative for democrats to positive

She doesn’t weight her polls. Her methods aren’t a secret.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:There’s clearly nothing wrong with a poll shifting 7 points two days before the election and then being 16 points off.

Move along folks. There’s nothing to see here.

She was certainly lying for political gain. While campaign finance laws are wholly unconstitutional, they've been upheld. Her acts should be treated as an undisclosed political contribution and punished accordingly.

Any Dem who disagrees better be on the record saying Mackey should not have gone to jail for publishing a meme. Otherwise, your views are based on your politics and not the law. As such, they're not rational.