DP. It is 55 for HSA (extra $1000) |
So using your "order of operation" how big is your porfolio? 1 mil? 5 mil? or more than 10 mil? |
DP but look at the “tax rates stay the same” example of this link— https://smartasset.com/financial-advisor/traditional-ira-vs-roth-ira |
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I started using the Roth 401k late and regret it. I now put everything into the Roth and have done a conversion. Here are my reasons, which I do not believe are universally applicable but rather things that are part of the considerations:
1. In no way did I factor RMDs into my post retirement income. Once I did, I found that they are high enough to push me into a higher tax bracket than I am today. 2. The above is compounded as DH's health is poor, and my chances of many years of having to pay at high single rates rather than married filing jointly rates are quite high. 3. One of my savings goals is to leave money behind for me kids subject to as little tax as possible. Both a 401k and 401k Roth are factored into estates for tax purposes. I live in a state with a low threshold. All things being equal, the untaxed 401k amounts will be higher than the taxed Roth 401k amount, making the estate smaller and, thus, less subject to estate taxes. It all comes down to a personal choice about one's particular circumstances and risk appetite, particularly with respect to where tax rates might go. |
May I ask what your marginal tax rate is now? Ours is 35% and I just can't make the math work in choosing Roth v. Trad'l. |
Marginal rate is 35%. Rate in retirement with RMDs would be 37%. If my spouse died, income would be less but I would still be in the 37% bracket filing as single. |
The single vs married is a point worth considering but it looks like Congress will push back the RMD starting date again. On the other hand, if you have retirement assets in excess of $15 M with an RMD of $500k the marginal benefits of a Roth conversion at 35% aren’t going to be too meaningful. There are some academic papers that look at this and they find in practice the benefits of Roth conversion are less than expected. |
Sure. To make the math easy, let’s assume $20,000 devoted to tax advantaged retirement savings (I’m only going to do the math for one year’s contribution, because it’s an easier illustration), a 10% rate of return, a 5 year accumulation phase, and a 10% tax rate (which is the same during the accumulation and withdrawal phases). I am hoping we can all agree that the amount of the contribution, number of years in the accumulation phase, the precise rates of return and the tax rates used are irrelevant to the fundamental question – they just need to be consistent across the two examples? Super. Person 1 - traditional 401k, so the contribution is tax deferred, and she is able to deposit the entire $20,000 into the account. Initial Contribution: $20,000 Year 1: $22,000 Year 2: $24,200 Year 3: $26,620 Year 4: $29,282 Year 5: $32,210.20 Withdrawal: $32,210.20 Application of 10% tax: $32,210.20 - $3,221.02 = $28,989.18 Total available: $28,989.18 Person 2 - Roth 401k, so must pay 10% taxes on the initial contribution ($20,000 - $2,000 = $18,000) Initial Contribution: $18,000 Year 1: $19,800 Year 2: $21,780 Year 3: $23,958 Year 4: $26,353.80 Year 5: $28,989.18 Withdrawal: $28,989.18 There are no taxes, so . . . Total available: $28,989.18 Feel free to check the arithmetic. |
I didn't know this was under consideration; thanks for pointing out. Obviously, we will have to see how this develops, but it is worth keeping an eye out for. |
Also don't forget to consider state taxes and states that don't tax RMD distributions. Assuming you live in VA and move to Florida, that would be a saving of 5.75%. |
| I'd never heard of, but really like the HSA idea on the order of operations. But with a family those high deductible plans to qualify really seem like a risk that could wipe out any potential tax savings and more. Any creative ways to fund an HSA? |
You’re paying for the medical expenses either way, consider how much lower your premiums are for the HSA eligible plan versus your other options. The savings in premiums can fund your HSA and you get a tax break. If you have a lot of medical expenses one year you use all the HSA money, if you don’t then it adds to your savings for the future. |
DP. I am considering a Roth conversion and I understand this point but what about the money I use to pay the taxes? I'm going to pay from other cash, not from the IRA balance. Is there an opportunity cost to that money? If it didn't go to taxes, I would put it in maybe a brokerage account or throw some in a 529, which would compound over the next however many yrs instead. |
It's not that clear cut, the tax they pay now at 32% could be invested and compound into the future..and if they plan it well, they can withdraw it at a much lower tax bracket when they retire. It's almost impossible to say which has clear advantage over the other without knowing the future tax code and market performance |
For Roth conversions the question is can you get a lower tax rate on that money now or in the future. If your situation has you temporarily in a lower bracket than usual it may be a good idea to do Roth conversions. |