
They are going to follow CIP projections whether they are fake news or not. That’s one piece of “analytics” they actually have. The capacity numbers game will be one way they play the subjective vs objective rebalancing. |
Every time the Democrats do something locally that might get people to look more seriously at their challengers, you have Trump doing something outrageously stupid. Now he's destroying the American economy and depleting the savings accounts of families. Good luck getting people to pay attention to something other than the jobs they've lost and the financial wealth that Trump blew up. The Republicans are going to get routed in the state-wide elections this fall, and we will continue to have all-Democratic School Board in FCPS. They will do whatever they want with school boundaries and pointing out flaws in the CIP projections will get the attention of about 10 people. Get rid of the MAGA Republicans, starting with Trump, and maybe the local politicians in Fairfax will be different again some day. |
If the unhinged and unnecessary school boundary changes go through -- I too will be spending lots of time, money and effort to work against the Democratic Party that pushed for these boundary changes and will doggedly support any opponent of the current school board members in future elections. |
Won’t matter. People have bigger fish to fry than the public school to which your kid is assigned. Trump’s shenanigans led to a 12-0 Democratic SB in 2019 and he wasn’t nearly as unhinged as he is now. People will take it out on any GOP-endorsed candidate running for any office, state or local, before 2028. |
DP. Your fallacy is assuming that intensity of feelings on the issue don’t matter. Sure, Dems might win statewide this go round, but enough people care about their own kids’ educations that this issue won’t just get drowned out, especially over the long term. But I guess time will tell. Just like Kyle McDaniels at a strip club, this school board might f around one too many times. |
Amen |
Yep, that's my point. Sitting back and "calling out" the numbers as shoddy isn't constructive. That's like a kid handing in a paper and the teacher says this is a bad paper. Ok, great, now what? If someone would do an independent audit of the CIP data that would be valuable, and would go a long way towards uncovering the games they are playing with projections, overexpansion, unnessary pet projects, etc., but just saying the numbers are no good is worthless. Those are the numbers that are going to be the inputs for the Thru Consulting scenario outputs. |
Prediction: No final decision on boundaries until after November election. |
Yikes. Your view of the world seems to be Let incompetent people do bad things. A better analogy is if a teacher gives a student a bad grade, and in response the parent of the student talks to the teacher, principal, school board, superintendent, and other parents to let them all know her concerns. Sure maybe nothing will change, but at least everyone knows that it’s a bad teacher. I can’t tell what your angle is here, but it just seems like you are trying to tell us to shut up about data discrepancies. That makes me think you’re at gatehouse. To reiterate for people reading this thread, including the BRAC members, the CIP projections are faulty and don’t include residential development in key areas. Future year projections are very unreliable. |
DP. I’ve heard the frequent suggestion that their CIP projections are flawed because they ignore future development until a developer has broken ground. With Trump blowing up the economy, the likelihood they will invest time and effort changing the methodology has decreased. Stated differently, the likelihood that a lot of these projects will get canceled or deferred has gone up significantly now that the orange idiot is blowing up the American economy and triggering a recession. And that’s what will be on Fairfax voters’ minds for the next several years. Getting back at the SB for reassigning one Langley feeder to Herndon isn’t going to matter much compared to the fact that Trump, with the complicity of MAGA Republicans (and there isn’t really any type left), is responsible for major job losses and massive wealth destruction in Fairfax and elsewhere. The Democrats in Fairfax are the opposition and they now have an even bigger blank check to do whatever they want, including changing your local school boundaries. |
I had the same thought. I have a feeling they may not even roll out scenarios before then. They have the lead in current polling in the Governor's race and risk blowing that up with stupid proposals right now. Just say that based on feedback from the BRAC (even though they won't listen to BRAC at all), they are going to revise some ideas and push the timetable out. Then they drop the ridiculous plans on us right after the election. |
Got it. So your view is that the school board can do whatever it wants because of what’s happening at the federal level. It’s ironic that you use the term blank check, because the school board keeps telling us they don’t have enough money. As residents continue to send their kids private or move to loudoun, there will come a tipping point where we’ll get vouchers, and the county will deserve the further decrease in funding. Long term cynicism allowing politicians to do whatever they want has gotten us to where we are as a country. That’s on you and people that think like you. |
Much as I would love vouchers (recently left FCPS for private), this county is moving more and more towards catering to the elderly and the youth population is declining. I don't think vouchers will happen. |
Vouchers would like come down from the state level, not the county. They might even come down from the federal level, though that is less likely |
It’s my assessment, not necessarily my preference, although I do think Republicans at every level of government who are intimidated by and kowtow to the orange idiot need to pay a price politically. At some point you’ll realize that you can scream 10x as loud and post on a forum like this 10x as much as others and you still only have one vote in a low-information election like a SB election. |