2020 House of Representatives Thread

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I thought the mayor of Witchita was running against Watkins?

Close - the mayor of Topeka is running but she hasn’t won her primary (against a polisci grad student) yet. Watkins’ primary is against the state treasurer so looks to be more challenging.

And Watkins did show up to the debate.

[Anonymous]

Get ready for Congressman Candyman

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Get ready for Congressman Candyman

Doctor Candyman came out today and said that masks should be a personal choice.

[Anonymous]

The state of the Republicans’ effort to take back the House in one tweet:

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

“According to the Center for Responsive Politics, Democratic House candidates have raised $457 million so far in this election to $365 million for their GOP counterparts as of July 1. And the gap is even wider in the most competitive races; in a baker's dozen of most competitive races with primaries in June and July, Democratic incumbents have nearly nine(!) times more on hand -- $40 million to $4.5 million -- than the best-funded GOP challengers.
Combine a declining national environment with that sort of fundraising problem and you have a recipe for House disaster for Republicans.”
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/26/politics/us-election-2020-week-ahead/index.html

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:So, as an incumbent Congressman, do you show up for the primary debate that starts half an hour after the news release that you’ve been charged with three felonies, or do you skip it?

No official D candidate yet since the primaries aren’t until August 4, but the Democrats almost flipped this one last time. Lost by less than a point. District includes Topeka and Kansas City outer suburbs.

Voter fraud ahole lost his primary!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

This is a pretty remarkable development. Rep. Clay has had the seat since 2001 and inherited it from his father who held it since 1969. Anytime a political dynasty is broken, especially a fifty-year one, it is exciting. Clay was also too comfortable and changes like this are healthy for the party.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

This is a pretty remarkable development. Rep. Clay has had the seat since 2001 and inherited it from his father who held it since 1969. Anytime a political dynasty is broken, especially a fifty-year one, it is exciting. Clay was also too comfortable and changes like this are healthy for the party.

Agreed. Although many of the newcomers are to the left of my personal views, I can't help get but get excited when long term older democrats are ousted by younger firebrands. Political parties need constant change.

[Anonymous]

Watch how quiet CBC will be regarding cori bush.

They lost all credibility after simpin for Eliot Engel over jamaal bowman.

CBC doesnt care one whit about black people.

They care about their little personal fiefdoms of power.

James clyburn and the Biden nomination will be the high watermark of the CBC - the death rattle of the org if you will...just like trump 2016 was the death rattle of certain kinds of whites (the ones suffering from decreased life expectancies)

[Anonymous]

House Outlook
Democrats have a 233-201 majority, with one Libertarian (Amash). Republicans need a net gain of 17 seats for a majority. Democrats are most likely to maintain control with most likely outcome range: No net change to Democrats +12 seats.
https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2020-house-ratings-august-7-2020

Also this:
House Races to Watch
August 7, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

With President Donald Trump underperforming by at least 8-10 points around the country, here is a list of districts that Trump carried in 2016 that he could lose to Joe Biden in the fall. With a strong correlation between presidential and House results, that makes these districts (all currently rated Solid Republican) ones to watch for a Democratic upset or surprise in November.
https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/house-races-to-watch

[Anonymous]

Last piece from Inside Elections - 29 ratings changes, all but two (Murcasel-Powell and Davis) in favor of Democrats.

[Anonymous]

All of the changes from “solid Republican” to “lean Republican” is great and all, but it feels like not enough.