It includes my pension. $3M would be awesome but no, I'm not achieving that with 10%. |
I'm in my mid 20s and I mostly agree with both of you. I also grew up in this area, and although housing close in was way, way less expensive (my father was a federal attorney, my mom a SAH and then part time and we lived in Chevy Chase DC for half of my childhood). But the prices my mom remembers for daycare, adjusting for inflation, seems pretty much the same. Their first house (not in CCDC) was a two bedroom semi-detached rowhouse that was very old and not at all updated and very much a "starter home" which they didn't buy until their early 30s. I also don't remember going out to eat that much, and when we did, it was usually someplace cheap. We never had fancy cars, just practical cars like a Ford station wagon that we drove until it died. Now that my brother and I are out of the house, my parents also do things like remodel the house, go on nice vacations, and go out to eat at really nice restaurants, and splurge on luxury items like nice cars. |
Well in rough terms, you took on a mortgage 2.5x your salary earlier. Today you would be taking on a mortgage 3.5x your salary. Real estate prices have outpaced income increases. |
I would guess your house was 300k or so? How do you feel about schools? That is a great commute even to downtown, but we aren't sure about school quality is dtss. But the area is rapidly changing and schools should improve. We are more risk adverse regarding schools so sadly small homes in our preferred close in school district start at 700k. I suspect that maybe part of the 450k you have saved up! What do you consider bells ad whistles? We have $30 internet, low end Hondas (1 car is nice but two kids & two working parents make that harder). No cable. We just got our first smartphone (only 1) and that was cheapest version. Our expense are dominated by housing, daycare (equals the mortgage), and to a much lesser degree annual travel to far away family. What are we forgetting? This is an issue seen in another warren book, the 60% solution. Cutting out Starbucks won't fund college; you have to make changes to these big recurring expenses, and that can mean moving, finding different jobs, etc. whistles and bells prob weren't funding your awesome nest egg, right? |
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I grew up in this area in the 90s.
Dad was a fed and mom stayed at home. Dad made about 150k. We had a 3200 SF house in fairfax woodson district. 2 cars paid cash and kids had college fully paid through masters. Dad has pension and 401k and full health benefits till death. So yes it sucks. |
let me correct that dad made 150K but often took TTDYs in hardship posts. |
People aren't saving gobs of money by eating out or not. Besides we are parents and who had time to eat out someplace expensive? The real cost is housing. Period. And you 60s slit level was probably 20 yrs old when you lived in it. A 20 year old house close in is radically expensive, and so we settle for the worn out mid century housing and pay thru the nose for mortgage and maintenance. |
Yes, but you're missing is that in the mid-90s, the mortgage worth 2.5x your salary cost you not much less, on a monthly basis, than the mortgage worth 3.5x your salary, because interest rates were that much higher. If your HHI is $100,000, and you take out a mortgage at 2.5x your income ($250,000) at 6.5% for 30 years, your monthly payment is $1580. If you take out a mortgage at 3.5x your income ($350,000), but the interest rate is 3.5% for 30 years, your monthly payment is $1572. Note, too, that historically as interest rates have risen, real estate prices have dropped and vice versa. |
sorry, what fed was making $150k in the 90s? Most feds 20 years later aren't making anywhere near that much. At any rate, assuming that amount of money is correct, 150k in 1995 dollars is worth $230k in today's dollars. That still buys a large home in the Woodson district of Fairfax, and if you are a fed, you are still earning a pension and 401k and getting full health benefits in retirement. Today's federal retirement is much more 401k than outright pension, so that's one difference. The biggest difference though is that the cost of college has risen astronomically. |
NP. To me, the problem is that you are trying to do too much at the same time. Look what you just wrote: you have the equivalent of another mortgage payment due to daycare costs. When those daycare costs go away, so do a lot of your money troubles. Why not look to shorter-term housing solutions? Buy the smaller home in the more "risky" school district until you are done with daycare. Your oldest kid goes to school there for a few years. Then when your youngest is ready to start school, you can afford to make the move to a better school district, if you still feel that is necessary, or if you want to a larger home in same district if by that time you have become comfortable in that district. At a HHI of $200,000, you may be able to have much of what you want. Just not all at the same time. Like some PPs noted, my very middle class parents (that is, HHI much less than $200k) eventually ended up in the lovely home they had always wanted....once their kids were out of college. |
From where I sit (in my 1400 square foot house close in with school-aged children), the real cost is daycare. Period. Once you are done paying for daycare, you have much more money for housing and many other things as well. |
Sorry, what's a TTDY? |
I think I agree with the spirit of your post, but its really not just housing. DC costs more across the board. Groceries, utilities, transportation, health care, insurance, etc. |
Our 1940's house is 625K. Our school is 8 on great schools (if that means anything - we like it FWIW). Our kitchen which churns out 18 meals a week is functional but not fancy, our baths drain our toilet flushes but our tile is older. We have new HVAC and insulation but unattractive landscaping. These are the bells and whistles we do without. We buy homes with good bones not pretty dresses. That can make a difference in how much house you can afford and how much you save by not having to do too much maintenance - which can also make owning prohibitive. Also on one income we saved daycare cost which as some have said is like a second mortgage. |
Daycare costs don't go away. Between extended day and summer care, my monthly nut is about 10% less. Maybe by the time they are 12 they can think about being independent , but college costs loom then. As for houses, the only thing we care about is good schools and commute. We have no interest in a dream house and will probably move into tiny condo once kids graduate. 200k is manageable if you compromise on school quality, commute, or have a single earner which eliminates daycare costs. Additionally, if you have someone home, longer commutes are less of an issue (long commute means you never see your kids). And you can take a chance on riskier schools b/c you have a parent on the ground who can manage tutoring and homework help much more easily. So if the 200k is single earner, much easier and I think that's why some people scoff at surviving. But if two incomes, the costs in money and time push you to the brink. |