New Hampshire predictions

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:

Currently 172,461 with 96% counted


And Nikki Haley has the 2nd most Republican primary votes in NH history and 10 of the 22 delegates pledged by the primary.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

Currently 172,461 with 96% counted


And Nikki Haley has the 2nd most Republican primary votes in NH history and 10 of the 22 delegates pledged by the primary.


Funny what happens when there are only two candidates and the vote doesn't get spread around.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

Currently 172,461 with 96% counted


And Nikki Haley has the 2nd most Republican primary votes in NH history and 10 of the 22 delegates pledged by the primary.


Funny what happens when there are only two candidates and the vote doesn't get spread around.


Also too, population growth. It has twice as many people as it had in 1970.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I’ll bet more Dems voted for Haley than Biden


Of course, the idea is to derail Trump. But NH has too many angry white guys



DW and I almost always vote Dem. Looking at the VA primary we are considering voting for Haley as a vote against Trump.

In a Presidential contest of Biden v Trump, our votes go to Biden without question. If it’s Biden v Haley I think DW’s vote might go to Haley.



I'm very liberal- but as a woman in my mid forties? Haley has my vote. im in Wisconsin and I'v already started persuading every woman I know to vote for haley as well. I disagree with haley but I will vote for her b/c I think this is how we do it- the only way to get s female president is a republican and if that breaks the trump fever dream and the gop goes back to having rand Paul as resident nut job and mtg as a strom Thurmond stand in, im ok with that.

I can't stand the gas lighting im getting from the dems re:gaza, id rather be told the truth, ugly as it is, and I really think people in their dotage shouldn't make up the majority. if you are eligible for SS-go home and write your memoirs!

Please consider her stance on abortion and think of women younger than you. What good is having a woman President if all US women don’t have full rights.


DP. Actually, it is her stance on abortion that means that I might vote for her and if I don't, will be comfortable with her being president. She is not anti choice and is not in favor of a national ban. The Dems can put together a national choice bill. They're good for it.


Are you smoking crack, or just ignorant?

Three days ago Haley said she would sign a national abortion ban. From her lips, listen to it yourself:


Anyone thinking of voting for a Republican is ignorant. There’s just no other answer for why they don’t have any idea what their candidates have said or think or have done politically.


I’d consider voting for Haley in the primary, but Dem in the Presidential election.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:it's 53.9% Biden, 19.6% Phillips, 4.6% Williamson and still 11.8% other write-ins, plus some 0. something others. That's 36%+ not for Biden here and pretty significant considering most people barely even know Dean Phillips. Yes, Biden was a write in but as POTUS and front runner it's a given people will write him in. I would want to know why Phillips did so well, and learn from it.

Once the “other write-ins” are looked at it will be higher.


Final NEW HAMPSHIRE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY RESULTS (per the Secretary of State)
Biden 77061 votes
Phillips 23977 votes
Williamson 4938 votes
Haley 4695 votes
Trump 2055 votes
Nadeau 1587 votes
Ceasefire 1497 votes
Vermin Supreme 905 votes
RFK Jr 435 votes
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I’ll bet more Dems voted for Haley than Biden


Of course, the idea is to derail Trump. But NH has too many angry white guys



DW and I almost always vote Dem. Looking at the VA primary we are considering voting for Haley as a vote against Trump.

In a Presidential contest of Biden v Trump, our votes go to Biden without question. If it’s Biden v Haley I think DW’s vote might go to Haley.



I'm very liberal- but as a woman in my mid forties? Haley has my vote. im in Wisconsin and I'v already started persuading every woman I know to vote for haley as well. I disagree with haley but I will vote for her b/c I think this is how we do it- the only way to get s female president is a republican and if that breaks the trump fever dream and the gop goes back to having rand Paul as resident nut job and mtg as a strom Thurmond stand in, im ok with that.

I can't stand the gas lighting im getting from the dems re:gaza, id rather be told the truth, ugly as it is, and I really think people in their dotage shouldn't make up the majority. if you are eligible for SS-go home and write your memoirs!

Please consider her stance on abortion and think of women younger than you. What good is having a woman President if all US women don’t have full rights.


DP. Actually, it is her stance on abortion that means that I might vote for her and if I don't, will be comfortable with her being president. She is not anti choice and is not in favor of a national ban. The Dems can put together a national choice bill. They're good for it.


Are you smoking crack, or just ignorant?

Three days ago Haley said she would sign a national abortion ban. From her lips, listen to it yourself:


Anyone thinking of voting for a Republican is ignorant. There’s just no other answer for why they don’t have any idea what their candidates have said or think or have done politically.


I’d consider voting for Haley in the primary, but Dem in the Presidential election.


I’m planning to do this in Virginia if she doesn’t drop out.
Anonymous
To folks earlier in thread who were speculating whether De Dantis dropped out suddenly due to Trump goons having dirt on him or just realized his loss was likely and wanting to set himself up well for a run in 2028 - it does sound like Trump had dirt on him and is threatening Haley as well. I suspect they had dirt on Scott as we - or promised his the lousy Trump VP job. That nearly cost Pence his life.

Trump’s 2024 NH victory speech and follow up social media posts were menacing Mob Boss in rambling angry tones.

Haley won 9 delegates compared to Trump’s 12 in NH. Trump “rage-posted” about Haley’s speech after her strong finish with posts such as “NIKKI CAME IN LAST, NOT SECOND!” at 2 am that night.

From Heather Cox Richardson blog -
“In addition to attacking her from the podium, Trump appeared to threaten her when he warned her about “very dishonest people” she would have to fight. He said she was not going to win, “but if she did, she would “be under investigation…in fifteen minutes and I could tell you five reasons why already. Not big reasons, a little stuff that she doesn’t want to talk about, but she will be under investigation within minutes, and so would Ron have been, but he decided to get out.”


The tactics Trump might have been suggesting became clear this afternoon, when the chair of the Arizona Republican Party, Jeff DeWit, resigned after a recording that appeared to show him trying to bribe Arizona Senate candidate and fervent Trump supporter Kari Lake to stay out of the Senate race was leaked to the press. The tape itself was clearly contrived to show Lake as if she were in a campaign ad, defending Trump and America, but it includes DeWit’s pleas for her to stand aside for two years, presumably while the Arizona party regroups with less extremist candidates, and his request that she name her price.”
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:To folks earlier in thread who were speculating whether De Dantis dropped out suddenly due to Trump goons having dirt on him or just realized his loss was likely and wanting to set himself up well for a run in 2028 - it does sound like Trump had dirt on him and is threatening Haley as well. I suspect they had dirt on Scott as we - or promised his the lousy Trump VP job. That nearly cost Pence his life.

Trump’s 2024 NH victory speech and follow up social media posts were menacing Mob Boss in rambling angry tones.

Haley won 9 delegates compared to Trump’s 12 in NH. Trump “rage-posted” about Haley’s speech after her strong finish with posts such as “NIKKI CAME IN LAST, NOT SECOND!” at 2 am that night.

From Heather Cox Richardson blog -
“In addition to attacking her from the podium, Trump appeared to threaten her when he warned her about “very dishonest people” she would have to fight. He said she was not going to win, “but if she did, she would “be under investigation…in fifteen minutes and I could tell you five reasons why already. Not big reasons, a little stuff that she doesn’t want to talk about, but she will be under investigation within minutes, and so would Ron have been, but he decided to get out.”


The tactics Trump might have been suggesting became clear this afternoon, when the chair of the Arizona Republican Party, Jeff DeWit, resigned after a recording that appeared to show him trying to bribe Arizona Senate candidate and fervent Trump supporter Kari Lake to stay out of the Senate race was leaked to the press. The tape itself was clearly contrived to show Lake as if she were in a campaign ad, defending Trump and America, but it includes DeWit’s pleas for her to stand aside for two years, presumably while the Arizona party regroups with less extremist candidates, and his request that she name her price.”

Trump continues to show his true mob boss colors and pundits and too many folks here act as if this is acceptable behavior for a President. IT IS NOT.

FOLKS are also trying to frame his 11 point win as weak. IT IS NOT. He’s the first Republican to EVER win both Iowa & NH. He won in all but one county.

This man is incredibly dangerous. He should be no where near the WH.

I really, really hope Hayley finds her ⚽️ 🏀 🏈 and seriously takes him on instead of this, “I’ll just campaign on how great Trump is and hope he croaks” thing she is running. She has a chance to take him out. GOP voters have a chance to prove they are “not all MAGA.”

We’ll know more in a month.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I’ll bet more Dems voted for Haley than Biden


Of course, the idea is to derail Trump. But NH has too many angry white guys



DW and I almost always vote Dem. Looking at the VA primary we are considering voting for Haley as a vote against Trump.

In a Presidential contest of Biden v Trump, our votes go to Biden without question. If it’s Biden v Haley I think DW’s vote might go to Haley.



I'm very liberal- but as a woman in my mid forties? Haley has my vote. im in Wisconsin and I'v already started persuading every woman I know to vote for haley as well. I disagree with haley but I will vote for her b/c I think this is how we do it- the only way to get s female president is a republican and if that breaks the trump fever dream and the gop goes back to having rand Paul as resident nut job and mtg as a strom Thurmond stand in, im ok with that.

I can't stand the gas lighting im getting from the dems re:gaza, id rather be told the truth, ugly as it is, and I really think people in their dotage shouldn't make up the majority. if you are eligible for SS-go home and write your memoirs!

Please consider her stance on abortion and think of women younger than you. What good is having a woman President if all US women don’t have full rights.


DP. Actually, it is her stance on abortion that means that I might vote for her and if I don't, will be comfortable with her being president. She is not anti choice and is not in favor of a national ban. The Dems can put together a national choice bill. They're good for it.


Are you smoking crack, or just ignorant?

Three days ago Haley said she would sign a national abortion ban. From her lips, listen to it yourself:


Anyone thinking of voting for a Republican is ignorant. There’s just no other answer for why they don’t have any idea what their candidates have said or think or have done politically.


I’d consider voting for Haley in the primary, but Dem in the Presidential election.


I’m planning to do this in Virginia if she doesn’t drop out.


+1
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:To folks earlier in thread who were speculating whether De Dantis dropped out suddenly due to Trump goons having dirt on him or just realized his loss was likely and wanting to set himself up well for a run in 2028 - it does sound like Trump had dirt on him and is threatening Haley as well. I suspect they had dirt on Scott as we - or promised his the lousy Trump VP job. That nearly cost Pence his life.

Trump’s 2024 NH victory speech and follow up social media posts were menacing Mob Boss in rambling angry tones.

Haley won 9 delegates compared to Trump’s 12 in NH. Trump “rage-posted” about Haley’s speech after her strong finish with posts such as “NIKKI CAME IN LAST, NOT SECOND!” at 2 am that night.

From Heather Cox Richardson blog -
“In addition to attacking her from the podium, Trump appeared to threaten her when he warned her about “very dishonest people” she would have to fight. He said she was not going to win, “but if she did, she would “be under investigation…in fifteen minutes and I could tell you five reasons why already. Not big reasons, a little stuff that she doesn’t want to talk about, but she will be under investigation within minutes, and so would Ron have been, but he decided to get out.”


The tactics Trump might have been suggesting became clear this afternoon, when the chair of the Arizona Republican Party, Jeff DeWit, resigned after a recording that appeared to show him trying to bribe Arizona Senate candidate and fervent Trump supporter Kari Lake to stay out of the Senate race was leaked to the press. The tape itself was clearly contrived to show Lake as if she were in a campaign ad, defending Trump and America, but it includes DeWit’s pleas for her to stand aside for two years, presumably while the Arizona party regroups with less extremist candidates, and his request that she name her price.”

Trump continues to show his true mob boss colors and pundits and too many folks here act as if this is acceptable behavior for a President. IT IS NOT.

FOLKS are also trying to frame his 11 point win as weak. IT IS NOT. He’s the first Republican to EVER win both Iowa & NH. He won in all but one county.

This man is incredibly dangerous. He should be no where near the WH.

I really, really hope Hayley finds her ⚽️ 🏀 🏈 and seriously takes him on instead of this, “I’ll just campaign on how great Trump is and hope he croaks” thing she is running. She has a chance to take him out. GOP voters have a chance to prove they are “not all MAGA.”

We’ll know more in a month.


Well, to be fair, every other incumbent Republican president won both Iowa and New Hampshire. Since most Republicans believe Trump actually won the 2020 election, he is essentially running as the de facto incumbent.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I’ll bet more Dems voted for Haley than Biden


Of course, the idea is to derail Trump. But NH has too many angry white guys



DW and I almost always vote Dem. Looking at the VA primary we are considering voting for Haley as a vote against Trump.

In a Presidential contest of Biden v Trump, our votes go to Biden without question. If it’s Biden v Haley I think DW’s vote might go to Haley.



I'm very liberal- but as a woman in my mid forties? Haley has my vote. im in Wisconsin and I'v already started persuading every woman I know to vote for haley as well. I disagree with haley but I will vote for her b/c I think this is how we do it- the only way to get s female president is a republican and if that breaks the trump fever dream and the gop goes back to having rand Paul as resident nut job and mtg as a strom Thurmond stand in, im ok with that.

I can't stand the gas lighting im getting from the dems re:gaza, id rather be told the truth, ugly as it is, and I really think people in their dotage shouldn't make up the majority. if you are eligible for SS-go home and write your memoirs!

Please consider her stance on abortion and think of women younger than you. What good is having a woman President if all US women don’t have full rights.


DP. Actually, it is her stance on abortion that means that I might vote for her and if I don't, will be comfortable with her being president. She is not anti choice and is not in favor of a national ban. The Dems can put together a national choice bill. They're good for it.


And this is why we’re in this situation. Haley is all over the place on abortion and it is very disturbing. She stated that she would sign a National abortion ban! Voters don’t do their due diligence! Confirmed facts. If you choose to blindly vote for someone when you have no clue where they stand on issues, you’re part of the problem.

CONTRADICTION: “Yes, I’m unapologetically pro-life. … I am fine with a federal law [banning abortion]”

Previously: “The issue of abortion should be up to individuals, rather than the government”

Previously “I think abortion is personal for every woman and man in America, and it needs to be treated that way”

Previously: “I would have signed a six-week ban on abortion into law if I were still governor”



Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I’ll bet more Dems voted for Haley than Biden


Of course, the idea is to derail Trump. But NH has too many angry white guys



DW and I almost always vote Dem. Looking at the VA primary we are considering voting for Haley as a vote against Trump.

In a Presidential contest of Biden v Trump, our votes go to Biden without question. If it’s Biden v Haley I think DW’s vote might go to Haley.



I'm very liberal- but as a woman in my mid forties? Haley has my vote. im in Wisconsin and I'v already started persuading every woman I know to vote for haley as well. I disagree with haley but I will vote for her b/c I think this is how we do it- the only way to get s female president is a republican and if that breaks the trump fever dream and the gop goes back to having rand Paul as resident nut job and mtg as a strom Thurmond stand in, im ok with that.

I can't stand the gas lighting im getting from the dems re:gaza, id rather be told the truth, ugly as it is, and I really think people in their dotage shouldn't make up the majority. if you are eligible for SS-go home and write your memoirs!

Please consider her stance on abortion and think of women younger than you. What good is having a woman President if all US women don’t have full rights.


DP. Actually, it is her stance on abortion that means that I might vote for her and if I don't, will be comfortable with her being president. She is not anti choice and is not in favor of a national ban. The Dems can put together a national choice bill. They're good for it.


And this is why we’re in this situation. Haley is all over the place on abortion and it is very disturbing. She stated that she would sign a National abortion ban! Voters don’t do their due diligence! Confirmed facts. If you choose to blindly vote for someone when you have no clue where they stand on issues, you’re part of the problem.

CONTRADICTION: “Yes, I’m unapologetically pro-life. … I am fine with a federal law [banning abortion]”

Previously: “The issue of abortion should be up to individuals, rather than the government”

Previously “I think abortion is personal for every woman and man in America, and it needs to be treated that way”

Previously: “I would have signed a six-week ban on abortion into law if I were still governor”


Hate Hayley but would love for her to be the nominee.

I think Biden will beat her because she'd lose the MAGA vote.

Still, I can live with anyone other than Trump. Anyone.
Anonymous
Anonymous
Biden results.
A landslide 64% win
Nearly fifty points above the next candidate (vs. eleven for Trump)
Shattered official turnout projections by 38% (vs flat for GOP)
More votes in the NH primary than any Democratic sitting President in history.
27,981 more votes than President Obama received in 2012 in the NH primary (when he was on the ballot!)
Double the Democratic primary turnout as the last time a President ran for re-election.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I’ll bet more Dems voted for Haley than Biden


Of course, the idea is to derail Trump. But NH has too many angry white guys



DW and I almost always vote Dem. Looking at the VA primary we are considering voting for Haley as a vote against Trump.

In a Presidential contest of Biden v Trump, our votes go to Biden without question. If it’s Biden v Haley I think DW’s vote might go to Haley.



I'm very liberal- but as a woman in my mid forties? Haley has my vote. im in Wisconsin and I'v already started persuading every woman I know to vote for haley as well. I disagree with haley but I will vote for her b/c I think this is how we do it- the only way to get s female president is a republican and if that breaks the trump fever dream and the gop goes back to having rand Paul as resident nut job and mtg as a strom Thurmond stand in, im ok with that.

I can't stand the gas lighting im getting from the dems re:gaza, id rather be told the truth, ugly as it is, and I really think people in their dotage shouldn't make up the majority. if you are eligible for SS-go home and write your memoirs!

Please consider her stance on abortion and think of women younger than you. What good is having a woman President if all US women don’t have full rights.


DP. Actually, it is her stance on abortion that means that I might vote for her and if I don't, will be comfortable with her being president. She is not anti choice and is not in favor of a national ban. The Dems can put together a national choice bill. They're good for it.


Are you smoking crack, or just ignorant?

Three days ago Haley said she would sign a national abortion ban. From her lips, listen to it yourself:


Anyone thinking of voting for a Republican is ignorant. There’s just no other answer for why they don’t have any idea what their candidates have said or think or have done politically.


I’d consider voting for Haley in the primary, but Dem in the Presidential election.


I’m planning to do this in Virginia if she doesn’t drop out.


Please don't do this. She is a viable candidate. All the Never Trumpers, Bill Krystal, etc. are going to switch from Biden to Haley if she wins the primaries. IMO it's much better to let Trump run as he will only get 40% of the vote. She will cut social Security and is against women's rights to privacy. She too would be a disaster.

+1
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