To be precise, I should say that delta is 50% more transmissible than the previously widespread alpha, which was 50% more contagious than the original strain. So that makes delta 225% more contagious than the original SARS-Cov-2, i.e. 2.25x. Very far from 1000x. |
Since the PP above was speaking of doing the math… |
oh ffs. If you can’t tell the difference between 50% and 1000x, maybe you should not be opining at all? |
I don't know that these figures are up-to-date. Yesterday's news about the CDC report says delta is as contagious as chickenpox. The R0 of chickenpox is 8.5 The R0 of the original covid was estimated at 2.5 That's an enormous difference. It would be like saying "The earthquake was 10 on the Richter scale, not 11, fear-monger!" As exponential a difference that is, who GAF 10 or 11, a city's flattened, that's really bad. It's so bad that we can't even visualize how effing bad it is. Same here. An R0 of 8.5 is so effing bad. Who cares that some anonymous rando confused the 1000x more virus produced with the difference in how contagious they are? That mistake has been everywhere for days. |
| No one knows math or risk and I give up. I’m glad you aren’t the ones in charge. |
+1 what is 1000 x .0001 omg what if that becomes 2000 x .0001 |
1. Death is not the only outcome as a parent that I want to avoid. Would very much like to avoid serious illness, thank you very much. 2. I’m a Latina parent of a child with an underlying medical issue, so your quote isn’t so reassuring for me and my family. I didn’t request a medical waiver because the numbers looked okay and my child hated virtual school, but now I’m second-guessing myself. 3. “Careful planning” would seemingly include backup plans for shifting to virtual if the numbers get worse in schools, and yet here we are with no plans whatsoever. |
You do understand that 225% more contagious is quite a lot and that that’s not good, right? Just checking. |
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Can I just remind people that this disease isn’t that bad for children? It’s not.
Do you send your kids to school during flu outbreaks? Your kid with underlying medical conditions? You probably do, although from now on you may not because everyone is suddenly afraid of every child being at all ever sick. Keep reminding yourself this, because it’s not going away. |
it’s a lot less bad than 1000X! look, we HAD successful in-person school with alpha all Term 3 and 4 and that included a considerable time span prior to widespread vaccination in DC. It went FINE. Now most adults are vaccinated and Delta is 50% more contagious population-wide. There’s no reason to believe that there will be widespread covid in schools. quarantines will be annoying. but it is better than DL. |
I do because I get my kid vaccinated for flu. I can’t for COVID because he’s under 12. |
Oklahoma pediatric ICUs are now full and are diverting to other states. |
| LUNCH IN THE CAFETERIA IS THE PROBLEM |
fine, Friendship Online Charter is for you. |
https://www.wsj.com/articles/in-children-risk-of-covid-19-death-or-serious-illness-remain-extremely-low-new-studies-find-11625785260?mod=djemalertNEWS |