Does anyone else believe the impending financial crash will be bigger than 2008-2009?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I don't know about a crash. I'm expecting more of a slide into the 1970s muck of stagnant growth, stubborn inflation and a labor market where available jobs did not align with the skills/locations of the un/underemployed.

Tech and financial companies will consolidate and the winners will leverage AI to slash labor costs, monopolize markets and accumulate trillions in value.

The 5% at the top will note that they never have had it better (true!).

The labor market impacts are hitting now.

https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3m257r33ooa2d

Disagree about the AI savings- that bubble is months away from bursting. Gonna be a wild ride folks.

+1 All these companies' super-inflated numbers are based on best-case scenarios about savings and productivity boosts they're sure to see soon from the huge amount of money they've sunk into AI, and in 95% of cases it doesn't provide any measurable financial benefit at all. https://fortune.com/2025/08/18/mit-report-95-percent-generative-ai-pilots-at-companies-failing-cfo/

Also a physical and monetary impossibility to build what these companies have said they are going to build.

https://www.wheresyoured.at/openai-onetrillion/

The way this has played out with these fake future contracts pumping up the stock values of Nvidia, Oracle, and a few others, cycling around from one to the other, is just crazy. The top of the market will see massive corrections.

+1

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I don't know about a crash. I'm expecting more of a slide into the 1970s muck of stagnant growth, stubborn inflation and a labor market where available jobs did not align with the skills/locations of the un/underemployed.

Tech and financial companies will consolidate and the winners will leverage AI to slash labor costs, monopolize markets and accumulate trillions in value.

The 5% at the top will note that they never have had it better (true!).

The labor market impacts are hitting now.

https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3m257r33ooa2d

Disagree about the AI savings- that bubble is months away from bursting. Gonna be a wild ride folks.

+1 All these companies' super-inflated numbers are based on best-case scenarios about savings and productivity boosts they're sure to see soon from the huge amount of money they've sunk into AI, and in 95% of cases it doesn't provide any measurable financial benefit at all. https://fortune.com/2025/08/18/mit-report-95-percent-generative-ai-pilots-at-companies-failing-cfo/

One red flag to me is that the average American is talking about AI.

My own employer has invested and I really don’t see a significant benefit.

When people are on TV talking about how it’s taking over, you know it’s probably not going to.

[Anonymous]

Op here. I’m buying GLXY, Lam Research, and a bunch of companies that pivoted from bitcoin mining to ai/hpc support and data center infrastructure. At least for the short term, then selling those for profits annd buying and gold etf and gold miners. You need to understand the financial crash that is coming. It is coming and there’s no question about it. And it’s going to be bad.

[Anonymous]

The end of this market bubble will come when SCOTUS declares Trump's "emergency" tariffs are constitutional. All the importers and retailers have been surviving by selling their claims for tariff refunds in the event they are struck down. Wall Street has been buying up these claims for 20 cents on the dollar but we all know what happens when these refund claims become worthless.

[Anonymous]

Financial planner strongly suggested we move from having 1% of our retirement invested overseas, to 22%. Now.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The end of this market bubble will come when SCOTUS declares Trump's "emergency" tariffs are constitutional. All the importers and retailers have been surviving by selling their claims for tariff refunds in the event they are struck down. Wall Street has been buying up these claims for 20 cents on the dollar but we all know what happens when these refund claims become worthless.

This. And, unfortunately the writing is on the wall that they'll side with Trump because they suck. Will probably sell stock the day before they release their opinion.

[Anonymous]

When’s the ruling due?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Financial planner strongly suggested we move from having 1% of our retirement invested overseas, to 22%. Now.

That is just dumb. No reason to think any market will outperform US in a down market. In an up market, sure but not a down market.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The end of this market bubble will come when SCOTUS declares Trump's "emergency" tariffs are constitutional. All the importers and retailers have been surviving by selling their claims for tariff refunds in the event they are struck down. Wall Street has been buying up these claims for 20 cents on the dollar but we all know what happens when these refund claims become worthless.

This. And, unfortunately the writing is on the wall that they'll side with Trump because they suck. Will probably sell stock the day before they release their opinion.

2025 and 2026 look strong for US market returns. We are about to go on a run. Not saying it will not correct but likely not soon. The tariffs are going to turn out to be a non issue.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The end of this market bubble will come when SCOTUS declares Trump's "emergency" tariffs are constitutional. All the importers and retailers have been surviving by selling their claims for tariff refunds in the event they are struck down. Wall Street has been buying up these claims for 20 cents on the dollar but we all know what happens when these refund claims become worthless.

This. And, unfortunately the writing is on the wall that they'll side with Trump because they suck. Will probably sell stock the day before they release their opinion.

2025 and 2026 look strong for US market returns. We are about to go on a run. Not saying it will not correct but likely not soon. The tariffs are going to turn out to be a non issue.

I agree with this.

[Anonymous]

All these people saying the market crash is coming sold out of their equities in April and are trying to justify their idiotic decisions. You can’t time the market. You aren’t smart enough. Neither am I.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Financial planner strongly suggested we move from having 1% of our retirement invested overseas, to 22%. Now.

That is just dumb. No reason to think any market will outperform US in a down market. In an up market, sure but not a down market.

Are you a financial planner? Or are you just a Fox News viewer who doesn’t get what’s happening and how it could play out for the future of trade, etc?

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-vital-signs-for-the-u-s-jobs-market-were-already-flickering-before-the-employment-report-was-delayed-just-how-bad-is-it-5b64808b

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:All these people saying the market crash is coming sold out of their equities in April and are trying to justify their idiotic decisions. You can’t time the market. You aren’t smart enough. Neither am I.

So you think the US economy is on solid footing? Can you elaborate how you see things going for the next few years?

[Anonymous]

All these people saying the market crash is coming sold out of their equities in April and are trying to justify their idiotic decisions. You can’t time the market. You aren’t smart enough. Neither am I.

The market is currently irrational, acting as if everything is fine, while every indicator of a bubble is flashing red warning signs. I think people are trading on hype right now, there’s still
Money to be made short term but the new and revised (adp) job numbers (cause we no longer can get reliable BLS data) show significant slow down and the tariffs are having a growing an effect. Most likely recession and possibly a steep downward turn in market. Meanwhile we are bailing out argentina to bail out Rob Citrine and pay to play politics are the name of the game. Fascist corruption can continue to generate wealth for a while for some (authoritarian capitalism is a thing) but always at the greater expense and foundational stability is compromised.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Trump finally got around to asking SCOTUS if his immense executive powers allows him to remove a black woman from the Fed based on a politically motivated prosecution for mortgage fraud that is not supported by the evidence. Let's see what happens!

It sure looks like she committed mortgage fraud, though, and that should be a disqualifying act for a member of the Fed. I don't like it, but she really screwed up and opened the door.

Rules for me is rules for thee... right? So if she goes down, I would expect any honorable person to advocate for the removal of several cabinet members.

Even if she doesn’t goes down, if the administration has decided it's a fireable offense, they should get on the staffers who committed it