That’s not how I read it and I’d be willing to bet a lot of money that the guidance/pressure to come from DOGE and OPM isn’t reading it that way. |
The communications they are issuing are so unprofessional and political. |
Well, there’s not many way to interpret the definition. It says what it says. Law enforcement includes anything involving the detection or prevention of the violation of law. It would have been easier if the EO just specified the few dozen agencies they’re really targeting. But maybe they couldn’t do that for legal reasons. |
How are you reading it? I’m reading it based on the standard definitions of the words. If they wanted it to be narrower, they very easily could have made it narrower (eg, limited it to agencies with criminal authority). |
That’s not how RIFs work. Moreover, you honestly think they’re going to try to fire to 80% of the federal workforce? The federal government, unlike Twitter/X does things people actually care about. If those things go away, it’s going to be very bad. Elon is beyond grandiose. That doesn’t mean he can do all the things he fantasizes about. |
Not to mention, there will be zero annual COLAs for feds for the next 4 years. That will definitely cause significant attrition. |
It is the largest employer nationwide. |
yeah I don’t get it. I literally had industry in my office yesterday complaining how short staffed we are. We perform a story function but are not “essential” in a shut down. |
The whole “we’re going to RIF everyone who’s not essential in a shutdown” is more of their BS. Good luck with that. Elon’s delulu, as the youth say. |
I'm a little confused -- the EO doesn't quite say RIF everyone who is not essential in a shutdown. It states that the RIF plans should include such people. But aside from that, I don't quite get why the sentiment is that 70-90% of Feds at some agencies will be RIFd (700K across all agencies per the Biden guidance preparing for possible lapse in 2023). All indications from the budget framework in Congress is that they are looking for 2T in spending reductions over 10 years. That is a modest 200B/year. Most of these will come from discretionary spending (Medicaid, food stamps, IRA provisions, student loans, Medicare site neutral payments etc.). The gimmick in this math is that Republicans want to use current policy as the baseline (i.e. TCJA is current policy and extending it doesn't change the current baseline nor add to the deficit). The 2T in spending cuts will offset the other tax cuts the Republicans want to enact, i.e. resetting SALT deductions to pre-2017 levels and the SS and tipped wage tax exemptions. There will be a more modest trimming of other discretionary spending but likely not more than 10% of current levels, because no committee chair wants to preside over a committee that appropriates any money. So, if most discretionary programs maybe see a 10% cut (about the same size as sequestration, for those who remember), then the agencies will still need staff to administer the programs. Yes, some of this work might flow to contractors, but contractors will take time to set up and implement systems. There is already talk of Wall Street administering some of USAID programs. So something doesn't add up. I am not going Chicken Little yet. |
""appropriates any money."" - appropriates NO money |
doesn’t encompass everyone in those agencies though. like if you are the one reviewing mergers maybe if you are the one writing blog posts about not giving away your credit card info maybe not |
omg i love this question and hadn’t connected the dots! you just made my hour. (can’t be day since one day feels like 27,569 hours long with too many every points for disastrous news). |
It is more ridiculous than I thought. The House only mandates 1.5T in spending cuts (most of it from Medicaid and food stamps) and proposes 4.5T in tax breaks. There is a phantom 2T reduction in mandatory spending, which likely means SSI and some Medicare adjustments. All of this over 10 years. Nothing else! That still means a bulk of discretionary spending is intact. How will this run if there is no agency staff? |
This EO will be caught in lawsuits like all of them. What I want to know is if they want to make cuts why not go through the regular/legal channels. They have both houses of Congress - and Congress can authorize RIFs. Why aren't they doing that? |