Longterm dc area residents, have you noticed decline ?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Maybe there was more acts of crime in DC in the 80s and 90s. However, the difference between then and now is that many more areas of the city and the suburbs are less safe.

More people feel safe now.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/02/25/police-poll-violence-dc/

And yet, more people feel safe now.

They polled 904 people and claim an error of +/- 4 points. I think it's safe to call that statistical wankery.

I think it's safe to say that you don't know much about statistics.

Maybe. The margin of error is about twice the standard deviation. So the standard deviation is 2%. The standard error in the sample is the standard deviation / sqrt of the samples size. That gives a standard error of about .2% That's 2 people. It feels suspiciously low given how the results were fairly mixed.

I didn't see anything about the poll methodology. Hopefully, it's not some phone poll of the Post readers.

The murder and carjacking victims can take solace in knowing a bunch of idiots the Post polled think the vibes are ok.

Weirdly, the crime data supports the perceptions so…

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Maybe there was more acts of crime in DC in the 80s and 90s. However, the difference between then and now is that many more areas of the city and the suburbs are less safe.

More people feel safe now.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/02/25/police-poll-violence-dc/

And yet, more people feel safe now.

They polled 904 people and claim an error of +/- 4 points. I think it's safe to call that statistical wankery.

I think it's safe to say that you don't know much about statistics.

Maybe. The margin of error is about twice the standard deviation. So the standard deviation is 2%. The standard error in the sample is the standard deviation / sqrt of the samples size. That gives a standard error of about .2% That's 2 people. It feels suspiciously low given how the results were fairly mixed.

I didn't see anything about the poll methodology. Hopefully, it's not some phone poll of the Post readers.

The murder and carjacking victims can take solace in knowing a bunch of idiots the Post polled think the vibes are ok.

Weirdly, the crime data supports the perceptions so…

Crime data doesn’t capture all of the stuff that goes unreported so…

[Anonymous]

Two women killed and a teen girl shot in a dc shooting last night

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Maybe there was more acts of crime in DC in the 80s and 90s. However, the difference between then and now is that many more areas of the city and the suburbs are less safe.

More people feel safe now.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/02/25/police-poll-violence-dc/

And yet, more people feel safe now.

They polled 904 people and claim an error of +/- 4 points. I think it's safe to call that statistical wankery.

I think it's safe to say that you don't know much about statistics.

Maybe. The margin of error is about twice the standard deviation. So the standard deviation is 2%. The standard error in the sample is the standard deviation / sqrt of the samples size. That gives a standard error of about .2% That's 2 people. It feels suspiciously low given how the results were fairly mixed.

I didn't see anything about the poll methodology. Hopefully, it's not some phone poll of the Post readers.

The murder and carjacking victims can take solace in knowing a bunch of idiots the Post polled think the vibes are ok.

Weirdly, the crime data supports the perceptions so…

180 murders this year. Carjackings up 100 percent.

All of the other data is fudged and skewed. Hope the sand stays out of your eyes with your head buried so deep.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Maybe there was more acts of crime in DC in the 80s and 90s. However, the difference between then and now is that many more areas of the city and the suburbs are less safe.

More people feel safe now.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/02/25/police-poll-violence-dc/

And yet, more people feel safe now.

They polled 904 people and claim an error of +/- 4 points. I think it's safe to call that statistical wankery.

I think it's safe to say that you don't know much about statistics.

Maybe. The margin of error is about twice the standard deviation. So the standard deviation is 2%. The standard error in the sample is the standard deviation / sqrt of the samples size. That gives a standard error of about .2% That's 2 people. It feels suspiciously low given how the results were fairly mixed.

I didn't see anything about the poll methodology. Hopefully, it's not some phone poll of the Post readers.

The murder and carjacking victims can take solace in knowing a bunch of idiots the Post polled think the vibes are ok.

Weirdly, the crime data supports the perceptions so…

Crime data doesn’t capture all of the stuff that goes unreported so…

Ok. Also true years ago.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Maybe there was more acts of crime in DC in the 80s and 90s. However, the difference between then and now is that many more areas of the city and the suburbs are less safe.

More people feel safe now.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/02/25/police-poll-violence-dc/

And yet, more people feel safe now.

They polled 904 people and claim an error of +/- 4 points. I think it's safe to call that statistical wankery.

I think it's safe to say that you don't know much about statistics.

Maybe. The margin of error is about twice the standard deviation. So the standard deviation is 2%. The standard error in the sample is the standard deviation / sqrt of the samples size. That gives a standard error of about .2% That's 2 people. It feels suspiciously low given how the results were fairly mixed.

I didn't see anything about the poll methodology. Hopefully, it's not some phone poll of the Post readers.

The murder and carjacking victims can take solace in knowing a bunch of idiots the Post polled think the vibes are ok.

Weirdly, the crime data supports the perceptions so…

180 murders this year. Carjackings up 100 percent.

All of the other data is fudged and skewed. Hope the sand stays out of your eyes with your head buried so deep.

Yes, all of the data is fudged. There is a huge conspiracy decades in the making.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:In the early 90s, things were kind of predictable. SE, east of 14th, Shaw, Logan Circle, Malcolm X Park were basically no go zones. But NW was always very safe. And then for twenty years everything improved. Almost all of DC was accessible and interesting.

But something snapped in the past five years. Our murder rate has doubled. Carjackings are out of control. The police don't even respond to most robberies. Our real crime rate is a lot higher than official statistics. And it seems to happen everywhere. It's unpredictable.

A lot of the violent crime seems to be driven by teenage boys. Back in the day it was crack and gangs. There was at least a logic to it. Now it seems like anarchy. It feels less safe now than before.

Increasingly teen girls too.

Crime is far more random now, at all times of day, in front of witnesses, near LE. The 67% no paper rate in DC began ticking up in 2017 and has increased under 3 different presidential administrations/appointees. Outlier in the entire country. Consequences are far less certain and crime has soared in every category.

The Council has weakened so many laws that juveniles feel they have impunity. Sadly, more and more of them are ending up shot or dead, 2 teens died last night, just in DC. A generation of kids was out of school for years and now has high truancy rates and is spending formative years preying on people and acting as foot soldiers for criminal enterprises, boosting cases of Tide just after delivery to CVS. In videos, some kids have visible ankle monitors. Kids attacking people with clubs in broad daylight or holding guns to people in broad daylight to steal dogs. What future do these kids have?

In the 90s, normies were not as likely to encounter crime west of 14th during the day, now parents with kids are carjacked, there can be a flash mob in CVS, etc. The manager of my local CVS had his jaw broken by a thief. In the 90s the tax base was somewhat insulated from crime, now literally thousands of people likely to have mental illness, SA disorders, histories or incarceration and antisocial behaviors are literally being moved in and dispersed in those areas, with tax dollars. Visible drug dealing has greatly increased.

So much for the "Emergency" crime bill putting a floor in the situation. In the past, didn't Tony Williams call the Council back from their extensive summer holiday to address crime? Bowser is mired in scandals re: her staff and the huge and life threatening (people and dogs) issues at 911 and has gone pretty silent re: crime. Her MPD chief pick is weak and inexperienced.

In the 90s there were "rules' to crime, now it is random and driven through the entire region with the stolen/jacked cars, no enforcement re: tags, license plate blockers, etc. MoCo wants to ban almost all traffic stops. Despite the examples of Portland, SF, etc and some pull back in those places, the DMV seems to have their foot on the gas.

In another difference, in the 90s, moving to NoVA or MC was much safer, now they are becoming increasingly unsafe as well with shootings and carjackings in N. Arlington at early hours. Despite all the issues with RJ in DC, MoCo and elsewhere, Arlington is just rolling it out now. Doesn't seem like there will be a course correction anytime soon.

This is the difference from the 90s (I moved to Adams Morgan in 1995 and Petworth in 2005). The people murdered/carjacked weren't on their way to church on Sunday morning. Now it is much more random and being out in the daytime or in crowds doesn't provide insulation.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Maybe there was more acts of crime in DC in the 80s and 90s. However, the difference between then and now is that many more areas of the city and the suburbs are less safe.

More people feel safe now.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/02/25/police-poll-violence-dc/

And yet, more people feel safe now.

They polled 904 people and claim an error of +/- 4 points. I think it's safe to call that statistical wankery.

I think it's safe to say that you don't know much about statistics.

Maybe. The margin of error is about twice the standard deviation. So the standard deviation is 2%. The standard error in the sample is the standard deviation / sqrt of the samples size. That gives a standard error of about .2% That's 2 people. It feels suspiciously low given how the results were fairly mixed.

I didn't see anything about the poll methodology. Hopefully, it's not some phone poll of the Post readers.

The murder and carjacking victims can take solace in knowing a bunch of idiots the Post polled think the vibes are ok.

Weirdly, the crime data supports the perceptions so…

180 murders this year. Carjackings up 100 percent.

All of the other data is fudged and skewed. Hope the sand stays out of your eyes with your head buried so deep.

Yes, all of the data is fudged. There is a huge conspiracy decades in the making.

I would love to be so blissfully naive. Sounds wonderful.

[Anonymous]

This never used to happen especially at BCC https://x.com/alanhenney/status/1697835587682656473?s=46&t=Rw_jX1uyupQwvEwsjuQulQ

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This never used to happen especially at BCC https://x.com/alanhenney/status/1697835587682656473?s=46&t=Rw_jX1uyupQwvEwsjuQulQ

Looks like a possible hate crime.

[Anonymous]

Daytime stabbing on the Metro. Is anywhere safe?

https://wjla.com/news/local/stabbings-dc-crime-woman-stabbed-on-metro-green-line-train-at-navy-yard-atation-delays-single-tracking-half-street-entrance-new-jersey-avenue

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This never used to happen especially at BCC https://x.com/alanhenney/status/1697835587682656473?s=46&t=Rw_jX1uyupQwvEwsjuQulQ

Are these actual students?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Maybe there was more acts of crime in DC in the 80s and 90s. However, the difference between then and now is that many more areas of the city and the suburbs are less safe.

More people feel safe now.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/02/25/police-poll-violence-dc/

And yet, more people feel safe now.

They polled 904 people and claim an error of +/- 4 points. I think it's safe to call that statistical wankery.

I think it's safe to say that you don't know much about statistics.

Maybe. The margin of error is about twice the standard deviation. So the standard deviation is 2%. The standard error in the sample is the standard deviation / sqrt of the samples size. That gives a standard error of about .2% That's 2 people. It feels suspiciously low given how the results were fairly mixed.

I didn't see anything about the poll methodology. Hopefully, it's not some phone poll of the Post readers.

The murder and carjacking victims can take solace in knowing a bunch of idiots the Post polled think the vibes are ok.

Weirdly, the crime data supports the perceptions so…

180 murders this year. Carjackings up 100 percent.

All of the other data is fudged and skewed. Hope the sand stays out of your eyes with your head buried so deep.

Yes, all of the data is fudged. There is a huge conspiracy decades in the making.

I would love to be so blissfully naive. Sounds wonderful.

I would love to live in a fantasyland of hysteria. Sounds exciting.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Daytime stabbing on the Metro. Is anywhere safe?

https://wjla.com/news/local/stabbings-dc-crime-woman-stabbed-on-metro-green-line-train-at-navy-yard-atation-delays-single-tracking-half-street-entrance-new-jersey-avenue

Suspect has a rap sheet almost as long as my Johnson, including multiple DV arrests and a stabbing arrest dismissed.

[Anonymous]

People protecting criminals need to wake up. Its not just messing up their neighborhoods but their generations.