What the Fall may look like -- the hybrid model

[Anonymous]

There is no evidence of kids acting as super spreaders or even getting their family members sick!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This will all be over in two months. There may be a trickle of severe cases but that’s it.

Take a look at the curves for the Spanish Flu. We are still on the rise of the first hump.

k, thanks

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:There is no evidence of kids acting as super spreaders or even getting their family members sick!

Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This will all be over in two months. There may be a trickle of severe cases but that’s it.

There is no reason to believe the virus is going anywhere.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This will all be over in two months. There may be a trickle of severe cases but that’s it.

There is no reason to believe the virus is going anywhere.

I genuinely hope that those who think this is on the way out are correct. However, the science of pandemics, and the history of pandemics does not show this to be the most likely scenario. The three different spikes of Spanish Flu in 1918 are most instructive in this case, particularly the fact that the second wave in the fall and winter was the most deadly. We shall see. We should expect at least some recurrence when flu season starts, and thus October onward may bring a return to remote learning, at least for a period.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This will all be over in two months. There may be a trickle of severe cases but that’s it.

Take a look at the curves for the Spanish Flu. We are still on the rise of the first hump.

k, thanks

Call back in 2-3 months to confirm your speculation.

K, thx

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:There is no evidence of kids acting as super spreaders or even getting their family members sick!

Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.

So you are saying you have no evidence and are guessing. But that we should just believe you?

[Anonymous]

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/education/2020/05/30/south-korea-closes-schools-again-amid-covid-19-spike-days-after-reopening/%3foutputType=amp

It will be a bumpy road but we should at least try!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/education/2020/05/30/south-korea-closes-schools-again-amid-covid-19-spike-days-after-reopening/%3foutputType=amp

It will be a bumpy road but we should at least try!

It isn't your liability on the line. Are you willing to sign a blanket waiver?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:There is no evidence of kids acting as super spreaders or even getting their family members sick!

Kids aren't the only people in schools.

[Anonymous]

Just because some countries have needed to close schools again doesn’t mean we shouldn’t try open them.

Do that many people really want schools to be closed next year?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Just because some countries have needed to close schools again doesn’t mean we shouldn’t try open them.

Do that many people really want schools to be closed next year?

Nope. Most people want school to be open and in person. But the squeakiest loud people may not.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Just because some countries have needed to close schools again doesn’t mean we shouldn’t try open them.

Do that many people really want schools to be closed next year?

It's not a question of wanting. It's a question of whether it's a good idea.

[Anonymous]

Good idea for what?

Kids’ education?
Kids’ socialization?
Kids’ communication skills?
Kids’ eyesight?
Kids’ exercise?
Parents’ job security?
Parents’ job productivity?
Parents’ employer existence?
National economy?
People’s compensation? (Which will easily be re-rates down further if these serious supply and demand shutdowns continue)

[Anonymous]

Bingo