BOE - who are people voting for?

[Anonymous]

Wow—the real news above is that, at least for primaries, the county is 50% vote by mail within pretty few cycles of it becoming easy to access!

Bravo to whatever combination of advocates produced this option!

[Anonymous]

If mail-in ballots havne't been counted yet, then one race _could_ flip. Evans and Mandel are about 1,000 votes apart and it' 26.98% vs 25.74%.

In the race with Smondrowski, I think she's too far off for that one to flip.

If so many votes are uncounted, is it fair that they called the Senate race for Alsobrooks vs Trone? They were pretty close too.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If mail-in ballots havne't been counted yet, then one race _could_ flip. Evans and Mandel are about 1,000 votes apart and it' 26.98% vs 25.74%.

In the race with Smondrowski, I think she's too far off for that one to flip.

If so many votes are uncounted, is it fair that they called the Senate race for Alsobrooks vs Trone? They were pretty close too.

They don't call it unless they are sure. Especially for a Senate race. It doesn't change the ultimate outcome since they don't call races before all the ballots are cast, so I'm not sure why you are concerned about fairness. If they are wrong they will be slammed for it and the winner will still win.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If mail-in ballots havne't been counted yet, then one race _could_ flip. Evans and Mandel are about 1,000 votes apart and it' 26.98% vs 25.74%.

In the race with Smondrowski, I think she's too far off for that one to flip.

If so many votes are uncounted, is it fair that they called the Senate race for Alsobrooks vs Trone? They were pretty close too.

Alsobrooks 54%, Trone 42% statewide. She's up by 54,818 votes.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Wow—the real news above is that, at least for primaries, the county is 50% vote by mail within pretty few cycles of it becoming easy to access!

Bravo to whatever combination of advocates produced this option!

I really don't understand why everyone doesn't vote by mail/drop box. It's so much easier. You can do it at your convenience, you can take your time to research candidates, you don't have to wait in line, etc.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Wow—the real news above is that, at least for primaries, the county is 50% vote by mail within pretty few cycles of it becoming easy to access!

Bravo to whatever combination of advocates produced this option!

I really don't understand why everyone doesn't vote by mail/drop box. It's so much easier. You can do it at your convenience, you can take your time to research candidates, you don't have to wait in line, etc.

I voted early and there was no line. Maybe because more people were voting by mail?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Mandel could inch out ahead of Shebra, which would be quite remarkable if that happens.

The BOE needs to wake up. People are furious with the current state of MCPS.

Why not use Evans instead of her first name? Just as you did for Mandel.

People didn't want to vote Mandel but wanted to stick it to the current BOE. And then there is Harris - an incumbent.

People use the more distinctive name, to aid communication.

Or is it people using "distinctive name to aid comminication" use first name for non-whites and last name for whites?
DP

No. It isn't. Were you not here when everyone called former superintendent Jack Smith "Jack," but we weren't allowed to call Monifa, "Monifa"?
Diaz should be a clue to you that everyone is tired of the fake "micro offenses. " get a grip.

Everyone on DCUM didn't call Jack Smith "Jack" though.

But no one tripped when someone did either.

No one on DCUM called Jack Smith "Jack ".
It was either Dr. Smith or Jack Smith.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One thing to note about the school board races is that there are a lot of mail-in ballots to be counted.

Adam Pagnucco breaks this out: https://montgomeryperspective.com/2024/05/14/early-election-leaders-senate-cd6-and-school-board/

At-Large:

Mail ballots received but not yet counted as of 5/13/24: 38,922

District 2:

Mail ballots received but not yet counted as of 5/13/24: 38,855

District 4:

Mail ballots received but not yet counted as of 5/13/24: 38,838

That's a lot of mail ballots. If patterns remain the same, then the current winners stand. But if Smondrowski, for whatever reason, emerges with a large portion of the oustanding mail ballots, then she's back in the game. I don't know how long it'll take for them to count these and make the calls final. Hopefully it's soon.

I think Smondrowski could eek out enough votes to advance. As Adam points out, she leads Diaz in the mail in ballots that have been cast so far. Diaz appeals to more right-leaning voters who are less likely to vote by mail.

So, this is an interesting assertion and the "horse race" fan in me wants to push on this a little. Traditionally, absentee ballots lean "right" because they include retirees and military votes. However, there is a case that Trump/GOP fear-mongering about mail-in ballots would lead right-leaning voters to go in person so they can watch their ballot enter the machine.

Is there data on Maryland in particular in terms of how those votes tend to go?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Wow—the real news above is that, at least for primaries, the county is 50% vote by mail within pretty few cycles of it becoming easy to access!

Bravo to whatever combination of advocates produced this option!

I really don't understand why everyone doesn't vote by mail/drop box. It's so much easier. You can do it at your convenience, you can take your time to research candidates, you don't have to wait in line, etc.

I like to have the entire election window to learn and issues may come out later so that’s why I vote on Election Day.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One thing to note about the school board races is that there are a lot of mail-in ballots to be counted.

Adam Pagnucco breaks this out: https://montgomeryperspective.com/2024/05/14/early-election-leaders-senate-cd6-and-school-board/

At-Large:

Mail ballots received but not yet counted as of 5/13/24: 38,922

District 2:

Mail ballots received but not yet counted as of 5/13/24: 38,855

District 4:

Mail ballots received but not yet counted as of 5/13/24: 38,838

That's a lot of mail ballots. If patterns remain the same, then the current winners stand. But if Smondrowski, for whatever reason, emerges with a large portion of the oustanding mail ballots, then she's back in the game. I don't know how long it'll take for them to count these and make the calls final. Hopefully it's soon.

I think Smondrowski could eek out enough votes to advance. As Adam points out, she leads Diaz in the mail in ballots that have been cast so far. Diaz appeals to more right-leaning voters who are less likely to vote by mail.

So, this is an interesting assertion and the "horse race" fan in me wants to push on this a little. Traditionally, absentee ballots lean "right" because they include retirees and military votes. However, there is a case that Trump/GOP fear-mongering about mail-in ballots would lead right-leaning voters to go in person so they can watch their ballot enter the machine.

Is there data on Maryland in particular in terms of how those votes tend to go?

They don't just watch the ballot go into the scanner, they actually put the ballot into the scanner themselves. But of course you can come up with conspiracy fictions about that too.

-person who has been an election judge

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Wow—the real news above is that, at least for primaries, the county is 50% vote by mail within pretty few cycles of it becoming easy to access!

Bravo to whatever combination of advocates produced this option!

I really don't understand why everyone doesn't vote by mail/drop box. It's so much easier. You can do it at your convenience, you can take your time to research candidates, you don't have to wait in line, etc.

I like to have the entire election window to learn and issues may come out later so that’s why I vote on Election Day.

You can do the same and just drop the mail-in in the dropbox outside the polling place instead of waiting in line. The ubiquity of mail-in/dropbox availability makes the long in-person early voting window unnecessary. Three or four days of one week should be plenty, would save $ and would free up those community amenities (gyms, etc.) for better use.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One thing to note about the school board races is that there are a lot of mail-in ballots to be counted.

Adam Pagnucco breaks this out: https://montgomeryperspective.com/2024/05/14/early-election-leaders-senate-cd6-and-school-board/

At-Large:

Mail ballots received but not yet counted as of 5/13/24: 38,922

District 2:

Mail ballots received but not yet counted as of 5/13/24: 38,855

District 4:

Mail ballots received but not yet counted as of 5/13/24: 38,838

That's a lot of mail ballots. If patterns remain the same, then the current winners stand. But if Smondrowski, for whatever reason, emerges with a large portion of the oustanding mail ballots, then she's back in the game. I don't know how long it'll take for them to count these and make the calls final. Hopefully it's soon.

I think Smondrowski could eek out enough votes to advance. As Adam points out, she leads Diaz in the mail in ballots that have been cast so far. Diaz appeals to more right-leaning voters who are less likely to vote by mail.

So, this is an interesting assertion and the "horse race" fan in me wants to push on this a little. Traditionally, absentee ballots lean "right" because they include retirees and military votes. However, there is a case that Trump/GOP fear-mongering about mail-in ballots would lead right-leaning voters to go in person so they can watch their ballot enter the machine.

Is there data on Maryland in particular in terms of how those votes tend to go?

I'm pretty sure in recent elections mail-in votes leaned left. I believe in the current primary, the mail-in votes counted so far lean in favor of the Apple Ballot candidates. You can look on the Board of Elections website to see - they break it down by mail-in, early voting and election day voting.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Wow—the real news above is that, at least for primaries, the county is 50% vote by mail within pretty few cycles of it becoming easy to access!

Bravo to whatever combination of advocates produced this option!

I really don't understand why everyone doesn't vote by mail/drop box. It's so much easier. You can do it at your convenience, you can take your time to research candidates, you don't have to wait in line, etc.

I voted early and there was no line. Maybe because more people were voting by mail?

We voted in person around 4pm on Election Day and it was also really easy. It's fun to take our 5 yo with us. But I agree vote by mail is best. DH didn't vote once because he put off researching who to vote for and Election Day got really busy for him. If he had had the ballot at home on his desk I think he would have gotten it done.

[Anonymous]

Interesting that Diaz purportedly appeals to right wing voters when she is a teacher at a (non-MCPS) virtual academy, a concept the right wingers seem to hate.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Wow—the real news above is that, at least for primaries, the county is 50% vote by mail within pretty few cycles of it becoming easy to access!

Bravo to whatever combination of advocates produced this option!

I really don't understand why everyone doesn't vote by mail/drop box. It's so much easier. You can do it at your convenience, you can take your time to research candidates, you don't have to wait in line, etc.

Not secure - no one should be voting by mail except 100 year olds.