I'm not sure - there could be a lot of applicants from those who live nearer to Kingsbury and will put up with commute for a while to move there. That's actually true already, LAMB in Brookland is full of Petworth people. |
| Hi neighbor. DCB is nearby, and might even be walking/biking distance depending on where you live in the neighborhood. |
DCB had siblings not make it off the Pre-K3 waitlist this year. It's a non-starter. OP, echoing a PP, your list is fine, but if your master number is 50th percentile or lower, the only school you'll probably get is Bunker. Unless you're happy with Bunker, consider some less competitive schools. Our number was right around 50% last year for Pre-K3 and we were waitlisted everywhere except our in bounds, and got an October offer at Breakthrough that we turned down. Even with all of the MV8 spots last year, we never got anywhere near an offer at Stokes, IT, YY, MV, Creative Minds, EL Haynes, and Lee. |
A chart listing many of the popular PK3 school choices and their rough probability of acceptance would be super helpful if it existed... |
Ugh, sorry, brain fart. PP here. We didn't list Creative Minds, but I think you do have a decent chance there. We didn't come close to an offer at Cap City. No idea why my brain mixed up the two. |
You can get pretty close to this by looking at the historic waitlist data. If a DCPS hasn't let in an OOB student in 3 years, it's a wasted spot likely. If a charter only goes 6% of the way into it's waitlist, then you need to pretty much win the lottery to get an offer there. E.g., Stokes Brookland French pre-k 3 had 15 lottery seats, 189 on the waitlist, and made 20 waitlist offers by October. So that means approximately 200 kids applied (189+15) and there were a MAX of 35 offers (15 initially and 20 from the waitlist). YY had 60 spots, 454 on the waitlist, and made 14 offers. Etcetera. It takes some fiddling with the data, but you can pretty much figure out which you have to: (1) win the lottery (top 10%, maybe 15% depending on your schools); (2) do pretty well (top 75% I'd say); (3) do anything less than top half. |
Can confirm L-T would be a wasted spot. A good friend's kid is #1 on the WL for PK3 and is IB. Started as #3 and only made it to #1 after bouncing up and down. So even the 5 WL offers is misleading, since some of those kids moved IB over the summer or got sibling preference when their K sibling enrolled. |
That was this year. Does anyone know how many spaces might be available for next school year (2020-2021)? |
I would drop Shepherd and Whittier and add Sela and maybe Bridges. Otherwise, see you at Bunker Hill! |
Sela is a great, under the radar option. |
| Creative Minds seems to be on a downward trajectory, I think it’s safe to assume it will be at least as easy to get in, probably easier. |
I just took a look at their waitlist offers and WHOA! 100 offers for PreK 4. |
And they only had 8... does that mean 92 from PreK3 decided not to return to the school? |
| If you're willing to make the commute to Whittier or Shepard, and you like Montessori, add Breakthrough. It's a great under-the-radar little school that went pretty deep into their waitlist last year. |
Assume it means 92 people turned down the slots. |