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DC1 - conceived the first month that I wasn’t actively preventing it (no temping, charting, etc, and I’d been on the pill for so many years that I really had no idea what my natural cycle would be like)
DC2 - 7 or 8 months, about 5 of which were spent trying to time our activities properly. |
Have you spoken to your doctor? Depending on your age s/he might suggest testing. Yes, it can take a year...but with charting and temping it's different. My doc said that if I wasn't pregnant in 6 months to make an appointment. But sometimes if you're under 30 they'll wait longer on that. I'd ask your OB. |
Shady grove told me it is 20% even with good timing. A lot of good things have to happen for pregnancy to occur. |
According to Taking Charge of your Fertility, it said after 6+ months worth checking out. Following this, I went to an RE about 7 months after we started (with vigilant charting, etc). Turns out I did have a problem! We did IVF a year after we began trying. I was 31. |
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It was true for me. Took one year to conceive my first, with charting and temping.
#2 - I didn't even get my period after coming off the pill before conceiving. Needed an early dating u/s. |
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It was true for me. Pregnant on the first try with my son, super easy pregnancy and delivery, no issues.
Started TTC #2 when he was 12 months. He's now almost 5 and I have never been pregnant again, unexplained infertility, had surgery, IUIs, iVF, all failed. No explanation, all tests normal. We are about to give up TTC soon. |
This is my plan as well. I got pregnant at cycle 6 last time, but was about to schedule an appointment. Will do so again if we're still TTC after 6 cycles this time. |
| I have experienced both. A year, surgery and IUI for my DD and first try for current pregnancy. |
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Ok based on a 20% chance / cycle, here's the likelihood of getting pregnant on or before each cycle:
1 20% 2 36% 3 49% 4 59% 5 67% 6 74% 7 79% 8 83% 9 87% 10 89% 11 91% 12 93% After 6 months of trying, 3/4ths of women would be pregnant. Not sure about everyone else, but this helps me calm down! |
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PP again.. laughing to myself trying to imagine what high schoolers first learning probability would do with this example?
Question: a woman has 20% chance of conceiving per cycle? What is the likelihood of conceiving within 6 cycles? Answer: 1 - the probability of NOT conceiving or 1- (80% ^6) = 74% Question: Assuming her cycles are 28 days on average, what is her likelihood of conceiving within 1 year? Answer: 1 year is 365 days / 28 days per cycle =~ 13 cycles. Thus 1-(80%^13) = 95% chance of conceiving. Would love to see these on the SAT some day
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can you clarify if this is just having sex without protection or timed based on cervical mucus, temping, OPKs, etc? |
Based entirely on the “20% per month” probability. I don’t have a reference for that and don’t know what it’s based on. |
| the 20% per month is for women under 35, with well timed intercourse (meaning, you either know your body well enough to date ovulation based on CM/CP, use of OPKs, or by just plain having sex every other day for the entire month). |
I honestly don't believe this and my RE doesn't either. Women who are ovulating regularly and have properly timed intercourse have a higher chance of getting pregnant each cycle than 20%. Someone needs to do a proper study of this with 5,000 women. It wouldn't be difficult to do. |
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According to TCOYF, the odds of a "proven fertility" couple are no more than 25% each cycle, and lower for couples in their "mid-30's and older." Which is why, I assume, it recommends testing after 4-6 cycles of timed sex.
It took us 6 cycles, which means it's 50/50 whether we're normal fertility and unlucky with the odds, or sub-normal fertility and lucky with the odds. |