Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:21:52 at our school (GCM) the schools that are "applied to" are known and reported by the counselors (who coordinate all the recommendations and applications), the "accepted to" data are self reported by students and reviewed by the counselors and the "attend" data are also self reported and reviewed. I expect there is some minor data corruption. The data is somewhat helpful to establish appropriate expectations and communicate opportunities. It is clearly not helpful in judging the performance of the school in general or in assessing the particular prospects for any individual student, although it is often used in this manner.
On review of TJ's data, it is interesting to note how many kids attended VA state schools. Consider that TJ senior class is approximately 425 kids - if allocated over the 24 HS in FCPS that is approximately 20 kids from each class, and perhaps closer to 30 from the higher ses schools (e.g. Langley, McLean, Madison, Marshall...) and less from other HS - so roughly the top 10-15% of each HS class may be segregated into TJ (although there are a number of high performing students who choose not to go to TJ - the ethnic segregation at TJ is considerable with 70% identifying as 'Asian', and the focus of the curriculum there is STEM)
Somewhere in the range of 2-3% of FCPS seniors graduate from TJ each year, not 10-15%. Remember that TJ is the regional governor's school. Only 300-350 kids a year are from FCPS. And they may be many of the top STEM kids, but other kids are tops in other things. The other 1/4-1/3 are from other jurisdictions. 14,000 or so HS grads a year, 350 is from FCPS. The math ends up with 2-3% of each senior class graduating from TJ. That makes sense. TJ is by far the smallest HS, often with classes 1/2 the size of other high schools, and a 1/3 if you only consider the FCPS kids. With 22 HSs (kicking out the Alternative HSs which are small), TJ has at most 1/2 of 1/22, or 1/44 of the kids. I consistently see 2%, which seems right.
And the VA Stats are not shocking. TJ kids definately skew affluent, but many are not wealthy. When push comes to shove, many parents cannot pay full freight for an ivy. I have a TJ kid, and he is in the same boat as many of his peers at TJ and in this area. We can pay everything in state. But if ge goes OOS or private, we cannot make up much of the difference. And I do not want him or us taking out loans for undergrad, when graduate school is a real possibility. When the time comes, if he does not get merit money from an engineering school (I suspect he will apply to engineering schools) that is a better fit for him than UVA or VT, then he will go to UVA or VT. And I certainly would not see UVA/VT Engineering as his safety schools as a failure. There are tons of very smart, very high achieving very motivated kids who do not get in to these schools.
That said, I would love for him to go to a Rose Holman or Havvey Mudd. A small environment that focuses on undergrad education. But, without merit money, we can't make it happen. We'll see.