An early look at the labor market impact potential of large language models or What to study (major)

[Anonymous]

When my DS was born in 2005, I thought he will not need to learn driving since self-driving cars will be everywhere by the time he turns 18. Yet there I was, sitting with him yesterday going on a drive, teaching him to check the blindspot while making lane changes.

We make the mistake of assuming that technology movements are linear. But it seldom is. Many of these prediction may come true in 20 years. But by then, we will have a whole new set of opportunities to chase. Human innovation never stops.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:When my DS was born in 2005, I thought he will not need to learn driving since self-driving cars will be everywhere by the time he turns 18. Yet there I was, sitting with him yesterday going on a drive, teaching him to check the blindspot while making lane changes.

We make the mistake of assuming that technology movements are linear. But it seldom is. Many of these prediction may come true in 20 years. But by then, we will have a whole new set of opportunities to chase. Human innovation never stops.

Don't let your DS major in English or Art.

[Anonymous]

I am an artist who has her MFA. The artwork created by AI is just plain tacky. You can’t teach a computer good taste. I also see it in my sons’ video games. The ones set in the past have the costumes and architecture all wrong/mixed up. Those video game designers needed to take a few art history courses. My child’s Prosthodontist was an art history major at Princeton. She says it helps her in her line of work.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I am an artist who has her MFA. The artwork created by AI is just plain tacky. You can’t teach a computer good taste. I also see it in my sons’ video games. The ones set in the past have the costumes and architecture all wrong/mixed up. Those video game designers needed to take a few art history courses. My child’s Prosthodontist was an art history major at Princeton. She says it helps her in her line of work.

You are talking about the way things were a month or two ago but certainly not now and what will be in 6 months.

[Anonymous]

Radiologists and anesthesiologists will be the first ones to be let go...

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Radiologists and anesthesiologists will be the first ones to be let go...

'According to chatGPT: According to an article by The Anesthesia Consultant, it’s unlikely that any AI computer or robot will be able to independently replace the manual skills such as airway management, endotracheal intubation, or surgical excision1. However, there are some concerns that AI could replace some of the work that anesthesiologists do2. It is clear that AI will find many applications in anesthesia care, in delivering real-time results and patient assessments to enable physicians to focus on higher-order tasks2.'

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Have any of you PPs saying 50% jobs are going away or whatever ever actually used these large language models?

I’ve been in the AI space for ten years, for context. And I think the people who think these are going to displace many whole professions are delusional.

There are a few professions I think may be more vulnerable. But anyone who says most white collar jobs are going away is just repeating a bunch of industry hype.

Compare what happened in the AI space in the past 10 years and what happened in that space in the past 10 weeks? AI is advancing at lightning speed in case you were not paying attention last week.

Do you really think large language models were unknown to us before chat GPT hit the popular consciousness?

[Anonymous]

I feel like the world as we know it is going to change drastically sooner rather then later. Technology (and outsourcing) came for blue collar jobs in the 80s and now it’s coming for white collar jobs. I know CS is super competitive right now but with AI, a lot of tech jobs will be obliterated. Honestly, I don’t know how to guide my kids in terms of college majors. I feel like unless you are at the tip top, life will suck.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I feel like the world as we know it is going to change drastically sooner rather then later. Technology (and outsourcing) came for blue collar jobs in the 80s and now it’s coming for white collar jobs. I know CS is super competitive right now but with AI, a lot of tech jobs will be obliterated. Honestly, I don’t know how to guide my kids in terms of college majors. I feel like unless you are at the tip top, life will suck.

Here’s an interesting recent discussion on Reddit where people in tech chimed in:
https://www.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/11xx7wr/bill_gates_just_published_a_7page_letter_about_ai/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=ioscss&utm_content=2&utm_term=1

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Have any of you PPs saying 50% jobs are going away or whatever ever actually used these large language models?

I’ve been in the AI space for ten years, for context. And I think the people who think these are going to displace many whole professions are delusional.

There are a few professions I think may be more vulnerable. But anyone who says most white collar jobs are going away is just repeating a bunch of industry hype.

Compare what happened in the AI space in the past 10 years and what happened in that space in the past 10 weeks? AI is advancing at lightning speed in case you were not paying attention last week.

Lol. You clearly know nothing about AI. Funny stuff.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Have any of you PPs saying 50% jobs are going away or whatever ever actually used these large language models?

I’ve been in the AI space for ten years, for context. And I think the people who think these are going to displace many whole professions are delusional.

There are a few professions I think may be more vulnerable. But anyone who says most white collar jobs are going away is just repeating a bunch of industry hype.

Compare what happened in the AI space in the past 10 years and what happened in that space in the past 10 weeks? AI is advancing at lightning speed in case you were not paying attention last week.

Do you really think large language models were unknown to us before chat GPT hit the popular consciousness?

Apparently that poster doesn’t know anything about the history of generative AI. Truly funny stuff.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I feel like the world as we know it is going to change drastically sooner rather then later. Technology (and outsourcing) came for blue collar jobs in the 80s and now it’s coming for white collar jobs. I know CS is super competitive right now but with AI, a lot of tech jobs will be obliterated. Honestly, I don’t know how to guide my kids in terms of college majors. I feel like unless you are at the tip top, life will suck.

Really? I want my doc to consult with AI but not be AI. Sorry.AI.

[Anonymous]

Seems like a useful tool but too many mistakes. No one wants there job to only be done right part of the time ..even 80 or 90 percent is great but who wants to be in the other 10 percent of patients or clients .....no one.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I am an artist who has her MFA. The artwork created by AI is just plain tacky. You can’t teach a computer good taste. I also see it in my sons’ video games. The ones set in the past have the costumes and architecture all wrong/mixed up. Those video game designers needed to take a few art history courses. My child’s Prosthodontist was an art history major at Princeton. She says it helps her in her line of work.

Your job will become obsolete in 3 years.

[Anonymous]

Singers are being replaced already not just song writers, arrangers etc. In fact most musicians will be replaced as well.