What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Close but still a R victory in a strong R wave this fall.

You think Dr Oz beats Jawn?

It's called a strong wave year, as all signs are promising. November is going to be *exceedingly* difficult for Democrats, especially in close states like PA.

Oz isn't leading in the Republican primaries. McCormick is. Just a FYI.

McCormick is running as a Youngkin clone but we’ll see if he can keep it up. I don’t see him turning out the votes in suburban Philly and the winner needs those counties. Honest opinion is that McCormick beats Lamb but Fetterman beats McCormick.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Close but still a R victory in a strong R wave this fall.

You think Dr Oz beats Jawn?

It's called a strong wave year, as all signs are promising. November is going to be *exceedingly* difficult for Democrats, especially in close states like PA.

Oz isn't leading in the Republican primaries. McCormick is. Just a FYI.

I guess we'll see how strong a wave it is. I know signs are pointing to it. But Republicans are just so awful, and so bereft of good ideas.

PA seems a little exempt from this wave year analysis. Fetterman seems - to me, anyway - an unusually strong candidate. I guess we'll see. I really hope he wins.

What analysis is that? None of the usuals, like Sabato, Cook or others are actually predicting a "strong GOP wave" and nor is there any polling that really reflects anything like that either.

Or, in the absence of actual data, are you just speaking from "well in the past..." types of things where somehow there should always be a swing to oppose the incumbent President's party? Or GOP-bubble hubris, "OF COURSE the entire world hates senile SleepyJoe"

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Close but still a R victory in a strong R wave this fall.

You think Dr Oz beats Jawn?

It's called a strong wave year, as all signs are promising. November is going to be *exceedingly* difficult for Democrats, especially in close states like PA.

Oz isn't leading in the Republican primaries. McCormick is. Just a FYI.

I guess we'll see how strong a wave it is. I know signs are pointing to it. But Republicans are just so awful, and so bereft of good ideas.

PA seems a little exempt from this wave year analysis. Fetterman seems - to me, anyway - an unusually strong candidate. I guess we'll see. I really hope he wins.

What analysis is that? None of the usuals, like Sabato, Cook or others are actually predicting a "strong GOP wave" and nor is there any polling that really reflects anything like that either.

Or, in the absence of actual data, are you just speaking from "well in the past..." types of things where somehow there should always be a swing to oppose the incumbent President's party? Or GOP-bubble hubris, "OF COURSE the entire world hates senile SleepyJoe"

I look at the polls.

And read the papers.

Don't you?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Close but still a R victory in a strong R wave this fall.

You think Dr Oz beats Jawn?

It's called a strong wave year, as all signs are promising. November is going to be *exceedingly* difficult for Democrats, especially in close states like PA.

Oz isn't leading in the Republican primaries. McCormick is. Just a FYI.

That's not necessarily true. Recent pollings have them neck-and-neck. They both have a lot of personal cash to throw at it and it will be a very expensive primary. You have a Hollywod star vs a hedge fund CEO and both are willing to add personal funds to their campaigns in addition to anything they raise.

https://www.abc27.com/2022-united-states-senate-election-in-pennsylvania/pennsylvania-senate-primary-poll-oz-mccormick-tied-majority-undecided/

Pennsylvania Senate Primary Poll: Oz & McCormick tied, majority undecided
by: George Stockburger

Posted: Mar 31, 2022 / 03:00 PM EDT
Updated: Mar 31, 2022 / 04:56 PM EDT

[...]

A new WHTM/Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll shows Dr. Mehmet Oz and David McCormick virtually tied in the May 17 Pennsylvania Republican US Senate primary, but a majority of voters remain undecided.

In the poll of 373 Pennsylvania Republicans, the former television personality Oz received one more vote than McCormick, a former hedge fund CEO.

Oz finished first in the poll with 14.4% followed by McCormick at 14.3%.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Conor lamb is a clown

Pá swing voters are pissed at Dems

Which shows you how stupid most people in PA are.


“Philadelphia in the east, Pittsburg in the west, and “Deliverance” in the middle”.

That’s Pennsylvania

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Conor lamb is a clown

Pá swing voters are pissed at Dems

Which shows you how stupid most people in PA are.


“Philadelphia in the east, Pittsburg in the west, and “Deliverance” in the middle”.

That’s Pennsylvania

????

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Close but still a R victory in a strong R wave this fall.

You think Dr Oz beats Jawn?

It's called a strong wave year, as all signs are promising. November is going to be *exceedingly* difficult for Democrats, especially in close states like PA.

Oz isn't leading in the Republican primaries. McCormick is. Just a FYI.

I guess we'll see how strong a wave it is. I know signs are pointing to it. But Republicans are just so awful, and so bereft of good ideas.

PA seems a little exempt from this wave year analysis. Fetterman seems - to me, anyway - an unusually strong candidate. I guess we'll see. I really hope he wins.

What analysis is that? None of the usuals, like Sabato, Cook or others are actually predicting a "strong GOP wave" and nor is there any polling that really reflects anything like that either.

Or, in the absence of actual data, are you just speaking from "well in the past..." types of things where somehow there should always be a swing to oppose the incumbent President's party? Or GOP-bubble hubris, "OF COURSE the entire world hates senile SleepyJoe"

I look at the polls.

And read the papers.

Don't you?

Of course I read. The polls I'm seeing *are not* showing a massive GOP wave. In fact some of the GOP incumbents are behind. And, the expert forecasts do not show any massive GOP wave either. For example, they are showing between 185 and 192 solid Dem seats vs 168-169 R seats in the House with a steep climb for the Rs to get enough seats for a majority. Far from a wave.
So, what polls and papers are you citing?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Conor lamb is a clown

Pá swing voters are pissed at Dems

Which shows you how stupid most people in PA are.


“Philadelphia in the east, Pittsburg in the west, and “Deliverance” in the middle”.

That’s Pennsylvania

????

That’s a reference to James Carville who in 1986 called Pennsylvania Paoli and Penn Hills [Philadelphia and Pittsburgh] with Alabama in the middle.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Conor lamb is a clown

Pá swing voters are pissed at Dems

Which shows you how stupid most people in PA are.


“Philadelphia in the east, Pittsburg in the west, and “Deliverance” in the middle”.

That’s Pennsylvania

????

That’s a reference to James Carville who in 1986 called Pennsylvania Paoli and Penn Hills [Philadelphia and Pittsburgh] with Alabama in the middle.

Yeah I know. But those people aren’t “stupid.” Not in the slightest.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Conor lamb is a clown

Pá swing voters are pissed at Dems

Which shows you how stupid most people in PA are.


“Philadelphia in the east, Pittsburg in the west, and “Deliverance” in the middle”.

That’s Pennsylvania

????

That’s a reference to James Carville who in 1986 called Pennsylvania Paoli and Penn Hills [Philadelphia and Pittsburgh] with Alabama in the middle.

Yeah I know. But those people aren’t “stupid.” Not in the slightest.

That’s your opinion.

[Anonymous]

Fetterman seems to have a pretty solid lead in primary with about 6.5 weeks left.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/600369-poll-fetterman-leads-lamb-by-double-digits-in-pennsylvania/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Conor lamb is a clown

Pá swing voters are pissed at Dems

Which shows you how stupid most people in PA are.


“Philadelphia in the east, Pittsburg in the west, and “Deliverance” in the middle”.

That’s Pennsylvania

????

That’s a reference to James Carville who in 1986 called Pennsylvania Paoli and Penn Hills [Philadelphia and Pittsburgh] with Alabama in the middle.

Yeah I know. But those people aren’t “stupid.” Not in the slightest.

They aren’t as dumb as Alabama but not far off.

The PA nutters are viscous. You should see what they did to school boards. They make the LCPS freakshows look tame.

[Anonymous]

GOP candidates forum today:

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Pá swing voters are pissed at Dems

There are only so many of them, though. Meanwhile…

[Anonymous]

Why is Fetterman not debating?