Gaza War, Part 3

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


Hamas is doing what Israel does to them . You don’t care when Palestinian are taken prisoner without charge as young as five years old for throwing a stone at an Israeli tank or saying Free Palestine . The IDF can use excessive violence and force without repercussion to people like you because Palestinian lives do not matter at all . A carpetbagging settler from Brooklyn can take up shop in a home of a West Bank farmer and take all their belongings and force them out of their home and they should just shut up and deal .


+1

Israel must play by its own rules. Give back their prisoners who are being detained without charge and often maltreated in detention in return for Hamas's prisoners. Neither side should be detaining people without trial, but Israel started the process and needs to initiate the resolution.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60% and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it

I agree but, at the same time, I don't want to see either Israel become a pariah nation or thousands of more Palestinian civilians killed. Then again I'm neither Bibi nor Sinwar both of whom seem to be relishing that seemingly inevitable outcome.


I believe it’s unrealistic to expect a war to finish in six months. As Americans, we tend to want to fix the problem quickly but that’s unfair and not how war works. Our own wars took decades with no reasonable solution but the benefit is now our American public is completely war averse.

Maybe that’s what the Israelis and Palestinians need. For the war to be so bad , no right wing Likud or Hamas will ever get elected or in power again. Hamas, thanks to Qatari billions, knows how to construct, develop a society and pick up the pieces quickly in post war operations. They’ve rebuilt Gaza time and time again. A post war Gaza ensures they will stay in power as nobody else wants that job and they know it. However, If the war continues, Hamas weaken and weaken and weakens and so does Bibi/Israel/right wing Likud.

Win win.

Things happen for a reason and wars can’t be sorted out in six months . There always is a silver lining in the end to war: maybe even Palestinian and Israelis can come together to protest their governments together. You never know what extensive war can do
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60% and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it



It won't expand from the West Bank. It was never militarized like Gaza was. There is no weapons flow from Jordan into the West Bank as there was from Egypt into Gaza. Palestinian militants in the West Bank do not have the means to invade Israel and engage in a sustained war with the IDF. Hamas, due to their support from Iran, were able to launch a war with Israel. Which is why Gaza has been flattened and the West Bank remains standing.

I don't think this war expands at all. Hezbollah in Lebanon is standing fast. That little exchange between Iran and Israel a couple of weeks ago was nothing more than a momentary distraction. The Sunni Arabs in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, and Saudi Arabia despise the Palestinians for all sorts of historical reasons. And Palestinians in Gaza choosing to align themselves with the Shi'a theocracy in Iran has not endeared them with the Arab world. In short, due to their bad decision making, Palestinians in Gaza have no allies, which means this war won't grow.

I don't know what the endgame is. Besides complete devastation for Palestinians in Gaza. It will eventually become some kind of Arab League/Israel bastard child dependent territory. No one will ever trust Palestinians in Gaza for generations after this, so there is no chance for autonomous rule, much less independence, for the foreseeable future. But hopefully once Netanyahu is gone there will be a better outcome for the West Bank that will include the removal of the settlers and a sustainable political solution.


If that’s the case, why didn’t Israel listen to Egypts warning that Hamas was very active with transactions and transfers in the MJ tbs prior?

Tens of thousands of people would still be alive from Israel and Gaza.

They don’t need weapons from Jordan to wage war. They can use anything as a weapon -even a car . They have settlers right there . They can start a war whenever they want.

Israel is so short sighted. They think technology is needed for war. It’s not.

All that’s needed is hate
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60% and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it



It won't expand from the West Bank. It was never militarized like Gaza was. There is no weapons flow from Jordan into the West Bank as there was from Egypt into Gaza. Palestinian militants in the West Bank do not have the means to invade Israel and engage in a sustained war with the IDF. Hamas, due to their support from Iran, were able to launch a war with Israel. Which is why Gaza has been flattened and the West Bank remains standing.

I don't think this war expands at all. Hezbollah in Lebanon is standing fast. That little exchange between Iran and Israel a couple of weeks ago was nothing more than a momentary distraction. The Sunni Arabs in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, and Saudi Arabia despise the Palestinians for all sorts of historical reasons. And Palestinians in Gaza choosing to align themselves with the Shi'a theocracy in Iran has not endeared them with the Arab world. In short, due to their bad decision making, Palestinians in Gaza have no allies, which means this war won't grow.

I don't know what the endgame is. Besides complete devastation for Palestinians in Gaza. It will eventually become some kind of Arab League/Israel bastard child dependent territory. No one will ever trust Palestinians in Gaza for generations after this, so there is no chance for autonomous rule, much less independence, for the foreseeable future. But hopefully once Netanyahu is gone there will be a better outcome for the West Bank that will include the removal of the settlers and a sustainable political solution.


If that’s the case, why didn’t Israel listen to Egypts warning that Hamas was very active with transactions and transfers in the MJ tbs prior?

Tens of thousands of people would still be alive from Israel and Gaza.

They don’t need weapons from Jordan to wage war. They can use anything as a weapon -even a car . They have settlers right there . They can start a war whenever they want.

Israel is so short sighted. They think technology is needed for war. It’s not.

All that’s needed is hate



Yes, but hate is no match for a F-35.

Palestinians have been using terrorism for generations - from Black September to airplane hijackings to innumerable suicide bombings. And it's gotten them exactly nowhere. They could have had a state numerous times, but that would require vision, statesmanship, compromise, and a vision for the future. And Palestinians have exhibited none of those things. Instead, they chose Islamic fundamentalism, terrorism, and kleptocracy.

Palestinians in Gaza thought their invasion of Israel and the atrocities they committed on 10/7 was a brilliant idea. The rest of the world, of course, looks upon Palestinian decision-making and thinks idiots. There's no helping such self destructive stupidity.

Was the Netanyahu government profoundly incompetent? Absolutely. 10/7 was the worst security failure in the history of Israel. But ultimately Israelis will vote in a new government. There will be a thorough investigation of the incompetence of the Netanyahu government. And life will move on.

Meanwhile, Gaza lies in ruins. And any hope for Palestinian independence is gone for generations. I don't know about you, but I'm thinking Palestinians might want to try something different than Hamas and endless terror. It doesn't seem to be working.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. [
Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60%
and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it


This is ridiculous. The only thing Netanyahu wants from Hamas is Hamas to attack Fatah, and the only thing Netanyahu wants from Fatah is for Fatah to attack Hamas.

The only thing Hamas wants is war, like Isis. The only people Fatah hates more than Israel are Palestinians, which is why Hamas isn't war with Fatah. Hamas kills Palestinians to keep itself in power.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60% and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it



It won't expand from the West Bank. It was never militarized like Gaza was. There is no weapons flow from Jordan into the West Bank as there was from Egypt into Gaza. Palestinian militants in the West Bank do not have the means to invade Israel and engage in a sustained war with the IDF. Hamas, due to their support from Iran, were able to launch a war with Israel. Which is why Gaza has been flattened and the West Bank remains standing.

I don't think this war expands at all. Hezbollah in Lebanon is standing fast. That little exchange between Iran and Israel a couple of weeks ago was nothing more than a momentary distraction. The Sunni Arabs in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, and Saudi Arabia despise the Palestinians for all sorts of historical reasons. And Palestinians in Gaza choosing to align themselves with the Shi'a theocracy in Iran has not endeared them with the Arab world. In short, due to their bad decision making, Palestinians in Gaza have no allies, which means this war won't grow.

I don't know what the endgame is. Besides complete devastation for Palestinians in Gaza. It will eventually become some kind of Arab League/Israel bastard child dependent territory. No one will ever trust Palestinians in Gaza for generations after this, so there is no chance for autonomous rule, much less independence, for the foreseeable future. But hopefully once Netanyahu is gone there will be a better outcome for the West Bank that will include the removal of the settlers and a sustainable political solution.


If that’s the case, why didn’t Israel listen to Egypts warning that Hamas was very active with transactions and transfers in the MJ tbs prior?

Tens of thousands of people would still be alive from Israel and Gaza.

They don’t need weapons from Jordan to wage war. They can use anything as a weapon -even a car . They have settlers right there . They can start a war whenever they want.

Israel is so short sighted. They think technology is needed for war. It’s not.

All that’s needed is hate



Yes, but hate is no match for a F-35.

Palestinians have been using terrorism for generations - from Black September to airplane hijackings to innumerable suicide bombings. And it's gotten them exactly nowhere. They could have had a state numerous times, but that would require vision, statesmanship, compromise, and a vision for the future. And Palestinians have exhibited none of those things. Instead, they chose Islamic fundamentalism, terrorism, and kleptocracy.

Palestinians in Gaza thought their invasion of Israel and the atrocities they committed on 10/7 was a brilliant idea. The rest of the world, of course, looks upon Palestinian decision-making and thinks idiots. There's no helping such self destructive stupidity.

Was the Netanyahu government profoundly incompetent? Absolutely. 10/7 was the worst security failure in the history of Israel. But ultimately Israelis will vote in a new government. There will be a thorough investigation of the incompetence of the Netanyahu government. And life will move on.

Meanwhile, Gaza lies in ruins. And any hope for Palestinian independence is gone for generations. I don't know about you, but I'm thinking Palestinians might want to try something different than Hamas and endless terror. It doesn't seem to be working.


Disagree completely with that statement. The Israeli response has done more than just level Gaza. It has virtually guaranteed Palestinian independence sooner rather than later.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60% and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it



It won't expand from the West Bank. It was never militarized like Gaza was. There is no weapons flow from Jordan into the West Bank as there was from Egypt into Gaza. Palestinian militants in the West Bank do not have the means to invade Israel and engage in a sustained war with the IDF. Hamas, due to their support from Iran, were able to launch a war with Israel. Which is why Gaza has been flattened and the West Bank remains standing.

I don't think this war expands at all. Hezbollah in Lebanon is standing fast. That little exchange between Iran and Israel a couple of weeks ago was nothing more than a momentary distraction. The Sunni Arabs in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, and Saudi Arabia despise the Palestinians for all sorts of historical reasons. And Palestinians in Gaza choosing to align themselves with the Shi'a theocracy in Iran has not endeared them with the Arab world. In short, due to their bad decision making, Palestinians in Gaza have no allies, which means this war won't grow.

I don't know what the endgame is. Besides complete devastation for Palestinians in Gaza. It will eventually become some kind of Arab League/Israel bastard child dependent territory. No one will ever trust Palestinians in Gaza for generations after this, so there is no chance for autonomous rule, much less independence, for the foreseeable future. But hopefully once Netanyahu is gone there will be a better outcome for the West Bank that will include the removal of the settlers and a sustainable political solution.


If that’s the case, why didn’t Israel listen to Egypts warning that Hamas was very active with transactions and transfers in the MJ tbs prior?

Tens of thousands of people would still be alive from Israel and Gaza.

They don’t need weapons from Jordan to wage war. They can use anything as a weapon -even a car . They have settlers right there . They can start a war whenever they want.

Israel is so short sighted. They think technology is needed for war. It’s not.

All that’s needed is hate



Yes, but hate is no match for a F-35.

Palestinians have been using terrorism for generations - from Black September to airplane hijackings to innumerable suicide bombings. And it's gotten them exactly nowhere. They could have had a state numerous times, but that would require vision, statesmanship, compromise, and a vision for the future. And Palestinians have exhibited none of those things. Instead, they chose Islamic fundamentalism, terrorism, and kleptocracy.

Palestinians in Gaza thought their invasion of Israel and the atrocities they committed on 10/7 was a brilliant idea. The rest of the world, of course, looks upon Palestinian decision-making and thinks idiots. There's no helping such self destructive stupidity.

Was the Netanyahu government profoundly incompetent? Absolutely. 10/7 was the worst security failure in the history of Israel. But ultimately Israelis will vote in a new government. There will be a thorough investigation of the incompetence of the Netanyahu government. And life will move on.

Meanwhile, Gaza lies in ruins. And any hope for Palestinian independence is gone for generations. I don't know about you, but I'm thinking Palestinians might want to try something different than Hamas and endless terror. It doesn't seem to be working.


Disagree completely with that statement. The Israeli response has done more than just level Gaza. It has virtually guaranteed Palestinian independence sooner rather than later.


DP.

Where and how?

Israel is about to present the world with a fait accompli, and there’s exactly a zero percent chance that the international community will do anything meaningful to reverse it.

Add in the fact that Palestinians have no credible leadership, no consensus on the borders and contours of independence, and the chances for a Palestinian state in the near future are now nil.

Which is tragic, for everyone involved.

Eff Likud and eff Hamas.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. [
Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60%
and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it


This is ridiculous. The only thing Netanyahu wants from Hamas is Hamas to attack Fatah, and the only thing Netanyahu wants from Fatah is for Fatah to attack Hamas.

The only thing Hamas wants is war, like Isis. The only people Fatah hates more than Israel are Palestinians, which is why Hamas isn't war with Fatah. Hamas kills Palestinians to keep itself in power.


This is demonstrably false. Hamas calls 10/7 Al Aqsa Raid. They did this because Isrsel was killing Palestinians in the West Bank not because Israel was killing Palestinians in Gaza.

Israel always picks on the weakest target which was Palestinians in the defenseless and armyless West Bank.

Hamas doesn’t hate Fatah or Palestinians in the West Bank or Christians. They’re the same people.

That was what Netanyahu thought would happen. A civil war among Palestinians but it never happened . Israel is the one that has the divisions.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. [
Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60%
and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it


This is ridiculous. The only thing Netanyahu wants from Hamas is Hamas to attack Fatah, and the only thing Netanyahu wants from Fatah is for Fatah to attack Hamas.

The only thing Hamas wants is war, like Isis. The only people Fatah hates more than Israel are Palestinians, which is why Hamas isn't war with Fatah. Hamas kills Palestinians to keep itself in power.


This is demonstrably false. Hamas calls 10/7 Al Aqsa Raid. They did this because Isrsel was killing Palestinians in the West Bank not because Israel was killing Palestinians in Gaza.

Israel always picks on the weakest target which was Palestinians in the defenseless and armyless West Bank.

Hamas doesn’t hate Fatah or Palestinians in the West Bank or Christians. They’re the same people.

That was what Netanyahu thought would happen. A civil war among Palestinians but it never happened . Israel is the one that has the divisions.


They did it because they were mad that other Arab countries were normalizing relations with Israel. They are not some Avengers-style band of super heroes there to defend the rights of the oppressed. For gd's sake.

At least don't ask why we call you Hamas-lovers.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. [
Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60%
and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it


This is ridiculous. The only thing Netanyahu wants from Hamas is Hamas to attack Fatah, and the only thing Netanyahu wants from Fatah is for Fatah to attack Hamas.

The only thing Hamas wants is war, like Isis. The only people Fatah hates more than Israel are Palestinians, which is why Hamas isn't war with Fatah. Hamas kills Palestinians to keep itself in power.


This is demonstrably false. Hamas calls 10/7 Al Aqsa Raid. They did this because Isrsel was killing Palestinians in the West Bank not because Israel was killing Palestinians in Gaza.

Israel always picks on the weakest target which was Palestinians in the defenseless and armyless West Bank.

Hamas doesn’t hate Fatah or Palestinians in the West Bank or Christians. They’re the same people.

That was what Netanyahu thought would happen. A civil war among Palestinians but it never happened . Israel is the one that has the divisions.


They did it because they were mad that other Arab countries were normalizing relations with Israel. They are not some Avengers-style band of super heroes there to defend the rights of the oppressed. For gd's sake.

At least don't ask why we call you Hamas-lovers.


lol yes Israel is not the oppressor. You live in a fantasy world.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60% and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it



It won't expand from the West Bank. It was never militarized like Gaza was. There is no weapons flow from Jordan into the West Bank as there was from Egypt into Gaza. Palestinian militants in the West Bank do not have the means to invade Israel and engage in a sustained war with the IDF. Hamas, due to their support from Iran, were able to launch a war with Israel. Which is why Gaza has been flattened and the West Bank remains standing.

I don't think this war expands at all. Hezbollah in Lebanon is standing fast. That little exchange between Iran and Israel a couple of weeks ago was nothing more than a momentary distraction. The Sunni Arabs in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, and Saudi Arabia despise the Palestinians for all sorts of historical reasons. And Palestinians in Gaza choosing to align themselves with the Shi'a theocracy in Iran has not endeared them with the Arab world. In short, due to their bad decision making, Palestinians in Gaza have no allies, which means this war won't grow.

I don't know what the endgame is. Besides complete devastation for Palestinians in Gaza. It will eventually become some kind of Arab League/Israel bastard child dependent territory. No one will ever trust Palestinians in Gaza for generations after this, so there is no chance for autonomous rule, much less independence, for the foreseeable future. But hopefully once Netanyahu is gone there will be a better outcome for the West Bank that will include the removal of the settlers and a sustainable political solution.


If that’s the case, why didn’t Israel listen to Egypts warning that Hamas was very active with transactions and transfers in the MJ tbs prior?

Tens of thousands of people would still be alive from Israel and Gaza.

They don’t need weapons from Jordan to wage war. They can use anything as a weapon -even a car . They have settlers right there . They can start a war whenever they want.

Israel is so short sighted. They think technology is needed for war. It’s not.

All that’s needed is hate



Yes, but hate is no match for a F-35.

Palestinians have been using terrorism for generations - from Black September to airplane hijackings to innumerable suicide bombings. And it's gotten them exactly nowhere. They could have had a state numerous times, but that would require vision, statesmanship, compromise, and a vision for the future. And Palestinians have exhibited none of those things. Instead, they chose Islamic fundamentalism, terrorism, and kleptocracy.

Palestinians in Gaza thought their invasion of Israel and the atrocities they committed on 10/7 was a brilliant idea. The rest of the world, of course, looks upon Palestinian decision-making and thinks idiots. There's no helping such self destructive stupidity.

Was the Netanyahu government profoundly incompetent? Absolutely. 10/7 was the worst security failure in the history of Israel. But ultimately Israelis will vote in a new government. There will be a thorough investigation of the incompetence of the Netanyahu government. And life will move on.

Meanwhile, Gaza lies in ruins. And any hope for Palestinian independence is gone for generations. I don't know about you, but I'm thinking Palestinians might want to try something different than Hamas and endless terror. It doesn't seem to be working.


Disagree completely with that statement. The Israeli response has done more than just level Gaza. It has virtually guaranteed Palestinian independence sooner rather than later.


DP.

Where and how?

Israel is about to present the world with a fait accompli, and there’s exactly a zero percent chance that the international community will do anything meaningful to reverse it.

Add in the fact that Palestinians have no credible leadership, no consensus on the borders and contours of independence, and the chances for a Palestinian state in the near future are now nil.

Which is tragic, for everyone involved.

Eff Likud and eff Hamas.


Prior to Israel's response the chances of a Palestinian state in the near term were already nil. Bibi's (and Sharon's) strategy had somewhat worked. Palestine was out of sight and out of mind to most of the world. Even countries like Sudan and the Gulf States had given up. The pre-2023 status quo had ossified. People weren't paying attention to the policies of Smotrich and Ben Gvir that had gained popularity in Israel but now they are.

However, Israel's over the top response shocked the world. Countries like Colombia and Japan, core allies of the US, have changed policies. EU countries like Ireland and Spain have stepped out on their own while the social taboo against criticisizing Israel in the US has been broken. That's not even mentioning the Russia aligned countries like South Africa and Iran.

That's the background. In the foreground, Gaza has been completely demolished and while the world can't/won't stop that they can/will refuse to pay to rebuild it. Gaza will not be self-governed again in the near term but unless Israel is going to take complete responsibilty, both financially and politically, it will need help and that help isn't coming without conditions.

But Gaza isn't the prize or even the central issue. It's the West Bank that matters. The US has shockingly started imposing sanctions on the worst offenders. That was a heretofore unimaginble thought. Sanctions have been imposed on core allies of Israeli cabinet members and potentially indiidual IDF battalions.

The only thing stopping immediate global recognition of Palestine right now has been the US Security Council veto and the political cost of that veto is no longer zero. That's the dirty little secret, there isn't really a dispute about borders, the lines are known and there is now a cost for Israel's attempt to erase those lines.

Of course the Palestinians could screw up again and overrate their strategic position, but as of today the possibility of Palestinian statehood is the closest it's been to happening since Oslo. Israel shot itself in the foot over and over again. It may be firmly in power militarily but politically and morally its power is crumbling.

As Ben Gvir so poetically has shown us. Running a red light without a seat belt is dangerous and self-harming.
Anonymous
Report: Hamas Accepts Gaza Cease-fire Deal; Israeli Officials Reject Prospect of War Ending
According to the report, Hamas was guaranteed by the U.S. for a full Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip and that Israeli forces will not continue fighting once the hostages are released ■ An Israeli official told Haaretz that 'Israel will, under no circumstances, agree to end the war as part of a deal' and is determined to enter Rafah


https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-05-04/ty-article/.premium/report-hamas-accepts-gaza-cease-fire-deal-israeli-officials-deny-prospect-of-war-ending/0000018f-42eb-d414-a5bf-f3fff18a0000

Wow. Will be interested in the spin put out by the pro Israel crowd on this one. Maybe something about US being in league with Hamas, Biden is Hamas, etc?

Maybe israel is holding out till the US guarantees all college students are arrested if they refuse draft notice from the IDF?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60% and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it



It won't expand from the West Bank. It was never militarized like Gaza was. There is no weapons flow from Jordan into the West Bank as there was from Egypt into Gaza. Palestinian militants in the West Bank do not have the means to invade Israel and engage in a sustained war with the IDF. Hamas, due to their support from Iran, were able to launch a war with Israel. Which is why Gaza has been flattened and the West Bank remains standing.

I don't think this war expands at all. Hezbollah in Lebanon is standing fast. That little exchange between Iran and Israel a couple of weeks ago was nothing more than a momentary distraction. The Sunni Arabs in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, and Saudi Arabia despise the Palestinians for all sorts of historical reasons. And Palestinians in Gaza choosing to align themselves with the Shi'a theocracy in Iran has not endeared them with the Arab world. In short, due to their bad decision making, Palestinians in Gaza have no allies, which means this war won't grow.

I don't know what the endgame is. Besides complete devastation for Palestinians in Gaza. It will eventually become some kind of Arab League/Israel bastard child dependent territory. No one will ever trust Palestinians in Gaza for generations after this, so there is no chance for autonomous rule, much less independence, for the foreseeable future. But hopefully once Netanyahu is gone there will be a better outcome for the West Bank that will include the removal of the settlers and a sustainable political solution.


If that’s the case, why didn’t Israel listen to Egypts warning that Hamas was very active with transactions and transfers in the MJ tbs prior?

Tens of thousands of people would still be alive from Israel and Gaza.

They don’t need weapons from Jordan to wage war. They can use anything as a weapon -even a car . They have settlers right there . They can start a war whenever they want.

Israel is so short sighted. They think technology is needed for war. It’s not.

All that’s needed is hate



Yes, but hate is no match for a F-35.

Palestinians have been using terrorism for generations - from Black September to airplane hijackings to innumerable suicide bombings. And it's gotten them exactly nowhere. They could have had a state numerous times, but that would require vision, statesmanship, compromise, and a vision for the future. And Palestinians have exhibited none of those things. Instead, they chose Islamic fundamentalism, terrorism, and kleptocracy.

Palestinians in Gaza thought their invasion of Israel and the atrocities they committed on 10/7 was a brilliant idea. The rest of the world, of course, looks upon Palestinian decision-making and thinks idiots. There's no helping such self destructive stupidity.

Was the Netanyahu government profoundly incompetent? Absolutely. 10/7 was the worst security failure in the history of Israel. But ultimately Israelis will vote in a new government. There will be a thorough investigation of the incompetence of the Netanyahu government. And life will move on.

Meanwhile, Gaza lies in ruins. And any hope for Palestinian independence is gone for generations. I don't know about you, but I'm thinking Palestinians might want to try something different than Hamas and endless terror. It doesn't seem to be working.


Disagree completely with that statement. The Israeli response has done more than just level Gaza. It has virtually guaranteed Palestinian independence sooner rather than later.


DP.

Where and how?

Israel is about to present the world with a fait accompli, and there’s exactly a zero percent chance that the international community will do anything meaningful to reverse it.

Add in the fact that Palestinians have no credible leadership, no consensus on the borders and contours of independence, and the chances for a Palestinian state in the near future are now nil.

Which is tragic, for everyone involved.

Eff Likud and eff Hamas.


Prior to Israel's response the chances of a Palestinian state in the near term were already nil. Bibi's (and Sharon's) strategy had somewhat worked. Palestine was out of sight and out of mind to most of the world. Even countries like Sudan and the Gulf States had given up. The pre-2023 status quo had ossified. People weren't paying attention to the policies of Smotrich and Ben Gvir that had gained popularity in Israel but now they are.

However, Israel's over the top response shocked the world. Countries like Colombia and Japan, core allies of the US, have changed policies. EU countries like Ireland and Spain have stepped out on their own while the social taboo against criticisizing Israel in the US has been broken. That's not even mentioning the Russia aligned countries like South Africa and Iran.

That's the background. In the foreground, Gaza has been completely demolished and while the world can't/won't stop that they can/will refuse to pay to rebuild it. Gaza will not be self-governed again in the near term but unless Israel is going to take complete responsibilty, both financially and politically, it will need help and that help isn't coming without conditions.

But Gaza isn't the prize or even the central issue. It's the West Bank that matters. The US has shockingly started imposing sanctions on the worst offenders. That was a heretofore unimaginble thought. Sanctions have been imposed on core allies of Israeli cabinet members and potentially indiidual IDF battalions.

The only thing stopping immediate global recognition of Palestine right now has been the US Security Council veto and the political cost of that veto is no longer zero. That's the dirty little secret, there isn't really a dispute about borders, the lines are known and there is now a cost for Israel's attempt to erase those lines.

Of course the Palestinians could screw up again and overrate their strategic position, but as of today the possibility of Palestinian statehood is the closest it's been to happening since Oslo. Israel shot itself in the foot over and over again. It may be firmly in power militarily but politically and morally its power is crumbling.

As Ben Gvir so poetically has shown us. Running a red light without a seat belt is dangerous and self-harming.


Pin this one, Jeff. Most cogent, thoughtful post in nearly 3,000 pages.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ex-IDF ops chief: Rafah invasion PM readying to approve would be worst decision made since war’s outbreak
Israel Ziv, a retired general and former IDF operations chief, speaks out against a potential Israeli invasion of Rafah during Channel 12’s Friday night news panel.

Ziv asserts that the remaining Hamas battalions in the southernmost city of Gaza do not pose an existential threat to Israel, whereas the hostage deal Israel risks forgoing by entering Rafah would amount to an existential threat to the lives of the Israeli hostages.

Ziv argues that even in the best case scenario where Israel enters Rafah, manages to find and kill Hamas leader Sinwar and recover the hostages, there will be no “total victory,” as promised by Netanyahu.

On the other hand, such an invasion will be very bloody, further isolate Jerusalem diplomatically and leave Israel without anyone to turn over Gaza to once the operation is over, Ziv says.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ex-idf-ops-chief-israel-ziv-rafah-invasion-pm-readying-to-approve-would-be-worst-decision-made-since-wars-outbreak/

Get ready. It’s coming. IDF civilians casualty estimates 40,000-80,000..yipes! That is way over Biden’s 30,000 more number.



If Hamas simply released the remaining hostages and returned the bodies of those they've already murdered, the war would be over today. But they won't. Hamas is only interested in violence and death. It's too bad that this is what most Palestinians support. It makes peace impossible.


I agree with this 1000%. Why would Israel agree to a ceasefire without that?


Israel (Bibi) has explicitly said that it would not be over if that happened. Why would Hamas agree to a ceasefire without a guarantee that this will end?

That is the main hang up with the negotiations right now. Both sides have demanded the type of iron clad end game guarantees that don't tend to happen during negotiations like this. It is no wonder that almost all of the secondary parties to this negotiation are wanting to wipe their hands of both of them.


The negotiations will fail because both sides got blindsided whenever they tried to be soft or nice to the other. There’s absolutely zero trust right now on either side. Netanyahu feels he was nice to Hamas by helping them over the PA government in Ramallah and he got backstabbed. Hamas feels backstabbed by Israel because when they softened in 2017 and said they acknowledged 2 state solution, Netanyahu expanded settlements by 60% and sided with some extremist anti Arab parties to create the most right wing government in Israel’s history .

Both sides don’t see the value in being the “bigger person”.

I can’t say that I blame either of them .

I think the US puts too much on negotiation. There is not going to be a negotiation here . Let them keep on. Eventually, the war will leave Gaza and enter Israel from the West Bank. That seems to be what Israel wants so be it



It won't expand from the West Bank. It was never militarized like Gaza was. There is no weapons flow from Jordan into the West Bank as there was from Egypt into Gaza. Palestinian militants in the West Bank do not have the means to invade Israel and engage in a sustained war with the IDF. Hamas, due to their support from Iran, were able to launch a war with Israel. Which is why Gaza has been flattened and the West Bank remains standing.

I don't think this war expands at all. Hezbollah in Lebanon is standing fast. That little exchange between Iran and Israel a couple of weeks ago was nothing more than a momentary distraction. The Sunni Arabs in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, and Saudi Arabia despise the Palestinians for all sorts of historical reasons. And Palestinians in Gaza choosing to align themselves with the Shi'a theocracy in Iran has not endeared them with the Arab world. In short, due to their bad decision making, Palestinians in Gaza have no allies, which means this war won't grow.

I don't know what the endgame is. Besides complete devastation for Palestinians in Gaza. It will eventually become some kind of Arab League/Israel bastard child dependent territory. No one will ever trust Palestinians in Gaza for generations after this, so there is no chance for autonomous rule, much less independence, for the foreseeable future. But hopefully once Netanyahu is gone there will be a better outcome for the West Bank that will include the removal of the settlers and a sustainable political solution.


If that’s the case, why didn’t Israel listen to Egypts warning that Hamas was very active with transactions and transfers in the MJ tbs prior?

Tens of thousands of people would still be alive from Israel and Gaza.

They don’t need weapons from Jordan to wage war. They can use anything as a weapon -even a car . They have settlers right there . They can start a war whenever they want.

Israel is so short sighted. They think technology is needed for war. It’s not.

All that’s needed is hate



Yes, but hate is no match for a F-35.

Palestinians have been using terrorism for generations - from Black September to airplane hijackings to innumerable suicide bombings. And it's gotten them exactly nowhere. They could have had a state numerous times, but that would require vision, statesmanship, compromise, and a vision for the future. And Palestinians have exhibited none of those things. Instead, they chose Islamic fundamentalism, terrorism, and kleptocracy.

Palestinians in Gaza thought their invasion of Israel and the atrocities they committed on 10/7 was a brilliant idea. The rest of the world, of course, looks upon Palestinian decision-making and thinks idiots. There's no helping such self destructive stupidity.

Was the Netanyahu government profoundly incompetent? Absolutely. 10/7 was the worst security failure in the history of Israel. But ultimately Israelis will vote in a new government. There will be a thorough investigation of the incompetence of the Netanyahu government. And life will move on.

Meanwhile, Gaza lies in ruins. And any hope for Palestinian independence is gone for generations. I don't know about you, but I'm thinking Palestinians might want to try something different than Hamas and endless terror. It doesn't seem to be working.


Killing is killing. You can kill a person with a cigarette lighter or a brick. You don’t need an F 35.

Most wars are won on the ground not in the air anyway. What has Israel’s F35’s gotten them?

They can’t even find Hamas tunnels in Gaza with trillions spent on planes and bombs.

F-35’s only create more Hamas if anything
Anonymous
Israel has a recruitment problem already in their country so bad they had to get reservists from overseas and American troops to help as well. Nobody wants to serve including the religious and extreme settlers who believe oh so much in Zion.

Do we think Palestinians will have a soldier recruitment problem in the next decade? Alot of men and boys in the refugee camps in Gaza have nothing or nobody else to go back to. Their families and homes are gone.

Zero sum games are dangerous and I think the morale and will to fight is stronger in the Palestinian side than the Israeli side . Israel hasn’t lost much comparatively speaking. After 10/7; they haven’t experienced war or anything traumatic on a daily basis to shift the minds of their kids or men to anger or hate
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