Biden’s latest Poll numbers

[Anonymous]

"It’s never a good idea to place too much emphasis on any one poll. But this bipartisan poll of Wisconsin for the AARP is potentially an exception, as it is probably the highest-quality poll in a swing state since the debate. It’s a bad one for Biden, showing him down 6 points. Wisconsin had been one of Biden’s better-polling states, but his chances of winning the must-win Badger State have fallen to 39 percent with the new poll added. The drip-drip-drip of polls like these could further erode Biden’s standing in our forecast." - Nate Silver

[Anonymous]

Behind the Curtain: Committee to Unelect the President

Axios - Jim VandeHei, Mike Allen

July 12, 2024

President Biden beat back the initial public campaign by Democrats to oust him from the party's presidential ticket, swiftly and decisively. But very-connected Democrats, mostly veterans of the Obama and Clinton administrations, are plotting hourly to get him to withdraw quickly.

They're commissioning polls, lobbying former presidents, back-channeling Democratic leaders, organizing donors and taking the fight to Biden in a very public way.
They're the unofficial Committee to Unelect the President. The mission: Push Biden out of the presidential race — the sooner, the better.

Why it matters: This loose anti-Biden network is growing by the day — and is circulating polls showing Democrats would shoot from sure losers to big winners with a new ticket. Some donors are talking of a massive financial commitment to any non-Biden presidential ticket.

These Democrats see the race in stark, black-and-white terms: Just three states matter — Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. That's the Blue Wall, all of which Biden won in 2020.
And they see an obvious solution: Forget the niceties of backing Biden or even Vice President Harris. Be ruthless about finding the two people most likely to win those three states.

How it works: The anti-Biden Democrats are trading texts, emails and polling, fighting fellow Democrats on TV and X, and circulating stories and arguments by sympathetic journalists and columnists, including Ezra Klein and Matt Yglesias.

Many are in conversation with lawmakers to push their leaders to squeeze Biden and his inner circle. They know Biden and his family seem unmovable — so they hope for the use of overwhelming force by the Obamas + Clintons + Schumer + Jeffries + Pelosi.

More: https://www.axios.com/2024/07/12/biden-news-old-democrats-president

[Anonymous]

"There is no incumbent president with lower approval ratings that won," "Only three with lower ratings than he has right now and they all lost. Donald Trump, George H.W. Bush, and Jimmy Carter. So some of the political information is what worries some folks in his inner circle. And there is right now no poll showing him winning."

Watch 5:20 in...

[Anonymous]

Uh ohhhh... CBS News is saying forty Democrats will come out publicly against Biden tomorrow.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

If a favorable poll had therapeutic value against dementia, this would be wonderful news for President Biden.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:"It’s never a good idea to place too much emphasis on any one poll. But this bipartisan poll of Wisconsin for the AARP is potentially an exception, as it is probably the highest-quality poll in a swing state since the debate. It’s a bad one for Biden, showing him down 6 points. Wisconsin had been one of Biden’s better-polling states, but his chances of winning the must-win Badger State have fallen to 39 percent with the new poll added. The drip-drip-drip of polls like these could further erode Biden’s standing in our forecast." - Nate Silver

Nate Silver has been right about maybe one election in 20 years. When Nate silver says something, I’m actually pretty confident that the opposite is actually true

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Uh ohhhh... CBS News is saying forty Democrats will come out publicly against Biden tomorrow.

Good to see more Dems trying to get on the right side of history.

[Anonymous]

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/poll-debate-aftermath-damages-biden-democratic-party-matchup-trump-unc-rcna161154

[Anonymous]

Biden losing every Battleground state.

VA, NH, NJ are in play as well..

https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Biden losing every Battleground state.

VA, NH, NJ are in play as well..

https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

Moderate dems will never move off Biden. They would rather keep the status quo- ie do nothing.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Biden losing every Battleground state.

VA, NH, NJ are in play as well..

https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

1980 - Jimmy Carter

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Uh ohhhh... CBS News is saying forty Democrats will come out publicly against Biden tomorrow.

Did they?

[Anonymous]

Without battleground states, based on current polls, Trump gets 312-330 electoral votes.

What’s the plan Biden???

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Without battleground states, based on current polls, Trump gets 312-330 electoral votes.

What’s the plan Biden???

I mean if every state had to be awarded Dem or Republican…

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Biden losing every Battleground state.

VA, NH, NJ are in play as well..

https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

Moderate dems will never move off Biden. They would rather keep the status quo- ie do nothing.

MSN just reported Trump leading in VA by 3. He should be losing there by 10 points, not leading..