| Genuinely curious what people think the outcome of June’s MoCo county exec election will be (NOT who individual posters happen to support). What do you think the odds look like? |
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Glass claims he has the lead: https://montgomeryperspective.com/2026/03/23/glass-claims-lead-in-executive-race/
With that said, I think the more people learn about him, the less they like him. For example, a thread on Nextdoor recently blew up in a negative way over the "no right turn on red" at every intersection, and people then learned that he was behind it. |
That’s interesting. Looks like a pretty close poll but his favorables are clearly the best. |
| Jawando. Glass and Friedson are competing for the same voters. |
| I’d say 45% Glass, 40% Jawando, 15% Friedson |
+1. Jawando will win easily. |
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Jawando has the same base as Elrich, which isn't huge. Elrich benefitted from having lots of people in the democratic primary the first time and then Blair and Riemer competing for the same voters last time.
The race is between Jawando and Friedson. and Glass does take votes away from Friedson. I don't know, though, if Jawando has what it takes to pull this off. Nobody but Mink likes him. He constantly burns bridges and can't get allies. Just like Elrich. Balcomb and Luedtke just endorsed Friedson upcounty, so if upcounty actually comes out and votes, Friedson will win. But they usually don't. I do hear anecdotally from folks who have switched from independent to Democrat to vote for Friedson. People are finally acknowledging they throw their votes away if they aren't registered as democrats. Friedson will have the late media advantage. He has the money to run ads. If a lot of people remain undecided, they will likely swing for Friedson because of exposure. |
Any take conditioned on “if upcounty turns out” will not pan out. If upcounty turns out, downcounty will turn out too. Downcounty has more people. Jawando’s base is a bit broader than Elrich’s base. Sure, Jawando’s colleagues don’t seem to care for him. But a lot of people don’t care for Jawando’s colleagues, so the more the other council members complain about Jawando, the more some people will like him. This dynamic helped Elrich in his first run for executive. Of the three, Friedson is the candidate with the narrowest base. He’s never run countywide before. A lot of his district is really mad at him over the zoning bills and the Little Falls Parkway debacle. His countywide appeal is concentrated among hard core YIMBYs, the same group that carried Hans Riemer to a third-place finish. Hans was a better candidate than Friedson. Money will help Friedson but Glass will peal off more votes from Friedson than Riemer took from Blair. It will be Glass or Jawando. Friedson has been fighting to show that his campaign is viable despite have more than $1 million in the bank. At this point, it looks like Jawando to me. |
I hope not. The guy has no executive function. Whatever his positions, you have to be organized to be county exec. |
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The same Jawando who got pulled over (by a non-white officer actually) and accused the police of racial profiling:
https://foxbaltimore.com/news/local/montgomery-co-councilman-says-he-was-racially-profiled-during-traffic-stop Oh, and Jawando handed the officer an expired driver's license. |
Sadly, this will be the outcome. Same as when Elrich won in the primary by about 100 votes. The reasonable voters' votes were spread across 2-3 candidates, so Elrich just courted one or two smaller groups (unions, socialists) and sealed the win. This is why we need open primaries. We'd then end up with one fringe D and one normal D on the general election ballot, so the normal D might win. 25% of registered voters in MoCo do not have a party affiliation, so they get little say in the primaries (only BOE) |
People need to switch from independent to Dem to vote |
| Jawando's burned bridges coming to light. Ana Sol Gutierrez switches her endorsement from Jawando to Glass. |
| My vote will be based on who is least likely to favor the widespread elimination of SFH zoning, and so I'm voting for Jawando. |
| I hate all three of these candidates. How can this be our choices? |