| Any chance? |
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God I hope not, I will literally commit some kind of felony if it snows again.
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| It's either a LOT of snow or no snow. So if it snows, they'll have a snow day. But the weather is undecided. If it snows, 100% chance of a cancelation. |
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CWG:
We're still watching the potential for wintry weather Sunday into Monday. We are leaning, based on the latest model data, toward a relatively minor snow accumulation mainly on Sunday night. It's just a "lean" for now because some modeling still suggests potential for more substantial accumulations (and one model shows a massive snowstorm, but it's on its own). The forecast is challenging because it’s unclear where and how fast the storm will form, and if two disturbances in the atmosphere (one to the north, and one to the south) will merge. In the more likely event that the two disturbances do not merge, we think the snow probabilities are as follows: * Chance of at least 1" of snow: 40 percent. * Chance of at least 3" of snow: 25 percent. * Chance of 6" or more: 15 percent. * Chance of 12" or more: 5 percent. In the less likely event the disturbances merge, the ceiling for snow accumulation would go up quite a bit. On Thursday morning, the American (GFS) model simulated an astonishing three feet of snow in D.C. But it was an extreme outlier among the numerous models meteorologists analyze, and has a bad track record this winter. The exact timing and details of how the storm will evolve are still very much subject to change. But here’s how we see it as of now: * Sunday morning into afternoon: The first phase of the storm is likely to produce at least a little precipitation in the D.C. area, although there is still an outside chance the storm is a total miss. Precipitation on Sunday could be light rain or a mix of rain and snow. Temperatures are probably in the mid-30s or higher, so snow accumulation is unlikely except perhaps a light accumulation on grass. * Sunday evening and overnight: A period of accumulating snow is possible as temperatures drop into the low 30s. Colder areas north and west of downtown D.C. have the highest chance of at least an inch of snow. * Monday: Any snow should taper during the morning with afternoon highs rising to near 40. (Posted 2:45pm Thursday) |
SAME |
Lame. Can’t handle your kids at home?! |
Stop it. |
| 50-50 chance at this part. The model that is for casting the extreme storm with 20+ inches, seems like none of the local meteorologist are a fan of that or believe it will happen. They said we could get 3+ though so depending on how long it lasts, and when they can get everything cleared, who knows |
| Doug Kammerer just said on NBC that he thinks and he snow we get will melt on roadways because of the temps. |
| Is it supposed to come afternoon or overnight? |
He doesn't know enough to opine, the little idiot. As CWG implied, it's the kind of forecast that turns into now-casting, where you just wait to see what falls If it turns out there's a heck ton of moisture because both systems collide just over our heads, there will be way more than enough snow to make the temperature drop and several inches to stick everywhere. If it turns out the two systems never meet in our region, all we might get is a few snowflakes that stick to the grass.
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Overnight Sunday into Monday, but timing may change. |
| Definitely, timing will be everything. Wet roads will become slick and snow covered during the early morning hours. Will err on the side of caution, what’s another short week. |
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From Cap Weather gang
* Chance of at least 1" of snow: 40 percent. * Chance of at least 3" of snow: 25 percent. * Chance of 6" or more: 15 percent. * Chance of 12" or more: 5 percent. |
| If it does happen, it’ll be more of the typical late season snow that starts melting during the day Monday. |