You realize your company and your department will start paying for customized LLMs that are attuned to your industry and your work. You won't just sign up for ChatGPT...you will employ a "custom ChatGPT" where you and the company will start populating the LLMs with correct data. As you train those custom models, it will be right far more than wrong. Also, ChatGPT can spit out an entire brief in like 60 seconds...it is easier to edit and fact-check the work vs. creating the brief by a human. If your company has any sense, you will start reducing your use of outside law firms. You won't pay a BigLaw partner $1500/hour to run software, you will use that partner for just the high-value/high-complexity work, obviously for any trials, etc. |
8+ years. And all who spoke of this are in NYC. |
We’ve tried out a number of these products already. The work product looks pretty but actually sucks. It may get better in the future, but I’m not impressed so far. |
DH is full equity partner at big law firm. He makes low seven figures, but hoping to hit $5M within a few years (yes, he is good a business development). There is plenty of forced saving for law partners - we save $300K-$500k per year, but DH opted into max savings plans. This year we plan to save an additional $800-$1M (post tax). We live a very nice lifestyle (large home, kids in private school, multiple overseas vacations) but no second home and I am not into luxury stuff. I also work (a real job/career) so I think people assume DH makes less than he does. Most of the partners DH works with (and he’s not in a super lucrative specialty) have vacation homes, travel a lot, and have SAH partners. He doesn’t know what individual partners make, but the majority of partners make less than $1M - only those who are really good at business development or are really senior make more. So I can fully believe they aren’t saving a lot. Also, our kids are in private school, and I would guess the majority of parents there don’t make $1M, but mid to high six figure incomes. They live as nicely as we do, so I really think you can’t tell past a certain point. |
It doesn't sound like you have, or you wouldn't say "we tried out a number of these products"...because these products would involve many months of training the LLMs to your business and your department needs. Sounds like your company or your department is trying to use something off-the-shelf...do you have any in-house Machine Learning or LLM-trained developers even doing any customization? |
I don't think they spent months training them and they were not custom built. I'm no AI expert. If it's true that these tools are only good when they are customized on a particular company's or department's data, then that makes my point even more that these tools aren't going to be driving up profits-per-partner at law firms. Each company would be buying and training the models for themselves, and law firms would get cut out of the equation. |
Ok, shrug. I guess I have to take all of you at your word. I just find it hard to believe that I (we) were such a unicorn. I guess we were. |
Except a BigLaw firm is going to train their LLM for a wide number of practices. Your company may be involved say with lots of environmental compliance stuff in the oil & gas industry, so maybe you stop outsourcing some of the low-level compliance work to BigLaw. However, your company probably only does one acquisition per year, or maybe only raises 3rd party capital every couple of years...there are lots of things requiring legal help that aren't core to your business and you will probably hire Skadden that does 1,000 M&A deals per year. You are correct that it could impact Skadden's profits...Skadden can't just keep with the tons of associates model, when Kravath decides they can do the work faster and cheaper (not lower rate, but fewer hours) because they know how to leverage Generative AI. It will be interesting to see how it all shakes out in the legal industry. |
lol “Kravath” |
DP. My firm is partnering with a big private sector firm on AI, but it has huge - and I mean huge - hurdles. “Right far more often than wrong” means wrong a long means sued for professional negligence. |
This is really helpful to understand the economics of big law. You can do really, really well but it’s not tech or LBO money….but it’s really good. |
Early retired Biglaw partner here. Yea, I don’t regret walking away and am happy that none of my kids went into law, but I will say that posters who aren’t in Biglaw often underestimate how much Biglaw partners make or dismiss the numbers being reported here as fiction, which they definitely are not. Many Biglaw partners make insane money. And, yes, people in other fields - tech, etc - make even more money at the high end, but there’s always somebody making more. |
| Why is this thread about robot lawyers now, please circle back to fun things like private chefs and vacation concierges. |
Stop it. Our HHI is about 750k and I honestly don’t know what to do with our money. I *could* spend it, but I am not careful with expenses and never look at my checking/credit card balances, and still my biggest challenge is staying disciplined with investing cash and not just letting it accumulate. |