| I only know 2 and they're married to each other. I also had no idea. The husband was on a business trip and the wife broke her leg and I went over to help with their kids. I was cooking dinner and moved a stack of papers off the counter and their w2 was on top. I was floored. So maybe you also know someone and just don't know it? |
It is hard to hold Nvidia for 10 years...so man ups-and-downs...you have some fortitude to hold. I was lucky that my kid who knows AI casually mentioned to me 18 months ago that he thought Open AI's new release may actually be something so buy Nvidia as a way to play it. What a ride since then. I agree with you and I find the entire DC / BigLaw mentality to just be so silly. It reminds me of the scene in the Social Network when Sean Parker says "$1MM is not cool"...at which point the BigLaw partner would stand up and say "heck yeah it's cool" and walk out of the meeting. I travel a ton to SFO and work with start-ups and the environment is electrifying and optimistic and people dream and think big...and DC BigLaw is all about just grinding to earn your $2MM per year. FWIW, I know several BigLaw partners and NONE want their kids to follow in their path...a large part of that is because they know generative AI will be disruptive, because their own firms are figuring out how to incorporate it to make their lives richer, but cut down on the number of pesky associates. Anything to improve profits-per-partner baby! |
They think reducing the number of associates is going to improve profits per partner? Do they not know how law firm profitability works? You need those associates billing hours to get those profits. No associates, no billable hours, no profits. |
Do you talk about salaries? Hunt for compensation packages on SEC websites? In my circles that's not what polite people do. |
Believe me...they are figuring out how to maintain or raise billings and reduce their associates. They are also starting to experiment with fixed contracts / fixed monthly billings. I always found BigLaw to be a weird antagonistic business model...partners seem to kind of despise most of their associates. Also the weird dynamic of partners not receiving any benefits from the firm, but all the associates and staff do...and again, they kind of despise staff for having to pay for those benefits. |
| AI as it is will have less impact on law than those pre-made legal form software kits. I do think it will advance quickly though and we will know later on how much of an impact it can make. No firms are making current changes to their business models or practice to accommodate AI like PP is claiming. |
Current, as in right now...true. Current as in the big firms are starting to figure out how they start using it...absolutely. My kid's college is working on a study right now with a major BigLaw firm out of NYC. Also, working with a major management consulting group as well. Nothing will change...until everything changes. I doubt any law firm will hire any associate in 5 years who doesn't understand LLMs and how to employ them in their work. |
| I make 7 figures but tell no one. Maybe you know me. I’ll treat you to a cup of coffee next time. |
Early Retired Biglaw partner here. I doubt you’re right. For one thing, most Biglaw firm force equity partners to contribute ungodly amounts to tax-deferred retirement plans. You wouldn’t believe the amount of forced savings. So, yea, there are without a doubt many Biglaw partners who don’t save a lot of their take home earnings, but those same lawyers are getting richer and richer just the same. |
Admit it. You snooped. Some friend you are. |
This X1 million |
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I think I know someone who makes that much. But I would never be so bold to ask, and they have not told me, so I can't be sure.
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PP here. I am right. They told me. Why would anybody lie about not having any money saved? Plus the firm has an unfunded pension, which is why these guys aren’t saving anything in addition to the Measley tax advantage accounts that are available to them like a 401(k) and a Keogh plan. Yes, there is some forced savings, but these guys do the minimum and save nothing on top of it, and wait till they’re 60 and hope to God. The firm continues to fund the pension. Not me, I’m getting out early like you did. |
Law firms have been trying out different billing arrangements for years. I started my legal career in biglaw over 20 years ago and they were saying back then that there were going to transition off the billable hour. It's never really worked. I'm in house now. From what I've seen of AI so far, I'm very skeptical it can be very useful for anything other than pretty menial tasks. It produces professional-looking products, but the products are wrong more often than they are right. It's actually a big problem in my view because the documents look very convincing even though they have huge errors in them, But if it turns out that AI can do the work of the associates, then there is no need to hire these firms in the first place. I will just buy the software myself. Why would I pay a biglaw partner $1500 an hour to run software? |
Fair enough, but in my firm at least the forced savings wasn’t “measly” - it was well into six figures. When I left my firm I rolled over nearly a million dollars from the firm’s defined benefit plan that I had been forced to contribute to into my IRA. My IRA also had a couple million dollars in it. And, again, I was among the lowest paid partners and my firm didn’t have a reputation for being among the highest in terms of PPP. These partners who tell you that they don’t have any money saved, generally speaking how long have they been at their firms as partners? |