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Why did he only get 50%? |
DeSantis and Haley are gone. Both will drop out after Turnip wins NH. Neither are "viable" and neither "nailed it." Nailing it would be defeating Turnip or coming very close. Turnip got more votes than DeSantis and Haley combined. He got more votes than everyone else combined. It's a blowout. A thumping, huge blowout. But it is just a caucus so you can always hope and dream for another day despite the realities on earth. Turnip is going to steamroll through the rest of the primaries, lock up the nomination and most likely defeat Biden in November. |
Wrong. Bush did much better in 2004. |
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+100 |
Trump got 56K and Haley/DeSantis combined for 44K. Given how Trump is positioned (he's essentially running as the presumed candidate), that's pretty meh. |
Yes he will win and illegal immigration will be the #1 issue as it affects economy, national security and debt, etc.. |
Bush was the incumbent, so that was a proforma caucus. Out of what we consider actual contests, this is the biggest win on record. |
There is nothing xenophobic about wanting secure borders. And, you are in the minority when it comes to illegal immigration. It is a crisis. |
Didn't Trump win in 2020? |
No. He lost and the incumbent is Biden. I'm sure Biden crushed his Iowa caucus this year, along with every other incumbent each caucus. The media generally only focuses on the party that isn't in office. |
MAGAs are really whistling past the graveyard here. Extremely low turnout. Their "incumbent" can only pull 50% of the republican caucus vote. 26% of republican caucus goers say they won't vote for Trump if he's the nominee. |
He's the presumed nominee and is effectively running as an incumbent. So yeah...kinda ho hum results for him. |
We are going to see a Trump/DeSantis ticket. I hope that Vivek is not appointed to a high level position, he rhetoric is much more concerning and he does not have enough experience.
Trump will likely win from the following: -Anti-immigrant platform -People will remember the stimulus check they got -Trump has had the highest vote of any recent Republicans among young African American voters. Immigration affects their community the most. - Trump's earlier platform and plan for the African American community seems reasonable and plausible. The Biden Admin has done nothing of the sort to my knowledge. -People don't want to go to war with Russia and in the Middle East. They would rather America mind it's business. -DEI initiatives and other diversity issues around identity are starting to rub people wrong. -Some people have not paid attention to the Trump trial and feel he has been wrongly oppressed. 🧐 -Biden has lost a great deal of the Arab vote across the country, so these people are likely to swing toward Trump. -Asians might split their vote under Trump. But yes, it's very real that a Trump presidency could happen again. |