APS COVID Tests for Spring Break - What percentage do you estimate are going straight in the trash?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I think it's interesting that the great demasking has caused 22207 to even out the demographics for covid affects on kids in APS. Earlier in the pandemic, covid seemed to be hitting minorities and South Arlington the hardest. But now between the travel and unmasking, it's hitting Yorktown, Jamestown, Discovery, Nottingham, etc. pretty hard.

Unless 22207 is just testing harder than everywhere else, as some here are suggesting. I don't really understand that view, though. If 22207 just has extra money to test, wouldn't they have been ubertesting all along and thus getting higher results this whole time, rather than just now over the last few months since unmasking? Seems like the change factor here is the permissive unmasking, not testing. ymmv.

Yes, they just need to mask harder like Hong Kong, Shanghai and South Korea, that will do it!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I think it's interesting that the great demasking has caused 22207 to even out the demographics for covid affects on kids in APS. Earlier in the pandemic, covid seemed to be hitting minorities and South Arlington the hardest. But now between the travel and unmasking, it's hitting Yorktown, Jamestown, Discovery, Nottingham, etc. pretty hard.

Unless 22207 is just testing harder than everywhere else, as some here are suggesting. I don't really understand that view, though. If 22207 just has extra money to test, wouldn't they have been ubertesting all along and thus getting higher results this whole time, rather than just now over the last few months since unmasking? Seems like the change factor here is the permissive unmasking, not testing. ymmv.

I’m in 22207. Everyone traveled for spring break. It was crazy how any people flew places. Certainly abnormal from pre-Covid times. Just at our school, we have multiple families in Texas, Hawaii, Arizona, Florida, Belize, Caribbean and Europe. My oldest’s Instagram was full of photos. Some families tested to get back in the country, and others tested to not expose others. But none are worried about the safety of their own kids! None of their kids are sick, even those they end up positive. We need to move on! People with seasonal allergies to pollen are doing much worse.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think it's interesting that the great demasking has caused 22207 to even out the demographics for covid affects on kids in APS. Earlier in the pandemic, covid seemed to be hitting minorities and South Arlington the hardest. But now between the travel and unmasking, it's hitting Yorktown, Jamestown, Discovery, Nottingham, etc. pretty hard.

Unless 22207 is just testing harder than everywhere else, as some here are suggesting. I don't really understand that view, though. If 22207 just has extra money to test, wouldn't they have been ubertesting all along and thus getting higher results this whole time, rather than just now over the last few months since unmasking? Seems like the change factor here is the permissive unmasking, not testing. ymmv.

I’m in 22207. Everyone traveled for spring break. It was crazy how any people flew places. Certainly abnormal from pre-Covid times. Just at our school, we have multiple families in Texas, Hawaii, Arizona, Florida, Belize, Caribbean and Europe. My oldest’s Instagram was full of photos. Some families tested to get back in the country, and others tested to not expose others. But none are worried about the safety of their own kids! None of their kids are sick, even those they end up positive. We need to move on! People with seasonal allergies to pollen are doing much worse.

I'm in 22207 and I know a lot of people with Covid right now. A LOT.

[Anonymous]

We just used all of ours today. Husband has COVID but so far kids and I are negative.

[Anonymous]

We're in 22207. Currently 3 kids in DC's class are positive. I'm just waiting for it to hit us. Feels inevitable at this point.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:We're in 22207. Currently 3 kids in DC's class are positive. I'm just waiting for it to hit us. Feels inevitable at this point.

Also 22207 – sounds like there are clumps in our school, but so far none in our grade/class. I'm sure it is just a matter of time. I was at school last week and 80% of the kids were not wearing masks. Not saying they should be – that's just an observation.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:We're in 22207. Currently 3 kids in DC's class are positive. I'm just waiting for it to hit us. Feels inevitable at this point.

This was us before Spring Break and my kid never got it.

FWIW, one positive in our school since Spring Break. Way more before Spring Break.

[Anonymous]

22 cases at Jamestown in the last week. That's more than at any high school, which is unusual. https://apsva.co1.qualtrics.com/public-dashboard/v0/dashboard/60d5f170495a0000108b9941#/dashboard/60d5f170495a0000108b9941?pageId=Page_c7dbca22-0199-45ae-94fa-a01dbf2296ee

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Could also be equal unmasking but more natural covid immunity in some populations pre-dating unmasking.

Natural immunity has a shelf life. If you had Covid in November don't kid yourself that you can't get this variant five months later. We won't ever get to a zero Covid world, but we're still in a situation where it can be seriously disruptive to a person's life so we will continue to mask in crowded indoor places when the risk level rises to Medium or above to try and postpone the inevitable.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Could also be equal unmasking but more natural covid immunity in some populations pre-dating unmasking.

Natural immunity has a shelf life. If you had Covid in November don't kid yourself that you can't get this variant five months later. We won't ever get to a zero Covid world, but we're still in a situation where it can be seriously disruptive to a person's life so we will continue to mask in crowded indoor places when the risk level rises to Medium or above to try and postpone the inevitable.

The point isn't if people are kidding themselves. The point is no one can really say why 22207 is having an uptick compared to 22204 when previously in the pandemic the situation was flipped. We don't have that thing called data. Solid data on how previous covid infection really impacts future infection and severity of future infection is hard to come by, although yes we know individual people can get reinfected.

This is an attempt to look at the question:

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00143-8/fulltext

"In this nationwide study, immunity acquired from a previous infection was associated with a low risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection and COVID-19 hospitalisation for up to 20 months. In head-to-head comparisons, immunity acquired from a previous infection plus either one or two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine was associated with a greater reduced risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection and COVID-19 hospitalisation for up to 9 months than previous infection only, although with small differences in absolute numbers during follow-up."

[Anonymous]

It looks like the positivity rate and the poop data have already turned back down, so we’re probably already past the peak of this wave.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Could also be equal unmasking but more natural covid immunity in some populations pre-dating unmasking.

Natural immunity has a shelf life. If you had Covid in November don't kid yourself that you can't get this variant five months later. We won't ever get to a zero Covid world, but we're still in a situation where it can be seriously disruptive to a person's life so we will continue to mask in crowded indoor places when the risk level rises to Medium or above to try and postpone the inevitable.

The point isn't if people are kidding themselves. The point is no one can really say why 22207 is having an uptick compared to 22204 when previously in the pandemic the situation was flipped. We don't have that thing called data. Solid data on how previous covid infection really impacts future infection and severity of future infection is hard to come by, although yes we know individual people can get reinfected.

This is an attempt to look at the question:

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00143-8/fulltext

"In this nationwide study, immunity acquired from a previous infection was associated with a low risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection and COVID-19 hospitalisation for up to 20 months. In head-to-head comparisons, immunity acquired from a previous infection plus either one or two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine was associated with a greater reduced risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection and COVID-19 hospitalisation for up to 9 months than previous infection only, although with small differences in absolute numbers during follow-up."

This study was Swedish people. Not Americans. Nationalized medicine for the win in terms of research.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:We're in 22207. Currently 3 kids in DC's class are positive. I'm just waiting for it to hit us. Feels inevitable at this point.

This was us before Spring Break and my kid never got it.

FWIW, one positive in our school since Spring Break. Way more before Spring Break.

At our school there was a child who was positive the week before spring break but the parent thought it was just allergies. So symptomatic without a mask. Only a handful of kids in the class wear a mask. No one else got it! I was sure they were going to go down like dominoes.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think it's interesting that the great demasking has caused 22207 to even out the demographics for covid affects on kids in APS. Earlier in the pandemic, covid seemed to be hitting minorities and South Arlington the hardest. But now between the travel and unmasking, it's hitting Yorktown, Jamestown, Discovery, Nottingham, etc. pretty hard.

Unless 22207 is just testing harder than everywhere else, as some here are suggesting. I don't really understand that view, though. If 22207 just has extra money to test, wouldn't they have been ubertesting all along and thus getting higher results this whole time, rather than just now over the last few months since unmasking? Seems like the change factor here is the permissive unmasking, not testing. ymmv.

I’m in 22207. Everyone traveled for spring break. It was crazy how any people flew places. Certainly abnormal from pre-Covid times. Just at our school, we have multiple families in Texas, Hawaii, Arizona, Florida, Belize, Caribbean and Europe. My oldest’s Instagram was full of photos. Some families tested to get back in the country, and others tested to not expose others. But none are worried about the safety of their own kids! None of their kids are sick, even those they end up positive. We need to move on! People with seasonal allergies to pollen are doing much worse.

I'm in 22207 and I know a lot of people with Covid right now. A LOT.

Agree. My point was none of them are really sick. They have Covid, but mostly feel fine.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:22 cases at Jamestown in the last week. That's more than at any high school, which is unusual. https://apsva.co1.qualtrics.com/public-dashboard/v0/dashboard/60d5f170495a0000108b9941#/dashboard/60d5f170495a0000108b9941?pageId=Page_c7dbca22-0199-45ae-94fa-a01dbf2296ee

8 cases at Jamestown today before noon.