Scenario analysis: What if Biden can't run in 2024?

[Anonymous]

It's my ardent hope that Biden can keep on trucking for many reasons. Most of all, my thinking is that if Biden can't show up, the Trump wins hands down.

Amy I wrong?

I assume if Biden can't do it, we're back to the b-list of Klobochar, Harris, Buttigieg. Please give me hope a stronger candidate could step up!

[Anonymous]

I really hate this place. I think there are any number of great Ds who for stupid reasons would likely lose a general election is this effed up country we call home.

I happen to like the 3 you named. I really, really would love to see Gretchen whitmer run.

But, you know - misogyny, bigotry, flat out stupidity. The Rs can put up absolutely any POS and get 45%+ of the vote.

Ds are forced to thread the tiniest needle imaginable to pull out a win in a squeaker despite having millions of votes more, but they have to be on the right states.

[Anonymous]

Gavin Newsom

[Anonymous]

In this effed up country and In the right states

Sorry, iphone typing

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Gavin Newsom

I like him too

But, he’s “too California”

[Anonymous]

I think Gretchen Whitmer would be the obvious choice.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I really hate this place. I think there are any number of great Ds who for stupid reasons would likely lose a general election is this effed up country we call home.

I happen to like the 3 you named. I really, really would love to see Gretchen whitmer run.

But, you know - misogyny, bigotry, flat out stupidity. The Rs can put up absolutely any POS and get 45%+ of the vote.

Ds are forced to thread the tiniest needle imaginable to pull out a win in a squeaker despite having millions of votes more, but they have to be on the right states.

Sigh. So true.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I think Gretchen Whitmer would be the obvious choice.

Misogyny

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I think Gretchen Whitmer would be the obvious choice.

💯

Newsom is vastly overrated. Normal black people won’t vote for him.

He’s never had a really black electorate like Midwest, rustbelt, midatlantic, or southern governors have.

Pritzker is a caricature.

Walz would be interesting and not talked about enough but would struggle to acquire resources to run in such a short time frame.

[Anonymous]

Pete would get shredded if he ran again the moment he runs into Super Tuesday and the electorate doesn’t look like Gilmore girls.

Harris would lose a general.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think Gretchen Whitmer would be the obvious choice.

💯

Newsom is vastly overrated. Normal black people won’t vote for him.

He’s never had a really black electorate like Midwest, rustbelt, midatlantic, or southern governors have.

Pritzker is a caricature.

Walz would be interesting and not talked about enough but would struggle to acquire resources to run in such a short time frame.

Stop speaking for Black people! Damn.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:It's my ardent hope that Biden can keep on trucking for many reasons. Most of all, my thinking is that if Biden can't show up, the Trump wins hands down.

Amy I wrong?

I assume if Biden can't do it, we're back to the b-list of Klobochar, Harris, Buttigieg. Please give me hope a stronger candidate could step up!

Biden is a doddering old man and it's too bad that we don't have someone else. That's not a comment on his policies or accomplishments, which are objectively excellent (from a Dem POV). And I think there are a lot of people that don't particularly like Joe Biden, but they do particularly like stability, even if they can't/don't define it that way. No poll captures the sentiment of "I can't pull the lever for Trump because I can't take the daily insanity."

Of the three you list, I think Buttigieg is a very strong candidate. And he may be the spoiler candidate with the exact right timing if Biden has to drop out. Whitmer may also be a possibility. Klobuchar is the President we need, but she simply doesn't have a wide appeal.

I am not convinced Trump has the same momentum in a general election that he did in '16 or even '20. His whole shtick is pretty old - his crazy tweets and rallies aren't driving the news cycle anymore. His devoted followers are still his devoted followers, but that's not nearly the same amount of people that gave him the White House in an electoral fluke in 2016. He will almost certainly face one of his many criminal trials before or during the election. Prosecutors and judges have figured out his delaying tactics and aren't going to allow them under the old rhetoric of "damaging democracy." Could he win again? Yes. Is it guaranteed? Nope.

[Anonymous]

^I’ll add that I am a Black woman who loves Buttigieg and Newsome.

You don’t know what Black people want, so shut it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:It's my ardent hope that Biden can keep on trucking for many reasons. Most of all, my thinking is that if Biden can't show up, the Trump wins hands down.

Amy I wrong?

I assume if Biden can't do it, we're back to the b-list of Klobochar, Harris, Buttigieg. Please give me hope a stronger candidate could step up!

No Trump has lost a lot of support. Trump has no chance winning a general election plus trump is really old. He is a few months older than Bush and Clinton. Trump looks sickly and was already have mental issues 3-4 years ago.

[Anonymous]

Amy or Gretchen

I know misogyny, but if you are going to disqualify every woman, I don’t know what to say.

If you want a male, moderate former Governor with foreign policy experience, then there are Kaine and Warner. However, you might lose the Senate seat .