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Reply to "Scenario analysis: What if Biden can't run in 2024?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]It's my ardent hope that Biden can keep on trucking for many reasons. Most of all, my thinking is that if Biden can't show up, the Trump wins hands down. Amy I wrong? I assume if Biden can't do it, we're back to the b-list of Klobochar, Harris, Buttigieg. Please give me hope a stronger candidate could step up! [/quote] Biden is a doddering old man and it's too bad that we don't have someone else. That's not a comment on his policies or accomplishments, which are objectively excellent (from a Dem POV). And I think there are a lot of people that don't particularly like Joe Biden, but they do particularly like stability, even if they can't/don't define it that way. No poll captures the sentiment of "I can't pull the lever for Trump because I can't take the daily insanity." Of the three you list, I think Buttigieg is a very strong candidate. And he may be the spoiler candidate with the exact right timing if Biden has to drop out. Whitmer may also be a possibility. Klobuchar is the President we need, but she simply doesn't have a wide appeal. I am not convinced Trump has the same momentum in a general election that he did in '16 or even '20. His whole shtick is pretty old - his crazy tweets and rallies aren't driving the news cycle anymore. His devoted followers are still his devoted followers, but that's not nearly the same amount of people that gave him the White House in an electoral fluke in 2016. He will almost certainly face one of his many criminal trials before or during the election. Prosecutors and judges have figured out his delaying tactics and aren't going to allow them under the old rhetoric of "damaging democracy." Could he win again? Yes. Is it guaranteed? Nope. [/quote]
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