Will top school admissions calm down a little bit this year - or no?

[Anonymous]

I've heard over the next 10 years that things might get easier - lower birth rate, less people applying, more kids not taking the college path, etc. That's probably some years away but I can't see this year being quite as tough as last year was, coming off Covid and all. What do you predict?

[Anonymous]

Demand will continue to be strong with an endless supply of foreign candidates. That's my prediction.

[Anonymous]

Foreign candidates? Sheesh, doesn't seem right/fair.

[Anonymous]

Not this year. In four years, yes.

[Anonymous]

At the T30-50 it won't get any easier. There will still be way more students applying (and qualified) than spaces. Those from 50+ will begin to see it, many already have in the last 3-4 years with smaller freshman classes. The HS class of 2018 was the largest/peak and it has begun dwindling from there.

[Anonymous]

I think after 9/11 people started having kids so I predict probably through 2024/2025.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Foreign candidates? Sheesh, doesn't seem right/fair.

Getting visas is getting harder. It would be nice if the feds would make it much harder, but its still hard enough to cut down on the number of applicants. Covid zero closures probably don't make obtaining one in China easier

[Anonymous]

I believe current seniors will have at least a tough admit year as last year's group, which mine was a part of

[Anonymous]

As long as you apply at less competitive schools, yes.

[Anonymous]

Repeat after me, it will never, ever, ever become easier to be accepted by Harvard. Hartford? Maybe.

[Anonymous]

NO If they continue TO

Also in general no for the top 60 70 schools

[Anonymous]

Looking at this, I would expect it to get easier any time soon.

https://nces.ed.gov/programs/digest/d17/tables/dt17_219.10.asp

[Anonymous]

No one really knows. Even if the number of high school seniors goes down, the big name schools will be big names that lots of kids apply to.

[Anonymous]

As the PP pointed out, the number of HS students is expected to peak in 2025. Won't get easier until the far side of that.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Looking at this, I would expect it to get easier any time soon.

https://nces.ed.gov/programs/digest/d17/tables/dt17_219.10.asp

Thanks for posting this - very helpful data.