Short Waitlists August data is up

[Anonymous]

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/aaron2446/viz/MSDCSeatsandWaitlistOfferData_draft/MSDCPublicDisplay

I continue to be stunned by the waitlist movement at both MV campuses.

Looks like DCI made a bunch of non-feeder Spanish and Chinese offers, not so many for French.

What else?

[Anonymous]

Wow, so punctual!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Wow, so punctual!

I know! That's the most stunning thing in the whole data set. Does it even capture the full month of August?

[Anonymous]

It seems people took themselves off the waitlists at Latin I and Cooper since our number at both campuses dropped by much more than the number of offers made. It’s also interesting that the Cooper campus and BASIS made about the same number of waitlist offers.
The MV numbers don’t surprise me. Without a future DCI guarantee, if a family has a bad year there’s not much incentive to stick it out. And lots of families had a bad year there.

[Anonymous]

We were matched with Cooper and got off the waiting list for Capital City last month and DCI - Spanish last week. We decided on Capital City.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Wow, so punctual!

I know! That's the most stunning thing in the whole data set. Does it even capture the full month of August?

I believe the June data is through June 1 and the August data is through August 1.

[Anonymous]

Only three WL offers at BASIS after June 1, and only 53 total….

[Anonymous]

It’s DCPS, you don’t exactly have good things to pick from.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Only three WL offers at BASIS after June 1, and only 53 total….

That’s the lowest they’ve ever gone on the waitlist.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Only three WL offers at BASIS after June 1, and only 53 total….

That’s the lowest they’ve ever gone on the waitlist.

It was a very competitive year to get into Walls and private High Schools this year.
As more kids stick for the high school, it trickles down as they flex to the cap for the entire school - not just 5th grade.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Only three WL offers at BASIS after June 1, and only 53 total….

That’s the lowest they’ve ever gone on the waitlist.

It was a very competitive year to get into Walls and private High Schools this year.
As more kids stick for the high school, it trickles down as they flex to the cap for the entire school - not just 5th grade.

Sorry, but your analysis is simply wrong, as the incoming class at BASIS this year is still 135 kids. The only explanation for not going further down the WL is that BASIS has a higher rate of acceptance than in the past, and that's with Cooper now being in the mix, as well.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Only three WL offers at BASIS after June 1, and only 53 total….

That’s the lowest they’ve ever gone on the waitlist.

It was a very competitive year to get into Walls and private High Schools this year.
As more kids stick for the high school, it trickles down as they flex to the cap for the entire school - not just 5th grade.

I agree that the WL #s for BASIS can't be viewed in a vacuum without regard to the # of seats, but your analysis of the data is flawed. The 5th grade is the same size it has been for 4 of the last 5 years; it was not smaller than normal this year. Their ratio of seats to WL, offers to WL and every other measure is directionally favorable.

I am shocked that Cooper didn't siphon off more kids from BASIS. My hope is that results in more kids who know what they are in for and are more likely to stick it out. My thesis is that more kids had options with the Latin II seats being offered and still chose BASIS, not settled for it because it was better than the ES with behavioral issues and no MS/HS feeder path. Hopefully this translates to more kids staying (and fewer parents who will populate DCUM for several years because they were simply shocked that BASIS is a small building downtown that is a test heavy, rigorous academic environment that cares much more about science and English than recess or a football team.)

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:It seems people took themselves off the waitlists at Latin I and Cooper since our number at both campuses dropped by much more than the number of offers made. It’s also interesting that the Cooper campus and BASIS made about the same number of waitlist offers.
The MV numbers don’t surprise me. Without a future DCI guarantee, if a family has a bad year there’s not much incentive to stick it out. And lots of families had a bad year there.

I don't know that you can extrapolate any meaning from the real numbers. Trends take a few years to settle out. Even if you wanted to draw conclusions you'd need to look at how many seats were being filled as a baseline. BASIS had 135 5th graders, Cooper 42.

I would suggest to you that there is no meaningful data in the first few years for Cooper. The 5th grade class is a partial class (growing be design next year), and there was a huge unknown in terms of final location and facilities (that appears to be close to settled). It would be unfair to draw conclusions about Cooper's success or failure or the demand for it based on a one or two year data set.

[Anonymous]

Does anyone know how Latin is dealing with unfilled Equity seats? They had 9 unfilled at Cooper on results day and seem to have exhausted the WL at OG Latin. Will they be holding those for Equity eligible kids? Or filling them off the regular WL?

[Anonymous]

Lafayette pretty much cleared their 1st, 2nd, 4th and 5th grade waiting lists. We need to end feeder access for deal and wilson, or they are going to be huge and majority OOB