Exactly right. Of course Trump's core supporters will stick with him. But tons of moderate Midwestern Republicans - the heart of the Heartland - don't want a clown like Trump. And tons of conservative Northeastern Republicans don't want Trump's uninformed jingoism. When those groups abandon him, other groups are not filling the gap. Trump's going to be left with just the dead-ender racists in the end. |
Trump is quickly turning into 2016's Sarah Palin. |
I would love to know what the outlines of a bilateral trade agreement with a nation like China or India looks like, when a person living in China and India will work for pennies on the dollar (and remembering that both countries, not just the US, must sign it). And be sure to add into your framework Trump's promise to add Yuuggeee tariffs to imported goods. Go ahead, we'll wait... In the meantime, welcome to the knowledge/service sector economy. No amount to "it will be greats" is going to bring manufacturing back to the US at a living wage. |
I have zero respect for Sarah Palin. But, to be fair, she may be ignorant and a laughingstock (like Trump), but deep down, she doesn't seem mean/ inherently unable to feel empathy/ devoid of character. |
Yet he has a die-hard base of support that would believe him if he said he was the second coming of Christ. He may yet pull the rabbit out of the hat. |
Palin has that die-hard base of "Grizzly mamas" too. She's folksy and crazy; he's rich and crazy. Both crazy, both laughingstocks. |
Well most people think economics is one way street where US is THE BOSS AND it controls all things. Every country has leverage. China has a huge market as leverage. So China says, if you want GM to sell in our market, then US has to bring manufacturing to China. US corporations ofcourse cant stop growing because capitalism needs constant growth for better stock performance and 401K gains. Our system is attached at the hip to the global market and we demand constant growth from American companies. You can only grow so much with a tiny 300 million market. So that is the weakness USA has and it is trying to create a bigger trade zone to eliminate its weakness as a small market. Thats how the cost arbitration works. Americans GET THE BENEFIT when they pay very less for the goods made in China in stores. If you suddenly bring back everything to be manufactured in USA, without corresponding increase in pay, inflation will go sky high as price of everything goes higher in a short time. Another history most Americans are unaware is that China and India were the worlds largest two economies(because they always had the largest market since they have vast plans fed by huge Himalayan rivers) by 1700s. India started slipping around this time. China kept its status as the largest until 1800s. Do you know what brought down these two giants? They both pulled back and tried to shut down their market to the western trade partners. And their textile industry was decimated by CHEAPER PRODUCTS coming from the Americas helped significantly due to slave labor. China and especially India just couldn't compete with cost arbitration that USA had. So now history is coming a full circle and these two asian giants are flexing their market muscle as they race to the top again. |
Trump's path to victory is admittedly narrow but certainly within reach. The Democrat's vulnerability is the rust belt which is why they are spending so much time there. If you look at the current polling in certain key states, there is not much separating Trump from Hillary. Trump has to win PA - and that is within reach as even former Democratic governor Rendell said. He has to take OH and then there are a couple of states such as FL that are within reach and if gets those states and holds the ones that Romney won in 2012, he is there. |
Trump's big issue is he has to win all 3 big states(PA,OH,FL) while Hillary needs just one. The issue with PA is that Philly area population increases with mostly Yankees, Jerseyans, Minorities moving into the big city area. Those are mainly progressive voters. But the middle PA voters are declining in numbers in every election cycle, some due to death but most are moving down south as manufacturing goes to TN, AL, GA, etc. On top of this demographic shift compensation that trump faces, he is losing traditional republican moderate voters and women. So it is a very long shot. Is it possible, yes, but it is not probable. WRT OH, it has 3 big city clusters that are primarily dem voters. OH actually voted for Kasich's moderate gop by a big number. Besides, OH is not suffering as much, after the return of the auto industry. Central and West Ohio benefits from that. NE Ohio suffers the most but doesn't have as many votes to compensate for loss of kasich voters. Trump has made enemy with the worst man who will hurt him. Ohio maybe a better shot than PA, but thats not exactly great. WRT FL, every election cycle hispanic voters(primarily PuertoRicans) increase by 3% with corresponding decline of white voters. Thousands of Puertoricans have landed in FL due to really terrible economic situation there and they don't vote like older cuban immigrants. Next gen cuban immigrants vote democratic as well. FL is going to be difficult as well. Not to forget in another 100 days, Trump has so much time for his short fingers to tweet and his mouth to spew, driving away even more voters from him. |
What is the over-under on Paul Ryan unendorsing trump before November? I say 60-40 |
Palin, but without her IQ, executive experience or policy expertise. |
When I think of Sarah Palin the words "empathy" and "character" don't spring to mind, sorry. |
Republicans spent the past eight years putting party above country. The logical conclusion is putting self above party. |
Perfectly true, yet this will not make Trump win the election. He doesn't have enough support because he keeps alienating more and more groups. If only a portion of angry white American males vote for him, it's not enough. |
All of which, of course, are laughable to begin with. |