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Reply to "US coronavirus cases top 10,000 and on the same or worse curve than Italy"
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[quote=Anonymous]Ok, let me make sure I understand you.... 1. You claim the true infection rate is not 2.6 million, but really 26 million. (Not really what that CDC guy in the WaPo article said, but let’s go with it.) 2. Therefore, based on current reported deaths (127k) and your inflated infection rate (26m), you say it’s a 0.5% mortality rate. (This ignores the excess deaths data which suggests the real number of deaths is higher, but again, let’s go with your assumptions.) 3. A little math suggests that to achieve “herd immunity” of 70% infection, we will have over 800,000 US deaths. 4. And as I understand herd immunity, it doesn’t mean the illness or death stops at 70%, but rather that enough people have had it so that it’s continuing on a downward trend and will eventually die out after killing some more people. So the real death number would continue to increase. So are we all really ready for 1 milllion deaths?[/quote]
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