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Reply to "Military observations on Ukraine invasion"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The mud that is slowing down the Russians is also slowing down any Ukrainian counterattack. [/quote] I don't think the mud affects both sides equally. Russia advances with tanks. The Ukrainians rely more on weapons like javelins and NLAWS, that they carry with them. And Russian vehicles have tire problems-- poor quality and poorly maintained-- so are especially vulnerable to mud and thus must stay on roads.[/quote] Correct when Ukraine was defending. Maybe less correct if they now wish to advance and use heavier vehicles. We'll see. I still broadly agree. [/quote] The only thing that stopped Operation Barbarossa was the mud season. [quote] Rasputitsa seasons of Russia are well known as a great defensive advantage in wartime. Common nicknames include General Mud and Marshal Mud. A spring thaw probably saved Novgorod from conquest and sacking during the 13th-century Mongol invasion. During the French invasion of Russia in 1812, Napoleon found the mud a great hindrance. On the Eastern Front during the Second World War, the months-long muddy period slowed the German advance during the Battle of Moscow (October 1941 to January 1942) and may have helped save the Soviet capital from German occupation. The advent of motorised warfare had the disadvantage that while tanks could operate effectively in summer or in winter, they proved less useful in spring and autumn, when the functioning of an efficient railway system came into its own. Prior to the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, some analysts identified the logistical challenges of the mud season as a likely hindrance to any large-scale invasion in spring. When Russia did cross the border, many of its mobile units found themselves stranded in fields and limited to major roads, where resistance and logistical issues significantly slowed the advance towards Kyiv. [/quote][/quote]
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