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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][twitter]https://x.com/meidastouch/status/1772812242318508233?s=61&t=I7ZozTDGmPOsC7cmSRxwgA[/twitter][/quote]

Pollsters can no longer predict what the sample of actual voters looks like. They make estimates based on past voting behavior, but I think way too many once in a lifetime events have happened in the past decade (pandemic & deaths of lots of older Republican voters, overturn of Roe, Jan 6 coup attempt, etc).

If you can’t accurately predict who will show up to vote, there’s no way for your poll to be accurate.

It wouldn’t surprise me if women outvote men 55-45 in the November elections nationwide. If that’s the margin, then Republicans get absolutely crushed. [/quote]

Not with the electoral college but maybe with the un important popular vote[/quote]

If they use this logic in the general, it will become know as Trump's Folly.  The MAGA movement has continually discounted the effect that the overturning of RvW and state pushes against family planning is having on their election results.  The overturning of RvW, the banning of abortion of in many states, the attack on IVF have all changed election results without having nearly as big of an impact on polls.  The polls are deceptive because many people, especially many women and young voters, who normally do not vote, are coming out to vote in record numbers.

Since the fall of RvW, Democrats have won nearly all elections where the abortion and fertility issues have been on the soapbox.  From the state constitutional amendments in red Kansas and red Ohio, to the election of Democrats in deep red territory, like Andy Beshear in Kentucky to Marilyn Lands in Alabama.  And also the purple areas like Virginia moving blue (both houses of the legistature went from leaning red to leaning blue while governor Glenn Youngkin had abortion restrictions on his platform).

Keep burying your head in the sand, but you will see more purple areas voting blue and more red areas going purple, with mixed statewide results.  [b]Family planning issues will be the keystone issue this year,[/b] just as it was in 2022 and 2023.[/quote]
No one is free if they can't plan for their families. [/quote]

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