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Reply to "Ukrainian victory over Russia is inevitable "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Russia has lost. Our military general announced it last week. Russia was drafting old men and has no weapons. They’re going out with a whimper.[/quote] LOL and then he also said Ukraine needs a hundred kazillion dollars to fight this pathetic army of old men with no weapons because otherwise they'd be scaling the Eiffel Tower tomorrow. Logic is out of fashion.[/quote] Well, I'm not the person you're arguing with, but here's some logic for you. Given that Russia has 25 times the land area to govern, but started the war with only 3 times the population of Ukraine, I recommend you play Civilization IV (Civ V+ is too difficult to see the under-the-hood mechanics at work..) to understand the impact of that scenario. Before the war, Russia maintained about 1.45M troops, with 830K active soldiers. https://www.statista.com/topics/9957/armed-forces-of-russia/ https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/RUS/russia/military-army-size Using that as a baseline, last I checked Russia shooting for a 1.5M call up? "Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions; the invaders have concentrated 152,000 personnel there and are preparing for defense." https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3709361-intelligence-reports-number-of-russian-troops-in-zaporizhzhia-kherson-regions.html "2,800 Russian troops remain in Belarus" https://english.nv.ua/nation/nearly-2-800-russian-troops-remain-in-belarus-ukraine-says-news-50321508.html That means there could be up to 547K Russia troops 'somewhere' (i.e. dead, wounded, missing, in training / reserves, etc.). But there's a problem. That's 547K times the number of uniforms, boots, meals, weapons, ammo, sleeping bags, etc. and as we've seen, there is only one real source they can pull this gear from now - their border garrisons. That means stripping their last bit of equipment from across the country and gamble China or India doesn't see this as an expansion opportunity. I know someone will say, oh, Russia can just manufacture everything they need, but no, apparently they can't. "The head of Russia's federal crime agency on Saturday suggested that key sectors of the economy should be returned to state ownership to support Moscow's war in Ukraine." "We are essentially talking about economic security in a war," Alexander Bastrykin, head of the Investigative Committee, told a conference that was streamed online. "Let's go along the path of nationalising the main sectors of our economy." https://www.yahoo.com/news/head-russias-crime-agency-suggests-153238532.html When the head of the Investigative Committee of Russia (responsible for anti-corruption) says it's time to nationalize the main sectors of the Russian economy, he's basically (Soviet-style) saying they want to order Russians to work in factories, etc. or they're committing treason. Reading between the lines, no more Free Market Economy, foreign investment or stocks. It also means that, yes, Russia is entering into a full-wartime economy. Folks, under Soviet doctrine, there aren't that many rabbits in the hat left.[/quote]
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