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DC Public and Public Charter Schools
Reply to "Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]For K, Maury # 22[/quote] LN here. This one will be a nail biter. They often let in right around that number - 26, 22, 1, 15, 19 the past five years. So you theoretically would have gotten in one year and MAYBE two years (but sibling preference would have likely hurt you - most K numbers would go up 1 spot at some point because someone's older sibling got in, so whoever had #22 at Maury for K on match day that year probably didn't get an offer if I had to guess). So that would put you at just 20% - as I think there's only one year that #22 would have gotten an offer. BUT with the numbers SO close, it doesn't take much variation to land you a seat. So I'd say more like 30%? What you really need to mentally prepare yourself for here, I'm sorry to say, is getting to count day with a number <5 and no offer. Heartbreakingly, that's probably your most likely outcome. [/quote]
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