Reply to Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Eaton WL #16
Janney WL #16
Murch WL #16
Yu Ying PCS WL #18
Stoddert WL#17
Mann WL #7
Maury WL #24
Hyde-Addison WL #11
Key WL #11
ITDS WL #9

For 1st grade? Predictions?[/quote]

LN here:

Eaton WL - No offer
Janney WL - No offer
Murch WL - No offer
Yu Ying PCS WL #18 - Small chance. They went this deep into the waitlist four years ago. Less than 20% chance. 
Stoddert WL#17 - Small chance. They went this deep into the waitlist two years ago. And they came close the year before that. 20% chance. 
Mann WL #7 - A chance. They went this deep into the waitlist four and five years ago, not in the last three years. 30% chance, maybe less. 
Maury WL - No offer
Hyde-Addison WL #11 - You should get a spot. They've let in at least this many people every year, and always by August. This is a pretty safe bet. 
Key WL #11 - Small chance. They went this deep into the waitlist five years ago. Less than 20% chance. 
ITDS WL #9 - You've got a decent chance. They went this deep into the waitlist three out of the past five years, including last year. I'd give you a 60% shot. [/quote]

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