Reply to 2028 Girls Lacrosse

Forum Index » Lacrosse

Reply to "2028 Girls Lacrosse"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Looks like we need some data to settle this.

Using top 20 (200 or so players committing per year), and players from Northern Virginia, DC, Maryland who go to school at DC/MoCo High Schools.

--Local 2025s committed to Top 20

Schools in preseason top 20
1 - UNC
2 - Michigan
1 - JMU
2 - JHU
1 - Florida
1- ND
2 - Denver

Total - 10 in top 20 (6 in top 10)

Schools that have averaged a top 20 finish over the last decade: 
2 - Virginia
2 - Duke

Total - 14

Acknowledging that a reasonable argument has been made that the 2028 class is not as strong as 2025 and others, with 10-14 players from the Northern Virginia, DC, and MD committing to the top 20 schools this year, it is fair to imagine that the number for the 2028s is likely to be at least 5 and as high as 8-9.

So still a steep climb and challenging odds, but very likely to be more than 1-2 girls from the DC area 2028 class.  [/quote]

Data Guy, you are annoying but I respect your work. [/quote]

I will take it.[/quote]

Data Guy, you did all that research and did not even notice the club affiliation of the local players? You even doubled down on (your own) “reasonable argument” that 2028 is not as strong as other years.  Are you generally bad at analysis, or just having an “off” day?[/quote]

Looks like other "data guy" is even more annoying.

First, club affiliation wasn't relevant--plenty of Baltimore club parents posting here, and I'm guessing many are from MoCo. No need to rehash the speculation on whether top MoCo players may try out for Capital.  But if there are going to DC area schools, I would argue that we get to claim them.

Second, you are having trouble tracking who is making what argument, which is understandable given this is an anonymous board.  I'm on the side that believes the 2028 issue is primarily a MoCO teams challenge, and that the talent of the class in the area overall, is in a similar range to prior year.  I'm simply deploying a simple technique of analysis and persuasion by assuming my interlocutors position for the sake of argument, and showing that--even if it's accurate--the conclusion on the instant issue (1-2 from DC area to top 20) is likely to be wrong.[/quote]

Let's sum this up on the 2028s.  About 6-7 Moco players left for Heros.  The BLC 28 team imploded as a result.  Several Nova players left for MD teams but Pride and Stars are still there.  If those 10 or so players currently on MD teams all come back to try out for Capital, that makes the 28 pool of players only stronger, not weaker.  What else is there to argue about?[/quote]

This can’t be Data Guy. He surely knows it was 5 who left for Heroes. [/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics