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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Necro post, but here's some data:
We reviewed the top 500 recruits in the USA (and excluding international swimmers) and looked at their 100freestyle times from back when they were 10 years old searching for correlation.

2024 Top 100 Recruits:
62.71% had AA or better times when they were 10.
93.22% had BB or better.
Only 1.69% had below B.

2024 Top 300 Recruits:
52.54% had AA or better times when they were 10.
91.53% had BB or better.
2.26% had below B times.

2024 Top 500 Recruits:
48.22% had AA or better times when they were 10.
88.67% had BB or better.
2.59% had below B times.

Almost all of the top 500 swimmers were recruited into D-I (or Ivy/MIT) programs. Less then 10 went into D2/D3.

So, yes, it turns out you can tell whether a kid will be fast.

[/quote]

If I read your post correctly, this means that there is a whole other world of swimmers - 2/3 of them - below the top 500 who go on to swim in college in D2 and D3. I don’t know about swimming, but for my kid’s sport the number of players are about equally split between D1/D2/D3. And D3 is FUN. [/quote]

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