Reply to If my kid Is an BB/A swimmer at 12, does that mean there is no chance for college swim

Forum Index » Sports General Discussion

Reply to "If my kid Is an BB/A swimmer at 12, does that mean there is no chance for college swim"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Also (less for OP and more for others that may find this), we chose 10 year old times to review because, in age group swimming, there are no times more worthless to compare then age group 11-12 in boys.

Some 12 year old boys have hit puberty and started to shave. Some 11 year olds are still little children that sleep with teddy bears.

This makes national standards for that age group completely bonkers. [/quote]

Thank you for doing this research.  Between the ages of 11-12, there can be as much as 5 year biological age gap between boys, so it makes sense that many boys drop swimming around then. I would guess that many late maturers are lost at this stage because they get discouraged. 11-12 can encompass a lot of different tanner stages.

Only 11% of 10u top 16 swimmers were top 16 when they turned 17-18. Even though you could interpret this as being fast at 10u doesn’t matter, it still is a good predictor of being an elite swimmer. One in 10 of those kids will be an elite top 16 17-18 year old whereas the chances of a BB 10u of being a top 16 swimmer is much much less. What is interesting is that even at age 15/16, only half of those swimmers were still top 16 one to two years later. The slides do not  break this out by male/female,
I would assume that males are more likely to “come from nowhere” due to the fact that it’s more common for them to have varying puberty duration and late growth that extends into late teen years and even their 20’s. [/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics