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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The 10U group’s success is largely predicated on how long the kid has been swimming. A lot of 10U swimmers are highly ranked more because they have been swimming year round since they were 6 or 7 than anything else. You often see new names pop up in the 11-12 groups (especially for the girls since their biggest jump in motivational times and champs cuts is from 10U to 11-12, with the boys it’s from 11-12 to 13-14), and those are generally the kids that didn’t start year round swim until 9 or 10. [/quote]

Many of those new names are kids who played (or currently play) other sports.  Those other sports could have developed muscle and endurance beyond what the pool can do for a young swimmer.[/quote]

Amen. Even in high school kids emerge. They were playing 3-5 sports growing up. They build great athleticism. When it comes time to special they are great all around athletes and are able to improve in swimming dramatically. They also have a much lower burnout risk. Take the 12 and under pvs champs results, and I’d wager 5/8 from each final will be a non-factor or out of swimming by high school. [/quote]
We hear this all the time, and I was curious to see if this would turn out to be true. I scrolled meet mobile to find the 2017 JO meet and I did a random check of the top 8 for the 11-12 girls 100 breaststroke. Interestingly, 7/8 girls went on to swim in college. Then I did the 11-12 girls 200 IM, and similarly 7/8 girls went on to swim in college. There was only 1 swimmer that was top 8 in both events, so overall 14/15 girls went on to swim in college. I think the constant argument you see here that any good 12U swimmer will burn out or be a non-factor by HS is a bit overblown. [/quote]

This is an empirical question that is easy to prove or disprove, so it shouldn't be that controversial. If anyone has the time and inclination you could look for the past 10 years or so and get a clear answer.[/quote]
I certainly don't have the time to do that, but that small sampling is enough to show that posters routinely come here and post out of their @ss about things. It’s like a self-perpetuating myth on DCUM that the top swimmers in the 12U groups will burn out and/or just not be a factor anymore once they hit HS. I know some of that is coming from a place of posters hoping their kid who is not a fast 12U will all of a sudden overtake those kids when they hit HS, but it just isn’t accurate. [/quote]

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