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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The 10U group’s success is largely predicated on how long the kid has been swimming. A lot of 10U swimmers are highly ranked more because they have been swimming year round since they were 6 or 7 than anything else. You often see new names pop up in the 11-12 groups (especially for the girls since their biggest jump in motivational times and champs cuts is from 10U to 11-12, with the boys it’s from 11-12 to 13-14), and those are generally the kids that didn’t start year round swim until 9 or 10. [/quote]

Many of those new names are kids who played (or currently play) other sports.  Those other sports could have developed muscle and endurance beyond what the pool can do for a young swimmer.[/quote]

Amen. Even in high school kids emerge. They were playing 3-5 sports growing up. They build great athleticism. When it comes time to special they are great all around athletes and are able to improve in swimming dramatically. They also have a much lower burnout risk. Take the 12 and under pvs champs results, and I’d wager 5/8 from each final will be a non-factor or out of swimming by high school. [/quote]
We hear this all the time, and I was curious to see if this would turn out to be true. I scrolled meet mobile to find the 2017 JO meet and I did a random check of the top 8 for the 11-12 girls 100 breaststroke. Interestingly, 7/8 girls went on to swim in college. Then I did the 11-12 girls 200 IM, and similarly 7/8 girls went on to swim in college. There was only 1 swimmer that was top 8 in both events, so overall 14/15 girls went on to swim in college. I think the constant argument you see here that any good 12U swimmer will burn out or be a non-factor by HS is a bit overblown. [/quote]

DP - the top 8 swimmers in an event at JOs is a very, very select group.  That's far beyond "any good 12U swimmer" - it's like the best of the best.  And yeah, I can see kids at that level mostly sticking with it, if they don't get injured.

That said, most really great swimmers aren't waiting until HS to specialize.  That may be true for sports like football, baseball, etc., but it's not so much with swimming.  I still think overly intense training programs for kids younger than 14 aren't great, either.  Multiple things can be true.  [/quote]

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